The numbers are misleading there. A 10% VBM advantage this year could mean many more votes than 18% 4 years ago. There will also be less voting in person so the gap is harder to make up
That 10% number includes VBM, absentee and early in person voting.....
There will be less Dems voting in person. Won’t be much of a drop for GOP. GOP voters do not trust vote by mail and are not that afraid of COVID.
Plus, NC GOP always votes on Election Day mostly. Go look through NC early vote history. GOP always looks like shit there in the Early vote.
Of course, I could be wrong. I’m just looking at the data and saying what I think will happen. Everyone’s has to vote like it’s their last election ever!
Where do you get this data? I've seen it for states here and there, but I have nowhere to look if I want to see all the individual states, on one site.
He will. Hillary had a 16% early vote advantage over Trump before Election Day in North Carolina and trump won by 3.8 points.
Biden only has a 10% early vote lead right now and that is with VBM inflation.
The numbers are misleading there. A 10% VBM advantage this year could mean many more votes than 18% 4 years ago. There will also be less voting in person so the gap is harder to make up
That 10% number includes VBM, absentee and early in person voting.....
There will be less Dems voting in person. Won’t be much of a drop for GOP. GOP voters do not trust vote by mail and are not that afraid of COVID.
Plus, NC GOP always votes on Election Day mostly. Go look through NC early vote history. GOP always looks like shit there in the Early vote.
Of course, I could be wrong. I’m just looking at the data and saying what I think will happen. Everyone’s has to vote like it’s their last election ever!
Hmm first ive seen this data. Thx
Where do you get this data? I've seen it for states here and there, but I have nowhere to look if I want to see all the individual states, on one site.