Baris just yesterday said that Trump is tracking EXACTLY where he was in PA 5 days out in 2016. He was down by .7 to Hillary, then in the last 5 days ticked above her. He sees the same momentum playing out now.
There's a lot of detail in this that isn't captured by the topline numbers. You have to be able to look at those polls and "project" where things are going. Momentum is clearly moving with Trump, and there are things that polls can't capture like how enthusiasm will actually play out...or completely new voters who aren't being polled, etc. It's more complicated than that.
Baris just yesterday said that Trump is tracking EXACTLY where he was in PA 5 days out in 2016. He was down by .7 to Hillary, then in the last 5 days ticked above her. He sees the same momentum playing out now.
There's a lot of detail in this that isn't captured by the topline numbers. You have to be able to look at those polls and "project" where things are going. Momentum is clearly moving with Trump, and there are things that polls can't capture like how enthusiasm will actually play out...or completely new voters who aren't being polled, etc. It's more complicated than that.