186
Comments (13)
sorted by:
4
nathanrzehringer 4 points ago +4 / -0

Trump is winning everyone of their 2020 toss ups....and PA..for fucks sake they have Arizona as lean D

3
jentintin 3 points ago +3 / -0

Keep an eye on Houston/Harris County. The liberal county commissioners installed Chris Hollins (a Texas Democratic Party official, look it up) as the County Clerk who will oversee elections.

The dude was put there to test the limits of state law and implement all kinds of shady reforms under the guise of increasing accessibility. For instance there will be 24-hour voting at certain polling places today - polling places that are coincidentally in heavy Dem parts of the county.

Lots of other crazy stuff happening there: like not requiring voters to pull down masks when checking ID - essentially nullifying state voter ID laws. He even tried to implement email voting, but the courts stopped that nonsense.

3
sustainable_saltmine 3 points ago +3 / -0

polls are dogshit. not a one of them is free from Dem bias and wishful thinking to coddle the Joe voters

3
Albo22 3 points ago +4 / -1

What scares me are the early votes in Texas they have reached more than 90% of the total votes in 2016

3
Lurkpede2020 3 points ago +3 / -0

Agree 100%! As someone on the ground in Texas, it's gonna be close and will heavily depend on election day turnout. If you are in the state or have friends/family there, please encourage them to punch red up and down the ticket.

2
CraftyBarnardo 2 points ago +2 / -0

Is it really possible that the polltards are making the same mistakes as 4 years ago? I find it so hard to believe. That’s the only thing that makes me nervous about nov 3

3
gzuf 3 points ago +3 / -0

They never made mistakes with the polls, they were lying and manipulating the whole time. Always remember this!

2
isolepknurd 2 points ago +2 / -0

always remember, always disregard them and always vote for Trump

2
hectorspector 2 points ago +2 / -0

I don't think they've adjusted their models to reflect the Trump political shift.

  1. Higher R black vote %

  2. Higher R hispanic vote %

  3. Higher R blue collar vote %

  4. Higher R disaffected vote %

  5. Higher R registration (reflected in 4)

In short, their models are designed as if this is the republican party of Bush, but it ain't.

1
True-Grit 1 point ago +1 / -0

How does DC get any delegates at all. It's not a state.

1
_____________ 1 point ago +1 / -0

I think those numbers are electoral college votes, not margins.

2
kleindropper [S] 2 points ago +2 / -0

Yes the numbers by the states are their electoral votes. They still had Utah as a "Lean" when Trump won the state by 18 points.

Here are the others:

MI: 0.3% PA: 1.2% WI: 1.0% FL: 1.3% NC: 3.8% AZ: 4.1% GA: 5.7% IA: 9.6% OH: 8.6%

1
_____________ 1 point ago +1 / -0

Ahh, okay. I didn't have that context handy so it looked like it was conflating the two.

Thanks for the clarification, pede!