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Joocystarbursts0316 2 points ago +2 / -0

Curious as to why you think MI is going more red than OH, NC, IA and GA?

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GoldenPotatoRequiem [S] 1 point ago +1 / -0

Good question, I wondered if someone would ask me that. I'm mainly getting this from Trafalgar/Rasmussen polls, but also a bit of early voting. Trump is doing EXTREMELY well with this early voting in Michigan.

Looking at the early data. 41% of ballots returned are from republicans, 39% from democrats. Considering that a large portion of democrats are planning to mail in their vote (early voting in Michigan is mail-in,) republicans LEADING is shocking.

Another statistic we can look at is age groups. Republicans usually lead in the vote with people aged 50+. Democrats have a small lead in 40-49, a decent lead in 30-39, and a large lead in 18-29. Looking at Michigan early voting data, voters 50+ make up 75% of the vote. And that democrat block of 18-29 voters that all those rock the vote ads were trying to get out? 8%. Womp womp.

If you need any further validation of my claim, this is a map based off of early voting in Michigan - https://i0.wp.com/www.toptradeguru.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/10/EkquadwUYAAfQUo.jpg?resize=768%2C768&ssl=1

This is Michigan in 2016 - https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/e/e2/Michigan_Presidential_Election_Results_2016.svg/306px-Michigan_Presidential_Election_Results_2016.svg.png