It's not, it's a model, and has been criticized before. There is no real knowing for sure what the situation is - even if it were actual reported numbers, it would only give party affiliation, and you'd still not know who the independents voted for. The only indication we have for this is "exit polls" of voters who already voted either by mail-in or early in person, and from what I've seen, in these polls we're behind (not surprisingly). We need to get everybody we know out to the polls. Also, recent voter registration doesn't matter anything if these people only got registered, they need to vote as well (and vote Republican). We still have a long way to go to get people to the polls. I hope the recent Trump parades can be transformed into poll ferry services on election day and the days leading up to it.
Please please tell me this is real and reliable data.
It's not, it's a model, and has been criticized before. There is no real knowing for sure what the situation is - even if it were actual reported numbers, it would only give party affiliation, and you'd still not know who the independents voted for. The only indication we have for this is "exit polls" of voters who already voted either by mail-in or early in person, and from what I've seen, in these polls we're behind (not surprisingly). We need to get everybody we know out to the polls. Also, recent voter registration doesn't matter anything if these people only got registered, they need to vote as well (and vote Republican). We still have a long way to go to get people to the polls. I hope the recent Trump parades can be transformed into poll ferry services on election day and the days leading up to it.