This article is a great explanation of why most polls are wrong and why the Trafalger polls are more accurate.
In Summary, if you ask people how they think the people in their social circle will be voting, the results are more accurate than if you ask people how they themselves will be voting. Doing it this way helps to filter out social desirability bias (i.e. the shy Trump vote).
So by their own admission, the social circle question has predicted the last 5 elections they've polled more accurately than the traditional "who are you voting for" question, and the social circle question shows the race even between Trump and Biden. The traditional poll shows Biden up by 10.
This is a good indication, along with other evidence that's been published, that most media polls are probably skewed by 10 points in Biden's favor.
Everything points to a Trump victory except for fake news and university opinion polls, and voter fraud.
This article is a great explanation of why most polls are wrong and why the Trafalger polls are more accurate.
In Summary, if you ask people how they think the people in their social circle will be voting, the results are more accurate than if you ask people how they themselves will be voting. Doing it this way helps to filter out social desirability bias (i.e. the shy Trump vote).
So by their own admission, the social circle question has predicted the last 5 elections they've polled more accurately than the traditional "who are you voting for" question, and the social circle question shows the race even between Trump and Biden. The traditional poll shows Biden up by 10.
This is a good indication, along with other evidence that's been published, that most media polls are probably skewed by 10 points in Biden's favor.
Such a revolutionary polling technique, AKA asking who your "friend" is voting for?
"My friend is voting TRUMP! Not me, i wouldn't do such a thing!"