Can confirm. About 1/3 of CMU students are Chinese nationals. They are all dumb as bricks and slide by based on the money and privelage of their communist party sponsors.
Yes, it's the special privilege that Leftist elites have to get away with making disgusting jokes about, and engaging in, underage sex with minors. Foul.
To be fair, this is what the map will look like if Democrats get their way with amnesty, lowering the voter age, unpunished voter fraud, and banning all dissenting opinions.
Say it isn't so?!? You couldn't possibly cook up a plannedemic that panics people into forfeiting their last shards of civil liberties, God-given rights, or self respect?
Their faith in polling and early voting is wildly misplaced. It’s been clear in numerous elections that early voting does not equal end results. Assuming that this individual is even a statistician and this isn’t just some leftist fantasy.
Also, who's the typical person who's going to vote early? Dems. Patriots will stand in line and independent's will wait until the last second to make their decision based on the debates and campaigning. These idiots never learn.
PA doesn’t have in-person early voting which is why the margins are farther apart than the rest. something like 80% of republicans are not voting until election day in PA. wait til election day. :)
Hi Reddit! I'm a complete waste of space at Carnegie Mellon in Pittsburgh. Most of my research is absolute dogshit. My recent project includes a fantasy related to some Blue Wave. Let's just say, I was surprised by how far up my own ass my head is.
6 years and that's his conclusion? That's laughable. 1 year in statistics 101 is reading the many books about the phrase "Lies, damned lies, and statistics"
To be fair, we have had a huge amount of cucked californians move here the past decade, and lots of LDS seem like they would rather lose than be seen as mean so Trump is a tough pill to swallow at times. All that said still no chance!
These retards think they can sit around, hiding in their parents basements and attics, spend all of their time for the past year online and on their phones, doing absolutely NOTHING in regards to actual work canvassing/campaigning or anything in the ground game for Biden and just play with a map and declare that they're going to win in a landslide because feelings.
Someone here joked that the KKK consists of 9 FBI agents and one dude they convinced to join.
I guess it's something like that with Reddit: 90% Western Europeans, 10% Californians. They repeat bullshit to each other and think they're changing people's minds.
Yep. Tons of people think that's how we won Landslide in 2016. Showing your candidate lead by 15 points nationally does not help encourage your supporters to vote.
I used statistics in 2016 to predict a Trump win with the polls. They were heavily oversampling dems and under sampling independents. If you reweighted the polls you got numbers that matched the actual popular vote much better.I took bets with my liberal friends. When they handed me their money they asked me if I really knew he was gonna win, at that point they were ready to listen. Sadly this time around they are all making the same mistake again.
Now if I do the same thing with the polls it looks good for Biden. However early voting is looking much better for Trump despite the fact that Dems traditionally lead in early voting. So I am thinking the data in the polls are just plain false, unlike 2016.
Despite that the media considers these BG states I think at this point they are solid red, GA, FL, OH, NC, AZ, TX. Any of those going blue this time around is a dems wet dream. Of course what this kid posted on reddit is total BS, but I guess thats why he is a 6th year.
Trump is gonna win Colorado, Nevada, and Virginia. I expect him to narrowly win New York and New Jersey. Turning CA red is a bit more unlikely, but is possible.
The unexpected victory this cycle is going to be the congressional races. Reliable 3-5 pt Democrat districts are going to drop. GOP is gonna have the house majority, possibly by as many as 35-55 seats.
I read widely, talk to places that tend to get overlooked, and I don't argue with basic math.
Fact 1: Biden is, according to CNN, polling significantly behind Hillary amongst Black and Latino voters. She lost, and he is getting less of core democrat voting blocks. Does that sound like a winning strategy?
Fact 2: Human beings do not respect, let alone vote for weakness. Biden is clearly hiding from public scrutiny.
Fact 3: Here in Colorado, the GOP precinct walkers are having nearly 95% positive interactions, previous cycles that figure was 50-60%. I have heard that is happening across other states as well.
Fact 4: Hunter's laptop fiasco is moving forward at the pace that traditional media is capable of. Yes they are reluctant, but they have no choice. Normies understand getting sold out... that's why the left projects it onto Trump and the GOP.
You talk to places? Lol I don't know whether to be impressed or to ask you if these places talk back. Anyway WI where I am is SOLID red. IN might go blue, or at least it's more likely to than WI.
By the sound of it seems they used the fake polling, wrongly extrapolated early voting(dems always have an advantage in that), and to me "aggregate demographic patterns" sounds like they imagined every single Asian-american, black-american, hispanic-american, "insert nationality here"-american and immigrant person would vote democrat
Utah going blue? Fucking lel. We haven't voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since JFK. In '92 more Utahns voted for Ross Perot than Bill Clinton.
I went back to school for portfolio management in my 30's and met a lot of kids like this. Think they're waaaaaaayyyyyyyyy smarter than they are. Think they know everything because they've just scratched the surface of a subject, and don't understand how much they don't know. The title just screams "HEY LOOK AT THIS THING I DID FOR SCHOOL I'M SUPER PROUD OF IT," and it's just a piece of paper with macaroni glued to it.
And 6th year stat student at Carnegie Melon? Is that supposed to be something they're proud of?
"Hi Reddit! I'm a college student with no real life work experience, and only rely on the echo chamber of academia on how smart I am! I'm rather comfortable in my ivory tower, making far reaching predictions that soothes my communist bias."
Utah lean blue?.. I mean 7/10 registered voters in the state are registered Republicans and even with McMuffin running a cuckpaign in 2016 Trump took in almost 50% of the vote.
Also...6th year?! Isn't that a 4 year degree?
Sounds like he's a statistical outlier. 🤔
I'll derive enjoyment from this.
Math puns? Really? Don't you think they're just too divisive?
In addition to that, they usually suck.
square.
Not really, I'm just getting more negative as I get past my prime.
No they're integral to us all.
You might say that poster is a deviant.
Now, now. Don't be mean.
(I think you'll see what I did there . . .)
I like your mode us operandi
It's from this stupid book:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Outliers_(book)
I mean I thought it was a pretty excellent book actually.
How bout inliers?
He broke the box and whisker - not on any quartile
Can confirm. About 1/3 of CMU students are Chinese nationals. They are all dumb as bricks and slide by based on the money and privelage of their communist party sponsors.
Is privelage anything like underage?
Yes, it's the special privilege that Leftist elites have to get away with making disgusting jokes about, and engaging in, underage sex with minors. Foul.
If we change that to fowl maybe they'll be stuck fucking ducks. Not fair to our fine feathered friends but
SavetheChildren
Our world has really come to this
Dude, he thinks you are some "werido" that is following him. Thinks you are a bot.
https://www.reddit.com/r/ShitThe_DonaldSays/comments/jj9w5x/wow_some_weird_person_on_the_donald_lose/
lol those comments
So how would he know someone re-posted his kooky map?
I have no idea, but he deleted the post and ran to our fan mail sub.
To be fair, this is what the map will look like if Democrats get their way with amnesty, lowering the voter age, unpunished voter fraud, and banning all dissenting opinions.
So you're saying no way in hell does the Union stand and see anything like this.
I bet its temujin01's new account.
its over guys, we had a good run.
Pack it up. We're finished.
Someone start the bus, this game’s over
The walls are closing in.
The bees have come home to roost.
The beginning of the end for Evil Orange Man Drumpft.
Trump's about to have his leg hairs rubbed by Corn Pop.
the beginning of the end
Apparently, the Trump Train did have brakes.
Maybe he's referring to a graduate program
Regardless, I hope he doesn't put this prediction on his resume
This is his Doctoral thesis. With as much as this chicomm is paying for that piece of paper? He could nail two boards together and pass.
Failing 6th year stat student 🤣
Bring it up and I'm sure he's on his way to acquiring his Masters in Bullshitinomics.
I'm an economist by trade, it's all bullshitonomics, I can spin the numbers to say whatever it is you are trying to say.
I dare you to go into the Data Is Beautiful sub... all kinds of idiot savants in that cuckhole.
Say it isn't so?!? You couldn't possibly cook up a plannedemic that panics people into forfeiting their last shards of civil liberties, God-given rights, or self respect?
Must have attended Cunt College biden was screaming about.
He’s actually a genius he will have a job at 538 in no time
Lol... The delusional LARPers over on reddit will eat this up.
I like how even in his wildest wet dream prediction, he still allows a little tiny room for Trump to win...Biden only 264 in dark blue.
So, just like everyone in 2016, he can backpedal and say "My prediction wasn't wrong, there was always a 0.0043% chance Trump could win!"
DJT with 274 out of that map? I'd call that prediction vs those results not merely wrong, but damn wrong
Yeah they'll give each other medals and circle jerk over pretend orange man losing in their fantasy poll.
Grade will be: F
Nah, he will get an A because the professor agrees with him.
And then when Trump wins, he'll rage quit and get an "I" for *incomplete...
Wait... What do we have developing, here?
F... A... I...
Wrong. The letter for grade below fail (according to common sense and the alphabet) should be G. Please replace the I with a G.
L
6th year of a 4 year study? He’ll get a gold star from his mom
This is what happens when someone tries to analyze data they have no real understanding of.
I work in an industry where you can make 6 figures doing that easy.
Medical profession, right?
Savage. And true.
“Dem over sampling? Eh that’s probably not important.”
Their faith in polling and early voting is wildly misplaced. It’s been clear in numerous elections that early voting does not equal end results. Assuming that this individual is even a statistician and this isn’t just some leftist fantasy.
Also, who's the typical person who's going to vote early? Dems. Patriots will stand in line and independent's will wait until the last second to make their decision based on the debates and campaigning. These idiots never learn.
You're assuming there are undecided voters left. Debates largely failed them. R October surprise might work?
even looking at the margins, registration data, demographics, and early vote. it all doesn’t look good for biden. so this is pretty amusing.
Ehh, good in most places. Pennsylvania the D mail-in lead is pretty huge right now. Really hoping we can make that up
PA doesn’t have in-person early voting which is why the margins are farther apart than the rest. something like 80% of republicans are not voting until election day in PA. wait til election day. :)
LOL this is why college is useless. This tard is on year 6 of a 4 year degree, maybe his work is why!
On Nov 3rd this person is going to
REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE!!
In china.
Alaska? KEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEKEK
Surprised they didn't have Alabama and Tennessee as blue also.
Because he's a dumbass. Trump won Tennessee by 60% lol.
also TX and FL lmfao
Yeah, my election map that has a red wave atleast gave biden 190 lol.
I think an honest tally of votes would yield DJT winning every State except HI.
Now the question is when was the last time an honest tally of votes was seen? There was a massive effort to make sure it wasn't in 1864.
This OP came from shit the donald says. They don't have the guts to re-post what you said here, which proves what their soy is worth.
6 years and that's his conclusion? That's laughable. 1 year in statistics 101 is reading the many books about the phrase "Lies, damned lies, and statistics"
First day of class our professor told us to read the book "How to lie with statistics"
When I was training researchers in consumer analytics I made every new analyst read that book; it's a classic.
South Carolina?! I don't think so.
Alaska is geographically forbidden from supporting a Democrat that wants to kill oil and guns. Would literally render Alaska uninhabitable.
You can just yell at bears when theyre trying to eat you.
You can always fire a double-barreled shotgun into the air.
Wait... My bad. Those will be confiscated too. But you can still use double-barreled finger guns.
remember that girl who sprays the bear with bear spray and then it eats her kayak?
BEAR STOPP PLEASE STOP!!
BEAR! At least she was calling it by name. She did everything she could.
Pew, pew.
call a social worker
Tell it this is your no no square?
Hahaha I didn't notice that
Agreed..... I live here. No way SC is going Biden. Lol.
Same. I think I’ve seen maybe 10 Biden signs in the last month all over the state. Thousands of Trump signs
Utah???
Montana!!! Lmao
That was my thought. The last time Utah went blue was Johnson.
To be fair, we have had a huge amount of cucked californians move here the past decade, and lots of LDS seem like they would rather lose than be seen as mean so Trump is a tough pill to swallow at times. All that said still no chance!
These retards think they can sit around, hiding in their parents basements and attics, spend all of their time for the past year online and on their phones, doing absolutely NOTHING in regards to actual work canvassing/campaigning or anything in the ground game for Biden and just play with a map and declare that they're going to win in a landslide because feelings.
Someone here joked that the KKK consists of 9 FBI agents and one dude they convinced to join.
I guess it's something like that with Reddit: 90% Western Europeans, 10% Californians. They repeat bullshit to each other and think they're changing people's minds.
The shitposts we make about Trump winning a 1988 style landslide (complete with red CA, NY, and HI) are more realistic than this horseshit
Yeah I know, Trump has a higher chance of winning CA than Tennessee going light red.
Every State could go red except HI.
He just flunked his final.
7th year then?
That's fine, let them think that, maybe some wont bother voting. While the red wave gets bigger and bigger.
Yep. Tons of people think that's how we won Landslide in 2016. Showing your candidate lead by 15 points nationally does not help encourage your supporters to vote.
I used statistics in 2016 to predict a Trump win with the polls. They were heavily oversampling dems and under sampling independents. If you reweighted the polls you got numbers that matched the actual popular vote much better.I took bets with my liberal friends. When they handed me their money they asked me if I really knew he was gonna win, at that point they were ready to listen. Sadly this time around they are all making the same mistake again.
Now if I do the same thing with the polls it looks good for Biden. However early voting is looking much better for Trump despite the fact that Dems traditionally lead in early voting. So I am thinking the data in the polls are just plain false, unlike 2016.
Despite that the media considers these BG states I think at this point they are solid red, GA, FL, OH, NC, AZ, TX. Any of those going blue this time around is a dems wet dream. Of course what this kid posted on reddit is total BS, but I guess thats why he is a 6th year.
Trump is gonna win Colorado, Nevada, and Virginia. I expect him to narrowly win New York and New Jersey. Turning CA red is a bit more unlikely, but is possible.
The unexpected victory this cycle is going to be the congressional races. Reliable 3-5 pt Democrat districts are going to drop. GOP is gonna have the house majority, possibly by as many as 35-55 seats.
I read widely, talk to places that tend to get overlooked, and I don't argue with basic math.
Fact 1: Biden is, according to CNN, polling significantly behind Hillary amongst Black and Latino voters. She lost, and he is getting less of core democrat voting blocks. Does that sound like a winning strategy?
Fact 2: Human beings do not respect, let alone vote for weakness. Biden is clearly hiding from public scrutiny.
Fact 3: Here in Colorado, the GOP precinct walkers are having nearly 95% positive interactions, previous cycles that figure was 50-60%. I have heard that is happening across other states as well.
Fact 4: Hunter's laptop fiasco is moving forward at the pace that traditional media is capable of. Yes they are reluctant, but they have no choice. Normies understand getting sold out... that's why the left projects it onto Trump and the GOP.
You talk to places? Lol I don't know whether to be impressed or to ask you if these places talk back. Anyway WI where I am is SOLID red. IN might go blue, or at least it's more likely to than WI.
If the latino vote breaks for Trump even close to what the current polling shows, CA could be a huge surprise.
if paul ryan comes out and somehow (some way) becomes speaker again, i will SOMEONE CALL THE GLOWIES i swear to god.
I really really wish that guy and williard delecto went with mccain.
It HAS to be Jim Jordan!
Statistics lets you take unreasonable assumptions and say that hundreds of responses to a survey accurately reflect the opinion for millions.
Do you have a link to that? I would love to know what methodology the guy was using
Method: wishful thinking
By the sound of it seems they used the fake polling, wrongly extrapolated early voting(dems always have an advantage in that), and to me "aggregate demographic patterns" sounds like they imagined every single Asian-american, black-american, hispanic-american, "insert nationality here"-american and immigrant person would vote democrat
It's the only way they'd get a result as shown.
Nope. The polls don't show Biden winning half of these states. Just pure horse shit using made up statistics.
https://www.reddit.com/r/DemocratsUnbiased/comments/jj7p3c/hi_reddit_im_a_6th_year_statstudent_with_carnegie/
He run off, tail between his legs, powerful map an all
In 2016 every county in Kansas voted red except for Douglas County. Bet he didn't take that statistic into account.
6 years at CMU has got to be over $300k
I hope he kept the receipt
Go to the bursar's office and demand a refund.
Gunning for that nate plastic award, I see.
That's why our polling is so bad. Six years and this is what this person came up with.
Gonna guess this is already at 15k karma and 9 awards?
Just imagine the amount of Wholesome awards.
Failing Reddit site!
I sincerely hope you get your tuition returned.
Embarrassing.
You know you're retarded when you think Tennessee is a toss up state, but Michigan is deep blue. KEK!
he needs to get a refund from Carnegie lol
NO REFUNDS!
Lmao, he deleted it, and posted this A MEMBER OF THE DONALD STALKS ME
So explain how he found out someone reposted his dumbass map?
He posted to r/ShitThe_DonaldSays. He probably browses here often.
Utah going blue? Fucking lel. We haven't voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since JFK. In '92 more Utahns voted for Ross Perot than Bill Clinton.
Utahn. That's a helluva word.
Here in WI we're badgers. As in honey badger don't care. (Kenosha doesn't count, it's part of Chicago.)
I don't need a degree in statistics to know that this is utter bullshit.
Imagine being this desperate for reddit points
There's always barber college.
Could you write a cringier title?
I went back to school for portfolio management in my 30's and met a lot of kids like this. Think they're waaaaaaayyyyyyyyy smarter than they are. Think they know everything because they've just scratched the surface of a subject, and don't understand how much they don't know. The title just screams "HEY LOOK AT THIS THING I DID FOR SCHOOL I'M SUPER PROUD OF IT," and it's just a piece of paper with macaroni glued to it.
And 6th year stat student at Carnegie Melon? Is that supposed to be something they're proud of?
I was bammed from that piece of shit site. A badge of honor.
He used polling data that the dems fabricated, lmao
Lmao, he used polling data that he fabricated. Even the democrats don't act like Michigan is more certain than Tennessee or Kansas. KEK!
Blue Montana & Alaska.....
KEK <----- THIS ONE
KEK
KEK
KEK
KEK
Bernie can still win the nomination
Sorry to tell you but this project gets an F.
"Hi Reddit! I'm a college student with no real life work experience, and only rely on the echo chamber of academia on how smart I am! I'm rather comfortable in my ivory tower, making far reaching predictions that soothes my communist bias."
Utah lean blue?.. I mean 7/10 registered voters in the state are registered Republicans and even with McMuffin running a cuckpaign in 2016 Trump took in almost 50% of the vote.
Come on man! I’m going to post this all over Facebook to reassure democrats.
Excellent! /Burns
Texas blue? Lawl.
Georgia and both of the Carolinas blue? Ohio blue? Iowa and Missouri blue? Lawl.
Montana blue? Is that supposed to be a joke?
Texas isn't as red as it was, the amount of Californians moving to Texas is getting quite scary.
And now we know why the polling has been so fucked recently.
My sides 😂🤣😂🤣😂
Missouri blue...? Guess we’ll see...