If we factor massive obvious voter fraud, Dems could take all 50 states, so I am just stating that. That said... I actually think FL is safe Trump now, I am leaning to MI as well. AZ and NC I would not consider so safe to include in worst case scenario, especially NC due to turnout and early vote numbers. I am basing this on ev turnout numbers, early ballot party affiliation returns by mail, new voter registration numbers where available for the most part