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Silver correctly called 49 states in 2008, and ever since then the left has been treating him like some kind of statistical prodigy. He was wrong many times during the 2016 election. He gave Hillary a greater than 99% chance of winning the Michigan primary, which she lost. He repeadly said that Trump would not win the Republican primary, which he did handily. Ditto the general election, where he repeatedly said that Hillary would easily beat Trump. I can't believe people still treat him like he's the ultimate authority when it comes to polls.
Getting 49 out of 50 isn't even that hard.
There's about 40 and anyone can predict right anyway. So it's really the 10 that is going to be close at all anyway,
And on those, if you had no information and just tossed a coin. You'd get 5/10 right on average. So that's 45 out of 50. That's any average person tossing coins is going to get 45 of 50 right. So if you give them some polling data to increase their accuracy of complete randomness of 50% another 20%, and they would get 47 out of 50 right.
So Nate got 49 while any average person with access to his information can get to 47. That's nothing.
There were multiple ..accidental.. examples going all the way back to '96 by news outlets precipitously publishing articles on their websites waaay too early, of a collusion between mass media and 'Voter News Service', where:
the electIons' winners,
the exact percentages,
and even the number of total votes cast,
..were 'somehow' already known - the Morning of the elections - As The Polls Were Opening.
🤦♂️
"Correctly Predicting" the stuff wasn't the hard part, the hard part apparently was the capacity to Wait until doing so would seem actually possible.
I watched a Tim Pool yesterday where Silver derided Trafalgar's polling and Tim turned the same criticism back on him. Trafalgar is trying to correct for biases. Silver is desperately trying to make his biases the truth.
The Left: "No, no, no. Nate's polls are correct because they're different."
Normal person: "How's that?"
The Left: "A normal, inaccurate poll relies on random phone calls to Democrat districts and incorrectly weighs the polls because they believe 61% of registered voters are Democrats."
Normal person: "And Nate's polls are different, how?"
The Left: "Nate culls together polls that rely on random phone calls to Democrat districts and weigh polls with the correct amount of 62% because that's how many registered voters are Democrats."
As of yesterday, 24% 'R' ballots turned in in Philly. That's about triple POTUS's 2016 numbers in Philly. If that level of support sticks, or registered dems (I'm looking at you my fellow Americans of African ancestry) walk away in significant numbers and vote Trump, PA is in the bag.
Same thing with that obese skank Rachel Bitecofer, who has been hailed as some sort of visionary for correctly guessing 50/50 races. That bitch, whose greatest accomplishment is shoveling entire pints of Ben & Jerry’s into her maw, actually thinks she’s hot shit.
I've said it before. Nate Silver is a typical narcissist who claims to possess incredible secrets and never quite reveals them.
His biggest flaw that I can identify is that he holds onto obsolete data far too long, again because he is a narcissist and it makes him feel like part of some incredible drama that he understood from the beginning. Actually, the world is complex and constantly changing, and it cares very little for Nate Silver.
He is literally a broken clock. he’s only right when the democrats win, because he only predicts victories one way. mind you this dude is the farthest thing from a pollster. he’s just a media prostitute who is sent cross tabs from real pollsters. too bad all those polls are skewed as hell.
He might not be as dumb as I used to think because he figured out the left will throw money at him in exchange for hearing what they want. I would also lie to the left for money but I still haven't figured out what my angle is.
Seriously, if you are wondering how there can be so much high energy for Trump but can’t square the fact that the polls are predicting a crushing loss for the GEOTUS then give People’s Pundit(Rich Baris) a view. As a bonus he does a show with Robert Barnes who is on Viva Frei’s law channel. People’s Pundit is straight legit!
Ok, I can't stand the wait anymore. It seems like the election is still a couple months away. I just want to enjoy the pain and hell raining down on the left mob already, is that so wrong?
It is weird because he’s supposed to be the master modeling guy. I find it very hard to believe these crazy polls with Biden up almost double digits. It defies reason that voting patterns would vary that much in four years.
Favorite picture from 2016! My friend, who loves Silver and thinks Biden will win in a landslide, only goes to this site for information on the election. I showed him this picture of Silver on election night 2016 and said he has to cut his hair like this if Trump wins. He suddenly got much less confident and said no...LOL
I don't know about Nate Plastic, but I'm hanging on to every last hair as long as I can. I agree with George Carlin on the topic of shaving my head: "If you're that dead set on being bald, just do what I did: wait a while."
Nate Plastics website loses millions every year
He is almost never right, but gate keeps the entire polling industry
Companies that correctly predicted 2016 are blacklisted from his site or given garbage ratings
Someone is supplying him with millions to spread his disinformation..
Beat me to it. He's being paid to manufacture bullshit. Then they can use his fake polling to contest the election results.
May be working for the Patriots.
Exactly, why would he be fired for performing as agreed?
Silver correctly called 49 states in 2008, and ever since then the left has been treating him like some kind of statistical prodigy. He was wrong many times during the 2016 election. He gave Hillary a greater than 99% chance of winning the Michigan primary, which she lost. He repeadly said that Trump would not win the Republican primary, which he did handily. Ditto the general election, where he repeatedly said that Hillary would easily beat Trump. I can't believe people still treat him like he's the ultimate authority when it comes to polls.
Apparently before that he was doing sports betting odds and a shit job at that too.
He bet his hair would grow back.
Reverse mohawk, kek
He got scalped by the election.
From what Ive seen 538s sports predictions are excellent, but I havent done any kind of study on it or anything.
“Give a man a reputation as an early riser, that man can sleep till noon.” my vague recollection of Mark Twain
Getting 49 out of 50 isn't even that hard. There's about 40 and anyone can predict right anyway. So it's really the 10 that is going to be close at all anyway, And on those, if you had no information and just tossed a coin. You'd get 5/10 right on average. So that's 45 out of 50. That's any average person tossing coins is going to get 45 of 50 right. So if you give them some polling data to increase their accuracy of complete randomness of 50% another 20%, and they would get 47 out of 50 right. So Nate got 49 while any average person with access to his information can get to 47. That's nothing.
"Silver correctly called 49 states in 2008"
There were multiple ..accidental.. examples going all the way back to '96 by news outlets precipitously publishing articles on their websites waaay too early, of a collusion between mass media and 'Voter News Service', where:
the electIons' winners,
the exact percentages,
and even the number of total votes cast,
..were 'somehow' already known - the Morning of the elections - As The Polls Were Opening.
🤦♂️
"Correctly Predicting" the stuff wasn't the hard part, the hard part apparently was the capacity to Wait until doing so would seem actually possible.
Jewish are for Trump....so just a libtard
Last name sounds like currency. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nate_Silver#Early_life
A "son of [...] a community activist"
Sounds like a bad joke.
(When the best you can say about yourself is that you are a "community activist", to put it politely)
His site is owned by Disney
And thus China.
And thus satan.
Disney owns the NYTimes?
FiveThirtyEight is owned by ABC, which is owned by Disney.
Like the disney corporation would try to do anything evil!
Thank you
I watched a Tim Pool yesterday where Silver derided Trafalgar's polling and Tim turned the same criticism back on him. Trafalgar is trying to correct for biases. Silver is desperately trying to make his biases the truth.
NATE PLASTIC, IT LOOKS LIKE SOMEONE DROVE A MINIATURE JOHN DEERE MOWER ACROSS HIS DOME.
He needs to own it and shave his head. He'll look a lot better. He'll still be a giant faggot but he won't look like a complete clown.
Exactly! Balding is a condition. Bald is a choice. Trust a bald guy on this 😁
Some people just can't win.
i suspect he was a bit upset on election night.
that faggot.
He probably thought Hillary was going to off him soon.
Nate Poo
Nate Cardboard
Then up his ass.
That's just because the image has been scaled down to fit on your screen. He has a regular size head.
I fucking HATE Nate Silver.
Nate Asbestos
Nate Shit.
And there it is.
Who? I do hate that Nate Nickel guy though.
I've disliked him since he was 1/3 of the BCS polls. Like some shady guy with mysterious "algorithms" has as much weight as traditional polls.
That being said, it must be nice to get paid to be consistently wrong.
He's gunning for a House Dem seat, at this rate.
Is it just me or does this guy literally look like he's never used soap and deodorant?
Or a woman.
He’s gay, which makes it even funnier that he looks like George Costanza’s uglier little brother.
He's also a faggot.
The Left: "No, no, no. Nate's polls are correct because they're different."
Normal person: "How's that?"
The Left: "A normal, inaccurate poll relies on random phone calls to Democrat districts and incorrectly weighs the polls because they believe 61% of registered voters are Democrats."
Normal person: "And Nate's polls are different, how?"
The Left: "Nate culls together polls that rely on random phone calls to Democrat districts and weigh polls with the correct amount of 62% because that's how many registered voters are Democrats."
Right behind Chris Wray, Gina Haspel, and Tony Fauci.
It will be the fault of the polls. Nate is infallible to the left.
-Natus Silverus, ancient Rome c. 52 BC
Would they really want to face the embarrassment AGAIN? It is worrying to see them so confident again BUT
PA is the KEY
PA IS THE KEY
As of yesterday, 24% 'R' ballots turned in in Philly. That's about triple POTUS's 2016 numbers in Philly. If that level of support sticks, or registered dems (I'm looking at you my fellow Americans of African ancestry) walk away in significant numbers and vote Trump, PA is in the bag.
It will need to be that way if we are to overcome the fraud Philly can pull off.
Don't forget that a lot of GOP wine moms are probably voting D so they can virtue signal on their TikToks.
Quality pic, Nate. Keep up the good work!
Look closely. You can see brain cells escaping from the top of his head.
This faggot thinks he’s a genius because he called both Obama elections correctly.
Same thing with that obese skank Rachel Bitecofer, who has been hailed as some sort of visionary for correctly guessing 50/50 races. That bitch, whose greatest accomplishment is shoveling entire pints of Ben & Jerry’s into her maw, actually thinks she’s hot shit.
Who didn't know he was gonna win for God's sake?
Nate Slimer's "business" is losing millions of dollars a year. Who is backing him up?
Disney.
So China.
I've said it before. Nate Silver is a typical narcissist who claims to possess incredible secrets and never quite reveals them.
His biggest flaw that I can identify is that he holds onto obsolete data far too long, again because he is a narcissist and it makes him feel like part of some incredible drama that he understood from the beginning. Actually, the world is complex and constantly changing, and it cares very little for Nate Silver.
is he wearing a muskrat on his head?
He is literally a broken clock. he’s only right when the democrats win, because he only predicts victories one way. mind you this dude is the farthest thing from a pollster. he’s just a media prostitute who is sent cross tabs from real pollsters. too bad all those polls are skewed as hell.
As a bad man myself I would like to offer a little pride saving advice: “SHAVE YOUR HEAD.”
Corn pop?!?
Children of the corn pop.
That’s what he looks like ? Jeez. Yea I can’t wait for his excuse
They will keep paying him to spew out his propaganda. It doesn't matter that he is always wrong.
He might not be as dumb as I used to think because he figured out the left will throw money at him in exchange for hearing what they want. I would also lie to the left for money but I still haven't figured out what my angle is.
Good point. He's laughing all the way to the bank.
Dude, like why even bother with that hairline. Shave your head.
^This x10000
Seriously, if you are wondering how there can be so much high energy for Trump but can’t square the fact that the polls are predicting a crushing loss for the GEOTUS then give People’s Pundit(Rich Baris) a view. As a bonus he does a show with Robert Barnes who is on Viva Frei’s law channel. People’s Pundit is straight legit!
That hairline is..... something.
Within the margin of error!
lol
That hair is ridiculous. It just screams "get in the van little boy, I have puppies!"
Ok, I can't stand the wait anymore. It seems like the election is still a couple months away. I just want to enjoy the pain and hell raining down on the left mob already, is that so wrong?
Wasn’t his outfit originally ESPN sports stats? And then he made the jump to political ‘polling’.
So under the ESPN/Disney umbrella? Now we see where his marching orders come from.
Every time I hear about this guy, that’s the photo I want to see.
Second, behind Chris Wray.
Didn't he get some NCAA brackets right, and that somehow made him an authority on political polling?
It is weird because he’s supposed to be the master modeling guy. I find it very hard to believe these crazy polls with Biden up almost double digits. It defies reason that voting patterns would vary that much in four years.
Is this guy doing an interview looking like that?
As long as Fake News needs Fake Polls, Nate Silver will have a job.
Ever heard of a comb-over?
bruh
I'm blown away how there are never real consequences for these people for being so consistently wrong.
Favorite picture from 2016! My friend, who loves Silver and thinks Biden will win in a landslide, only goes to this site for information on the election. I showed him this picture of Silver on election night 2016 and said he has to cut his hair like this if Trump wins. He suddenly got much less confident and said no...LOL
It's funny how arrogant he is for someone who's wrong A LOT.
We're winning 2020 and there's nothing his suppression polls can do about it.
he’ll have the hunter harddrives as an excuse this year. democrats need lying faggots like nate here to hide their election rigging.
Him, Christopher Wray and Gina Haspell
It's over Nate. Let it go, just shave your head man. You're bald.
I don't know about Nate Plastic, but I'm hanging on to every last hair as long as I can. I agree with George Carlin on the topic of shaving my head: "If you're that dead set on being bald, just do what I did: wait a while."
Hahaha this will always be one of my favorite pictures from 2016
I never get tired of this photo
Real Election Analysis @AirBossUT5 has it as his header. https://twitter.com/airbossut5
Good guy to follow for elections stuff
AND FRANK LUNTZ!!! hahahahaha
Why keep the hair at that point?
He needs to get in line behind chris qray and that cunt haspel