I used statistics in 2016 to predict a Trump win with the polls. They were heavily oversampling dems and under sampling independents. If you reweighted the polls you got numbers that matched the actual popular vote much better.I took bets with my liberal friends. When they handed me their money they asked me if I really knew he was gonna win, at that point they were ready to listen. Sadly this time around they are all making the same mistake again.
Now if I do the same thing with the polls it looks good for Biden. However early voting is looking much better for Trump despite the fact that Dems traditionally lead in early voting. So I am thinking the data in the polls are just plain false, unlike 2016.
Despite that the media considers these BG states I think at this point they are solid red, GA, FL, OH, NC, AZ, TX. Any of those going blue this time around is a dems wet dream. Of course what this kid posted on reddit is total BS, but I guess thats why he is a 6th year.
I used statistics in 2016 to predict a Trump win with the polls. They were heavily oversampling dems and under sampling independents. If you reweighted the polls you got numbers that matched the actual popular vote much better.I took bets with my liberal friends. When they handed me their money they asked me if I really knew he was gonna win, at that point they were ready to listen. Sadly this time around they are all making the same mistake again.
Now if I do the same thing with the polls it looks good for Biden. However early voting is looking much better for Trump despite the fact that Dems traditionally lead in early voting. So I am thinking the data in the polls are just plain false, unlike 2016.
Despite that the media considers these BG states I think at this point they are solid red, GA, FL, OH, NC, AZ, TX. Any of those going blue this time around is a dems wet dream. Of course what this kid posted on reddit is total BS, but I guess thats why he is a 6th year.