The polls are bullshit. They were bullshit in 2016 and they’re still bullshit in 2020.
Think of polls like statistics. You can tilt them anyway you want to to get the result you want. Most polls will tell you the percentage of Democrats, Republicans and independents polled. Spoiler, the oversample Democrats.
Among people who answer polls, it's a close race. These are the only pollsters I pay attention to but even they can't count people who won't participate.
Baris just yesterday said that Trump is tracking EXACTLY where he was in PA 5 days out in 2016. He was down by .7 to Hillary, then in the last 5 days ticked above her. He sees the same momentum playing out now.
There's a lot of detail in this that isn't captured by the topline numbers. You have to be able to look at those polls and "project" where things are going. Momentum is clearly moving with Trump, and there are things that polls can't capture like how enthusiasm will actually play out...or completely new voters who aren't being polled, etc. It's more complicated than that.
The polls are bullshit. They were bullshit in 2016 and they’re still bullshit in 2020.
Think of polls like statistics. You can tilt them anyway you want to to get the result you want. Most polls will tell you the percentage of Democrats, Republicans and independents polled. Spoiler, the oversample Democrats.
These two pollsters are the only ones worth a damn.
Somethin' 'bout yankees.
Perhaps this narrative will be better received at BungHole Biden HQ...
Among people who answer polls, it's a close race. These are the only pollsters I pay attention to but even they can't count people who won't participate.
Dude, it's a poll. You sound like some overly-emotional Muppet.
Deport this troll. All his posts are concern this and that.
who cares? Go vote. We've got this!
Baris just yesterday said that Trump is tracking EXACTLY where he was in PA 5 days out in 2016. He was down by .7 to Hillary, then in the last 5 days ticked above her. He sees the same momentum playing out now.
There's a lot of detail in this that isn't captured by the topline numbers. You have to be able to look at those polls and "project" where things are going. Momentum is clearly moving with Trump, and there are things that polls can't capture like how enthusiasm will actually play out...or completely new voters who aren't being polled, etc. It's more complicated than that.