The Primary Model picked 25 of 27 elections. They have Trump reelection at 91% likely. They predict 362 to 176 electoral win. (I think that is a bit high myself.) That would be awesome!
If we could only get out Wyden. Hasn’t lived in the state in years, wife told PPP loan and is still whining and treating to shut the doors of her east coast book store when they have enriched themselves during his senate term.
This is inline with McCain's loss in 2008...I WOULD expect Biden to lose in a similar way...as Biden is McCain...unfortunately(or rather thankfully)...
McCain didn't have the media shilling for him 24/7...he was ignored.
I'm not sure how he does his analysis... he claims that he was sent the internal polls from both the Biden and Trump campaigns and they are lining up with this map.
Again, I dont know much about the guy other than that he works (or worked) in this field and correctly predicted the last three elections. He was also close on the electoral counts each time.
Take it how you want. I dont know if I believe it or not yet.
It feels like all of the momentum is on President Trump's side, but the Dems are cheating on a massive scale and sadly their leadership is evil, not stupid. I've already voted in person, all of my friends have too. All I can do now is pray. However, the suspense is killing me!
Actually, you'd be surprised how little October surprises and such even matter. Polls taken the day before the election are less accurate than predictions made in March (yes, 8 months befpre the election) using primary data.
I like what he said about blacks coming in around 23% and Hispanics at about 39% for Trump. That's going to be demoralizing for these deranged vampires. He also said Trump will get the popular vote and agree with this.
I love Hawaii but I would never go there right now. Get stuck in a hotel room, room service only, threat of being arrested for leaving your room for any reason for two weeks? Um, nothing Aloha about that.
The Primary Model picked 25 of 27 elections. They have Trump reelection at 91% likely. They predict 362 to 176 electoral win. (I think that is a bit high myself.) That would be awesome!
I did an entire writeup on it that got basically ignored...
https://thedonald.win/p/HrOzRpRe/how-to-win-arguments-against-the/
A very well written post, thanks for the link and take your updoot.
I think Trump picks up a few states from 2016. Minnesota, New Mexico, and Nevada. Possibly Oregon.
I know Oregon is a long shot but that would also be a well deserved kick in the nuts to the Commies across the coast.
Dispatch from the Democratic People's Republic of Oregon:
We're doing our level best, but no guarantees. Also working on knocking down the Democrat super-majority in Salem, so we're facing headwinds.
Cherry on top would be Senator Merkley (Beto without the Irish) tossed. He’s up for re-election.
Good LORD that would be awesome, if only to see the look of fear on Wyden and Brown's fucking faces...
If we could only get out Wyden. Hasn’t lived in the state in years, wife told PPP loan and is still whining and treating to shut the doors of her east coast book store when they have enriched themselves during his senate term.
True - Wyden is pretty much a New Yorker by now, and he desperately needs to go.
2022 is pretty close-by, yes?
This is inline with McCain's loss in 2008...I WOULD expect Biden to lose in a similar way...as Biden is McCain...unfortunately(or rather thankfully)...
McCain didn't have the media shilling for him 24/7...he was ignored.
With this BS media, it will be close
Does this take into consideration the massive voter fraud mafia rings that Veritas just uncovered?
I'm not sure how he does his analysis... he claims that he was sent the internal polls from both the Biden and Trump campaigns and they are lining up with this map.
Again, I dont know much about the guy other than that he works (or worked) in this field and correctly predicted the last three elections. He was also close on the electoral counts each time.
Take it how you want. I dont know if I believe it or not yet.
It feels like all of the momentum is on President Trump's side, but the Dems are cheating on a massive scale and sadly their leadership is evil, not stupid. I've already voted in person, all of my friends have too. All I can do now is pray. However, the suspense is killing me!
I'm pretty confident about Fl. and Tx. My main concerns are Mn., MI.,PA. and N.C. Wolf and Whitmer are going to try every dirty trick in the book.
Actually, you'd be surprised how little October surprises and such even matter. Polls taken the day before the election are less accurate than predictions made in March (yes, 8 months befpre the election) using primary data.
https://thedonald.win/p/HrOzRpRe/how-to-win-arguments-against-the/
I dunno. Don't the Ds cheat every election, including the ones he predicted correctly?
God willing this will be correct, but NOBODY should get complacent.
Get out and vote IN PERSON or nothing else will matter.
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...formatting!
Depends on the browser I think. I tried to get it right!
His comment was alot of the Gary Johnson voters from 2016 (he got like 10% of the vote due to being the former governor) will swing Trump this time...
He didn't want to call it, though.
They will - trust me on this one.
His analysis... phfff... he just copied off of me.
I'm no expert by any means but this was exactly my prediction on how the map will shake out once the smoke clears.
Here's his analysis of his map: https://twitter.com/KMCRadio/status/1321540916935446529
I like what he said about blacks coming in around 23% and Hispanics at about 39% for Trump. That's going to be demoralizing for these deranged vampires. He also said Trump will get the popular vote and agree with this.
TY
Fairly PISSED and broke from the way the Democrat leadership handled the WuFlu. 90 percent of their income is from tourism.
I hope you are right!
I love Hawaii but I would never go there right now. Get stuck in a hotel room, room service only, threat of being arrested for leaving your room for any reason for two weeks? Um, nothing Aloha about that.
Would be epic
I'm a stats guy. My map is extremely similar.
I'm pretty confident in mine. Arizona I can see going either way and Oregon I made Trump to antagonize a friend in Eugene.
https://i.ibb.co/LxNqVj4/Screenshot-20201021-231004-Opera.jpg
"thith ith too aggrethive"
Red fucking wave!!
This is the first time I've seen Colorado light blue. I'm a fan, but I don't buy it
bIdEn +17 wIsCoNSiN
Looks good if the fraud doesn't overwhelm us.
Makes me SAD Oregon is Blue. Praying and praying for us to go RED!
New Mexico is going brown, lol