Trends among <X> group don't matter much because when you start breaking it down into stuff like that you're talking about tenths of a point and what matters in those cases is location.
Trump is losing suburban women!
Okay, but is he losing them in the suburbs of Philadelphia or in the suburbs of Tulsa?
Well, you gotta look at their strategy. They’re still fighting for WI, PA, and MI but they’ve gone full assault on TX, FL and the south. They have all those CA/NY transplants and since 2016 we have the largest swarm ever of anchor babies to become voter age.
I saw an ad on TV for John Cornyn’s opponent the other day here in Texas. I was like - Jesus what are you guys smoking...that seems borderline irresponsible unless they are just trying to gin up local votes.
I think this fourm here vastly underestimated the amount of registered millennial lefties that would normally never vote or they had to show up to a poll and stand in line. They’re trying to get the last push to drop off ballots or mail them in.
I'm guessing because Trump won by just a small amount in 3 states that a little more fraud in those 3 states plus all the other ones they got in 2016 pushes them to victory.
Vote by fraud is going to be a disaster. States like NC that Trump won in 2016 could go to Biden due to overwhelming support via mail in ballots.
I think Biden's campaign appearances possibly hurt his campaign more than they help. The more people see Biden, the more he looks feeble. But also, not very many crowds appear so he looks bad in comparison to Trump. They think they have a lead and are hoping to run out the clock.
Why even trust any polls?
Can't even trust trends. Polls align closer to reality as we get closer to the election to save pollster and msm credibility.
can't save something that doesn't exist any more
Idk man, all the normies I know are just as gullible as 2016
"Yay Drump is going to lose in a landslide!"
They align closer to reality to make sure candidates keep spending money on advertising.
Trends among <X> group don't matter much because when you start breaking it down into stuff like that you're talking about tenths of a point and what matters in those cases is location.
Okay, but is he losing them in the suburbs of Philadelphia or in the suburbs of Tulsa?
One of those matters, the other doesn't.
Gotta make sure trump keeps spending.
I have never received a single call from a pollster.
I agree, which is why averages are stupid. It should all be about trends.
How can a candidate that doesn't even campaign win an election from his basement? When Trump is pulling crowds that haven't been seen since Reagan?
It's the same fucking thing as 2016. Trump campaigned hard in the rust belt and won. Hillary completely ignored the rust belt and lost it.
Well, you gotta look at their strategy. They’re still fighting for WI, PA, and MI but they’ve gone full assault on TX, FL and the south. They have all those CA/NY transplants and since 2016 we have the largest swarm ever of anchor babies to become voter age.
I saw an ad on TV for John Cornyn’s opponent the other day here in Texas. I was like - Jesus what are you guys smoking...that seems borderline irresponsible unless they are just trying to gin up local votes.
I think this fourm here vastly underestimated the amount of registered millennial lefties that would normally never vote or they had to show up to a poll and stand in line. They’re trying to get the last push to drop off ballots or mail them in.
I'm guessing because Trump won by just a small amount in 3 states that a little more fraud in those 3 states plus all the other ones they got in 2016 pushes them to victory.
Vote by fraud is going to be a disaster. States like NC that Trump won in 2016 could go to Biden due to overwhelming support via mail in ballots.
I think Biden's campaign appearances possibly hurt his campaign more than they help. The more people see Biden, the more he looks feeble. But also, not very many crowds appear so he looks bad in comparison to Trump. They think they have a lead and are hoping to run out the clock.