1,777,188 mail ballots have not yet been returned.
Of those, this is how the voter REGISTERED, not how they voted:
3,341,690 (36.47%) Republican
3,725,877 (40.66%) Democrat
125,219 (1.37%) Other party
1,970,069 (21.50%) No party affiliation
You can look at the subtotals at the page, and you'll notice that Democrats have an edge in by-mail voting (both in ballots counted, and ballots outstanding), while Republicans have the edge in in-person early voting.
There are three more days of early voting remaining (10/29, 30, 31). One might be able to predict the trend by looking at how the data is changing.
Second, based on your edit, when was this page last updated? I’m getting completely different data from NBC. Shows republicans 38 to democrats 41. Maybe your info was more recent than mine, idk.
Huh. NBC uploads their stats not long before that. Either NBC is off or this site is off, and I have a hard time believing NBC would give me false republican-leaning data.
It’s based on early voting data from registered democrats and republicans. Currently there’s really no way to tell which candidate is doing better, the margin is small enough that defecting voters and unaffiliated could make a difference.
This is of course different from Texas. Where Trump is up like over 10 points guaranteed looking at the early vote.
It’s an estimate dumbass, republicans are currently 38% to democrat 41%. However, the democrat lead has been shrinking by a percent every day. Early voting ends in three days.
This is based on voter registration data, not actual votes.
Spez, for people that cannot comprehend the data:
https://countyballotfiles.floridados.gov/VoteByMailEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats
So far (as of 11:10 AM on 10/29):
Of those, this is how the voter REGISTERED, not how they voted:
You can look at the subtotals at the page, and you'll notice that Democrats have an edge in by-mail voting (both in ballots counted, and ballots outstanding), while Republicans have the edge in in-person early voting.
There are three more days of early voting remaining (10/29, 30, 31). One might be able to predict the trend by looking at how the data is changing.
Second, based on your edit, when was this page last updated? I’m getting completely different data from NBC. Shows republicans 38 to democrats 41. Maybe your info was more recent than mine, idk.
It's on the page that I linked and cited (and near the top of my post): 10/29/2020 11:10 AM.
Huh. NBC uploads their stats not long before that. Either NBC is off or this site is off, and I have a hard time believing NBC would give me false republican-leaning data.
It’s based on early voting data from registered democrats and republicans. Currently there’s really no way to tell which candidate is doing better, the margin is small enough that defecting voters and unaffiliated could make a difference.
This is of course different from Texas. Where Trump is up like over 10 points guaranteed looking at the early vote.
It’s an estimate dumbass, republicans are currently 38% to democrat 41%. However, the democrat lead has been shrinking by a percent every day. Early voting ends in three days.
Fuck off doomerfag.