Early voting in most cases is by the party affiliation, but they haven't actually opened them up yet to see who they voted for. So when they say 48% Republican, 49% Democrat, and 3% independent have returned their absentee ballots, they don't actually know who those ballots have been cast for. So, now, think about how many Republicans you know that voted for Trump in 2016 that are not voting for Trump now. If like me, not any. Now, think about how many Democrats or Independents you know (Like Tim, which is why he responded to this tweet), who are not voting for Biden. They are guessing by how people have historically voted, which is down party lines. This year may be way different because of red pills and such.
In the last two years 205k people registered for the GOP inside PA.
The democratic party LOST 10k registered voters.
It's shifting and it is huge. If everyone voted the same way from 2016 except for these voter registration changes Trump would landslide PA (and the rest of the USA)
Wait. What’s all this about polls possibly not being accurate?
Early voting in most cases is by the party affiliation, but they haven't actually opened them up yet to see who they voted for. So when they say 48% Republican, 49% Democrat, and 3% independent have returned their absentee ballots, they don't actually know who those ballots have been cast for. So, now, think about how many Republicans you know that voted for Trump in 2016 that are not voting for Trump now. If like me, not any. Now, think about how many Democrats or Independents you know (Like Tim, which is why he responded to this tweet), who are not voting for Biden. They are guessing by how people have historically voted, which is down party lines. This year may be way different because of red pills and such.
In the last two years 205k people registered for the GOP inside PA.
The democratic party LOST 10k registered voters.
It's shifting and it is huge. If everyone voted the same way from 2016 except for these voter registration changes Trump would landslide PA (and the rest of the USA)
I have no idea. I thought polls were supposed to be 100% accurate. Biden must be 14 points higher than Trump. They told me!
Why am I not 50 points ahead?