Now you know why the DNC is so very confident in a Biden victory despite weak campaign & no comparable IRL support or enthusiasm VS Trump. They are stealing Texas. Veritas' latest undercover was in San Antonio. Apparently quite a lot of illegal voting going on in the state.
EDIT: There's a weird glitch at this link above in the last graph...it's national numbers. But just load a different state at the top, then plug in Texas again and it should be fixed.
Awesome site, and Dems only have a 7% lead nationally for early and mail in voting? Doesn't bode well for them. Most of that percentage is from CA alone where nearly 3m of the 6.2m more registered Dem voters have come from.
Yep. High turnout in red states is not a bad thing for trump or Republicans. It means voters who don't normally vote, are voting and most of them are Republicans.
Both of you can be right on this. As we've seen there seems to be large amounts of voter fraud. But, record votes already does not necessarily prove voter fraud. It's like when .win complains about being ddos'd after a big drop or event. It could be, we know it is a thing. Or, it could be massive support from actual users.
The record votes could be voter fraud, or it could be a sign of how motivated voters are. Not to mention with covid, there are people still concerned which means early voting numbers are more likely to be higher during this election.
One does not negate the existence of the other, though.
Listen kid, you've done nothing but add ridiculous strawmans to this convo and complain that you're back on reddit. Do you have anything of substance to say or are you gonna continue to be a faggot shill and deny reality when presented pure evidence of voter fraud going on?
You're not acknowledging the evidence of massive voter fraud this election. The evidence is everywhere. This is an existential threat to our nation, that we can not just "wait around" for.
Yeah, I don't see fraud here, I see high enthusiasm combined with covid. I would have expected 10 million+ to vote in Texas anyway. Texas has been adding about 500,000 residents a year lately, and turnout is going to be higher then any time in history across the country. Combine that with covid and you get huge numbers of early voters instead of election day voters.
This seems a little odd, but not way outside the ballpark.
Texas doesn't have party affiliation at the time you register. If you vote in a primary, attend a state convention, or sign a candidate's petition you will be affiliated with that party for the remainder of the election cycle (so you can't vote in the other party's primary).
If you didn't do any of those things, you won't be affiliated. So, I would be hesitant to ascribe any significance to party ID.
Since the vast majority of people don't attend state conventions or sign petitions, that would seem to indicate about 53% of Texans voted for Trump in the primary. Not likely they've changed affiliation since then.
Doesn't eliminate the possibility of voter fraud, so we need to stay vigilant, but that's a tough gap to close, even with fraud.
Whoa. I stand corrected. That's downright bizarre, but I'm still optimistic. One would assume the vast majority of Texans didn't vote in the primary because they knew President Trump would get the nomination hands down, and so didn't bother. It's a much weaker argument, but it could be that Texans are fired up--and don't want to put a mask on to go to the polls. I have to admit, if I suspected I might have to mask up to vote, I might be tempted to take my chances with a mail-in ballot.
Either way, the discrepancy between the primaries and election is more than enough to raise suspicion. Something's rotten in the state of Texas.
No, there's nothing nefarious in the difference between primaries and the general election. It's always been that way. You can look at the historical election results:
In 2016, there were 15,101,087 registered voters. With 16,955,519 registered voters in 2020, that's a 12.28% increase in registered voters. It shouldn't be surprising to see more votes cast this year.
t wouldn't take much effort with a database or even a bit of coding in Java/Python/Perl/etc. to match early primary voters to early general election voters, since the voter registration ID is included in the data. But, you would only be able to match about 45% of general election voters, at best (4M primary voters divided by 9M primary voters).
It's actually about 22%, not 45%, if you compare early voting data. I just downloaded it from both party primaries back in March. Only about 50% of all voters in the primaries voted early. I don't have voter registration numbers for people that voted on primary election day (2020-03-03), so I can't compare them.
Otherwise, I did exactly what I described above: matched the voter registration number. This is what I found:
11.08% of the early voters in the general election voted early in the Republican primary.
10.00% of the early voters in the general election voted early in the Democrat primary
78.92% of the early voters in the general election did not vote early in the party primaries.
I'll rerun my analysis after the last day of in-person early voting is reported tomorrow. I'm also planning to look at the breakdown of in-person vs. mail-in voting.
A final caution: this analysis is based only on participation in a party primary. It cannot account for people that voted in one party's primary, then voted for the other party in the general election. It could occur for at least two reasons:
The voter doesn't like the candidate that won their party primary.
A voter normally affiliated with one party "crossed over" to vote in the other party's primary in order to promote a weaker candidate.
You can pull up the last set of primary results (2020-03-03) here:
My point wasn't about the distribution of primary voters, because as you point out: the Republican primary was essentially uncontested. If you look at 2016, you'll see the distribution is quite a bit different:
The point that people aren't getting: every voter in Texas is considered unaffiliated, until they vote in a primary, sign a candidate's petition, or attend a party's convention. Then, they become affiliated for the remainder of the calendar year for one purpose: so they can't vote in the other party's primary (or any runoffs). At the end of the year, the affiliation automatically expires.
This is the Texas Secretary of State's FAQ on the subject:
The fact that you voted in a party primary is public information. In particular, you'll be listed on the voting roster if you vote early. I explain how to find that information here:
It wouldn't take much effort with a database or even a bit of coding in Java/Python/Perl/etc. to match early primary voters to early general election voters, since the voter registration ID is included in the data. But, you would only be able to match about 45% of general election voters, at best (4M primary voters divided by 9M primary voters).
Therefore, any party ID assignment is based on some hand-waving, not any real tabulation. As I wrote: the commonly cited source says that party ID is estimated from other sources (I think by someone named "TargetSmart").
In other words, it can be only as accurate as any other Misleadia poll.
This is not an estimate it’s a tally Of actual ballots voted by mail and in person. Does that change your view any? See nbc election section which tracks by state.
There is no actual tally of ballots, outside the Texas Secretary of State. That information is not published until after the polls have closed on Election Day.
People are either voting for trump or against trump. There is hardly anyone out there who is voting because they believe Biden is good for the country.
My whole family and many of their friends have already voted early in Texas. All voting Trump. I've had people at Costco ask me if I've voted already - Trump people both times. My family's coworkers have brought it up - all Trump.
Just because there is massive turn out to early voting that has been happening since October 13th (and ends today!) doesn't mean it's bad news at all. If anything, it's just proof that Texas doesn't wanna fuck this up. We'll know on Tuesday that Texas voted Trump.
Agree. Most everyone I know at work had already voted, most of my family and maga people on my block have voted. People are just voting early this time.
Beto came within 2 points of Ted Cruz in 2018. And it wasn't due to his popularity. There has always been a lot of illegals voting in Texas. It might finally be enough to tip the scales.
I voted for Trump this week in TX. I live close to Dallas and didn't want to risk any fuckery; however, Abbott is calling in the National Guard which will make for a more safe and secure election. I hope AG Paxton brings charges on that fraud ring in San Antonio. I don't know what else you need after that Project Veritas bomb
And wait until Election Day and these loser idiots have been so successful with their systemic fraud is that they take in far more votes than registered voters.
I’ve heard instances on like a county or precinct level. This may be on a state level, one of the most populist. That plus all the already documented systemic voter fraud is going to be hard to ignore.
Republicans have always had their hands tie4d by the courts on this - they can't call out the Democrats for fraud, but the Democrats could call out the Repubs for it.
That way, the Republican party can always be the one with a track record of fraud, while the Democrats remain clean.
See how that worked?
However, that's all gone. The court order was left to sunset and expire, and now the Republicans can target ALL of the previously safe fraud centers of the Democrats.
I tend to think the Trump team studied it as it happen in 2018, so there could be a fix in place for 2020. That's how Trump and his team have worked in the past (the 2012 election vis-a-vis the 2016 election).
Turnout is absolutely going to push 70%. This election is like nothing any of us have ever seen. This isn't a choice between two swamp rats or between establishment and an untested outsider.
This election is clearly, to everyone looking, a fight for the very soul of the country. This election is going to decide the direction of the country for the next 40 years.
The only way to verify this is to wait until after the election. Compare turnout in red states that don’t have many electoral votes or are traditionally red, like Kansas or Montana or Kentucky or Oklahoma to Texas turnout. If turnout is massively higher in Texas compared to the rest then we know something is up. Dems wouldn’t throw resources to cheat in a solid red state with low electoral numbers.
They will use the media to cover their tracks. They will gaslight. They will lie.
Huge turnout when I voted on the first day of early voting(Had to early vote to get mistakes that the government had made(my registration was fine in 2018, they screwed it up on their own in 2020, I did not move) on my voter registration corrected, they had said on the phone a week before that I had to clear them up in person at the early voting place.).
The local Tea Party and democrats were handing out voting guides and materials. Far more of the tea party materials were taken by those in line. Heard one of the democrats ask why so many people had "those red cards" in a flustered voice. Of course my area is generally very red. Had to wait in line from 8:30am ish to 11ish.
Since Texas allows you to vote early at any location in your county, my wife and I made a road trip (~20 min) to a small town and were in and out in 10 minutes.
If you have that option, keep it in mind for next election.
Looked, no small town locations in my county. Did go to smaller area than mine. Lord knows what the nearest one looked like this year, went there in 2018 and it was similar to the less populated one then, but had zero parking left over so I had to walk.
It should be noted that is based on presumed party registration data from OTHER sources.
Texas doesn't have party affiliation at the time you register. If you vote in a primary, attend a state convention, or sign a candidate's petition you will be affiliated with that party for the remainder of the election cycle (so you can't vote in the other party's primary).
If you didn't do any of those things, you won't be affiliated. So, I would be hesitant to ascribe any significance to party ID.
I wish. For ever pede voting for Trump legitimately. We have at least one illegal, 3 dead people, and 5 people from other states voting against him.
El Paso is so cucked it's painful to watch. They now have a curfew at 10pm and 500 dollar fines for Covid restriction violations. Not to mention just about all of Juarez is crossing the border or mailing in ballots to the US election this year.
Early voting turnout has been very heavy this year. It also started a week earlier.
As of yesterday:
53.14% of registered voters have voted
47.55% voted in person
5.59% voted absentee by mail
Normally, absentee voting is less than 3%, because Texas limits absentee voters to over 65, disabled, or out of the county during the entire early voting period.
Every single person I know has voted early. Dozens of people in my circle (family, friends, co-workers etc.) It is so much easier to vote early this year, quick and easy.
We all reside in Texas. There were always some people I talked to by now that were waiting for voting day or just forgot. Not the case this year.
Same. My Florida household (3 votes) has all voted already. We walked in and cast early votes, put them into the machine and watched the ticker tally up before leaving.
Reporting from Texas here. Austin area to be exact. I've personally witnessed lines like never before. Was driving down 620 a few days ago and saw at least hundreds if not a thousand people at 1 particular poll. Snaked around to cast votes. Voter fraud is going to be a huge deal all over the country, but be faithful my fellow Pedes! I voted last Thursday and the line i was in was full of Trumpsters! We are the majority! We are going to re elect Trump and we are going to continue to MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!
So I live in Texas and literally everyone is voting. Old and young and for both candidates. After the Beto fiasco Texas Democrats have become more rabid then ever cause they know if Texas goes blue there will never be another Republican President for a while. I see lots more POTUS energy then I did in 2016 and I love in Austin so I think we win but it’s gonna be a battle.
All the talk between COVID fear mongering and "flipping Texas" is going to bite the Dems in the ass so hard. They have no idea the beast they unleashed with this one. They scared their own party into locking themselves in their homes; mail in voting is rejected at a high enough rate to swing an election and they lit a fire under the Republicans butts with BLM/riots/COVID lockdowns and "flipping states Blue".
Packing the courts talk is just the accelerant to get the fire started.
You know, I was wondering how much gas was left in the tank for Republicans on Election Day in N.C. and PA, but if Texas is going to get 120% of 2016 voting numbers and so far a shit ton of Rs still haven’t voted, that seems like a positive development generally.
Prominent conservatives have been urging people to vote early including trump and bongino. I think they are more worried about election day fuckery and riots so they want to make sure people get their votes in. It's possible that's all we're seeing but the left is known for fuckery in general so who knows. Let's all just maga so hard that no amount of fuckery will help.
When the counting is done, I think we'll find that: 1. The majority of early votes were for President Trump, and; 2. The VAST majority of fraudulent votes (there will be several times the previous records) are for a straight [D] ticket.
If they win, stealing it is the only way. But I think the turnout after all the riots and crap this summer is going to be through the roof and no amount of voter fraud can overcome it.
Most of my family has already voted. They all voted Trump.
Most of the early voters here are Trump voters that think there's going to be "antifa-style" disruptions at the polling precincts. They want to get their votes in before the shenanigans begin.
Wherever I go to encourage people to vote, I find most have ALREADY voted - for Trump. These are people who in times past have been very apathetic to the idea of voting. They are very enthusiastic this year.
Several fraud scams have already been publicized widely - our people know about them. This is also known to the Trump team; if the Trump team is smart, they should already have staff in place recording evidence to take to court should Texas "narrowly flip".
I am of the opposite opinion: should the usual number of voters appear on election day and vote with this trend...we are seeing a building red wave, the likes of which have not been seen in nearly 50 years.
Yes fraud. Also remember that 50% of eligible voters didn’t vote in 2016, whatever side turns out a couple percent of those wins. Bet your ass Biden ain’t turning them out
Interesting - PA Early votes cast by party 1.3 million (D) and 616k (R), and have casted 34.1% of total votes counted in 2016 election. Hmmm, I'm thinking there will be a big swing on 11/3, when people go and vote at the polling place, because there's gonna be 150% more votes in 2020!!
I am looking at the data from the Texas Tribune, and they are saying that since 2016, 1.8 million voters have been added to the register. I do not know the total number of registered voters in Texas, but based on what they are saying, it is 53.1% of registered voters have voted so far. Most have done so in person (47.6% did so in person and 5.6% did so by mail). The voter turnout in 2016 was 59.4%. So yes the number of people who have voted is higher than 2016, but percentage wise it is not yet. Still means go out and vote, but I am not freaking out here yet. Could there be voting fraud, yes I think we have seen evidence of it quite clearly. But the President has a massive amount of support in Texas, more so than Ted Cruz does IMO. In 2018 Governor Abbott way outperformed Ted Cruz and won by over 13 points. And Abbott seems to be pretty pro Trump. Are Abbott voters the same as Trump voters, I would say for the mass majority of them, yes. Trump has gained ground with Blacks and Hispanics. We will all know for sure come Election Day, but for sure Texas Pedes need to go out and VOTE! If not to keep Texas firmly Red then to just increase the Popular vote for President Trump. For all we know, Trump voters are storming the polls throughout Texas and will do so on Election Day even more so. Still be vigilant for fraud, but vote!
Now you know why the DNC is so very confident in a Biden victory despite weak campaign & no comparable IRL support or enthusiasm VS Trump. They are stealing Texas. Veritas' latest undercover was in San Antonio. Apparently quite a lot of illegal voting going on in the state.
Eh, lots more people emotionally invested in DJT, and record numbers of people fleeing shitty blue states for redder pastures.
I expect to see more votes in TX. What do these numbers look like in blue states? I'll look after I'm done w/ my current tasks.
Exactly. I and others here in Florida are looking at Texas and all we can see is RED WAVE INCOMING.
Just look at the Targetsmart Data for Texas. It's overwhelmingly red votes being cast. Millions upon millions.
https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/?view_type=State&demo=Modeled%20Party&demo_val=All&state=TX
EDIT: There's a weird glitch at this link above in the last graph...it's national numbers. But just load a different state at the top, then plug in Texas again and it should be fixed.
Awesome site, and Dems only have a 7% lead nationally for early and mail in voting? Doesn't bode well for them. Most of that percentage is from CA alone where nearly 3m of the 6.2m more registered Dem voters have come from.
Yep. High turnout in red states is not a bad thing for trump or Republicans. It means voters who don't normally vote, are voting and most of them are Republicans.
3 million votes worth?
Come on, man!
No. I don't see it. I think what you're seeing is Texas flexing it's conservative muscle.
Both of you can be right on this. As we've seen there seems to be large amounts of voter fraud. But, record votes already does not necessarily prove voter fraud. It's like when .win complains about being ddos'd after a big drop or event. It could be, we know it is a thing. Or, it could be massive support from actual users.
The record votes could be voter fraud, or it could be a sign of how motivated voters are. Not to mention with covid, there are people still concerned which means early voting numbers are more likely to be higher during this election.
One does not negate the existence of the other, though.
We've has two years to combat it.
he didnt even watch the evidence that he was given. He’s either a shill or a retard
Listen kid, you've done nothing but add ridiculous strawmans to this convo and complain that you're back on reddit. Do you have anything of substance to say or are you gonna continue to be a faggot shill and deny reality when presented pure evidence of voter fraud going on?
Did I tell you that you are a faggot?
Obvious shill. He thinks tough man talk will cover it up. I do the same thing to feel tough after my wife roughs me up from behind.
I like it when you talk dirty big boy.
You sound like a virgin
Yep. This guy couldn’t please us sexually if he wanted to.
You're not acknowledging the evidence of massive voter fraud this election. The evidence is everywhere. This is an existential threat to our nation, that we can not just "wait around" for.
Holy shit the Biden concern trolls are out hot today. Go suck on mommies soy tits you lil bitch. Trump takes TX by a million votes.
LOL. These dudes are being such cucks today. You'd think we were on theBiden.win
judging by you two denying reality of voter fraud then sure
Either that or bury my head in the sand. Have any hot tips on the best location to bury mine, like you did yours?
You literally didn't even watch the video.
We can see the timestamps.
He posted the video at 14:26:52.
You typed and submitted your response at 14:28:34.
1 minute and 42 seconds.
At an average reading rate it would've taken about 9 seconds to read what he wrote.
At an average typing speed it would've taken you 41 seconds to write your response.
That isn't even accounting for any lag between him submitting his post and you seeing the notification.
Meaning you could have spent no more than 52 seconds watching that video.
You reek of liberal. KYS.
Veritas has been reporting on it all week. And I live here.
Yeah, I don't see fraud here, I see high enthusiasm combined with covid. I would have expected 10 million+ to vote in Texas anyway. Texas has been adding about 500,000 residents a year lately, and turnout is going to be higher then any time in history across the country. Combine that with covid and you get huge numbers of early voters instead of election day voters.
This seems a little odd, but not way outside the ballpark.
Just the evidence basically everywhere.
GOP leading 53-37 in mail in and early Texas voting.
VOTE!!
Texas doesn't have party affiliation at the time you register. If you vote in a primary, attend a state convention, or sign a candidate's petition you will be affiliated with that party for the remainder of the election cycle (so you can't vote in the other party's primary).
If you didn't do any of those things, you won't be affiliated. So, I would be hesitant to ascribe any significance to party ID.
Since the vast majority of people don't attend state conventions or sign petitions, that would seem to indicate about 53% of Texans voted for Trump in the primary. Not likely they've changed affiliation since then.
Doesn't eliminate the possibility of voter fraud, so we need to stay vigilant, but that's a tough gap to close, even with fraud.
The source usually cited for these numbers says it estimated party ID from other sources. The problem: Most Texans don't vote in primaries.
You can pull up the last set of primary results (2020-03-03) here:
https://results.texas-election.com/races
In the Democrat primary:
In the Republican primary:
That's a bit over 4M voters, total. So far, 9M have voted in the current general election.
Trying to assign party ID to these voters is a fool's errand.
Whoa. I stand corrected. That's downright bizarre, but I'm still optimistic. One would assume the vast majority of Texans didn't vote in the primary because they knew President Trump would get the nomination hands down, and so didn't bother. It's a much weaker argument, but it could be that Texans are fired up--and don't want to put a mask on to go to the polls. I have to admit, if I suspected I might have to mask up to vote, I might be tempted to take my chances with a mail-in ballot.
Either way, the discrepancy between the primaries and election is more than enough to raise suspicion. Something's rotten in the state of Texas.
Mask are not required for in person voting thanks to Gregg Abbott.
No, there's nothing nefarious in the difference between primaries and the general election. It's always been that way. You can look at the historical election results:
https://elections.sos.state.tx.us/index.htm
In 2016, for President:
Yes, it looks like more people are voting early. But, it remains to be seen if Election Day turnout will be the same, or lower.
In 2016, of registered voters:
I posted the percentages (so far) for 2020 here: https://thedonald.win/p/11PW3D5yMc/x/c/19BtL9jFDF
In 2016, there were 15,101,087 registered voters. With 16,955,519 registered voters in 2020, that's a 12.28% increase in registered voters. It shouldn't be surprising to see more votes cast this year.
That doesn't mean there are 5 million unaffiliated voters, though.
Are those primary voting numbers from THIS year? When there essentially WASN'T a GOP presidential primary?
People went out and voted for Trump anyway.
That’s my point.
I wrote this in my last post.
It's actually about 22%, not 45%, if you compare early voting data. I just downloaded it from both party primaries back in March. Only about 50% of all voters in the primaries voted early. I don't have voter registration numbers for people that voted on primary election day (2020-03-03), so I can't compare them.
Otherwise, I did exactly what I described above: matched the voter registration number. This is what I found:
I'll rerun my analysis after the last day of in-person early voting is reported tomorrow. I'm also planning to look at the breakdown of in-person vs. mail-in voting.
A final caution: this analysis is based only on participation in a party primary. It cannot account for people that voted in one party's primary, then voted for the other party in the general election. It could occur for at least two reasons:
Yes, it says it right in my post:
My point wasn't about the distribution of primary voters, because as you point out: the Republican primary was essentially uncontested. If you look at 2016, you'll see the distribution is quite a bit different:
https://thedonald.win/p/11PW3D5yMc/x/c/19BtLGVxuC
The point that people aren't getting: every voter in Texas is considered unaffiliated, until they vote in a primary, sign a candidate's petition, or attend a party's convention. Then, they become affiliated for the remainder of the calendar year for one purpose: so they can't vote in the other party's primary (or any runoffs). At the end of the year, the affiliation automatically expires.
This is the Texas Secretary of State's FAQ on the subject:
https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/laws/advisory2020-05.shtml
The fact that you voted in a party primary is public information. In particular, you'll be listed on the voting roster if you vote early. I explain how to find that information here:
https://thedonald.win/p/HrOutQY6/texas-pede-alert--if-you-mailed-/
It wouldn't take much effort with a database or even a bit of coding in Java/Python/Perl/etc. to match early primary voters to early general election voters, since the voter registration ID is included in the data. But, you would only be able to match about 45% of general election voters, at best (4M primary voters divided by 9M primary voters).
Therefore, any party ID assignment is based on some hand-waving, not any real tabulation. As I wrote: the commonly cited source says that party ID is estimated from other sources (I think by someone named "TargetSmart").
In other words, it can be only as accurate as any other Misleadia poll.
Trump had 1.8+ million more votes in the primary than Biden , Warren, and Sanders combined. Just a tidbit to calm the nerves.
This is not an estimate it’s a tally Of actual ballots voted by mail and in person. Does that change your view any? See nbc election section which tracks by state.
There is no actual tally of ballots, outside the Texas Secretary of State. That information is not published until after the polls have closed on Election Day.
Anyone who claims otherwise is lying to you.
Source for GOP leading by 53-37?
NBC has election section. They track by state.
LINK IT FFS
If link doesn’t work:
Nbcnews.com Drop down menu: politics Top line menu: by state Drop down menu: Texas
www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/Texas-results
Source
People are either voting for trump or against trump. There is hardly anyone out there who is voting because they believe Biden is good for the country.
My whole family and many of their friends have already voted early in Texas. All voting Trump. I've had people at Costco ask me if I've voted already - Trump people both times. My family's coworkers have brought it up - all Trump.
Just because there is massive turn out to early voting that has been happening since October 13th (and ends today!) doesn't mean it's bad news at all. If anything, it's just proof that Texas doesn't wanna fuck this up. We'll know on Tuesday that Texas voted Trump.
Agree. Most everyone I know at work had already voted, most of my family and maga people on my block have voted. People are just voting early this time.
Beto came within 2 points of Ted Cruz in 2018. And it wasn't due to his popularity. There has always been a lot of illegals voting in Texas. It might finally be enough to tip the scales.
Sure, sure. But Ted Cruz is NOT Donald Trump. Were there literal parades of cars adorned with Cruz flags and banners everywhere?
No.
And...as lame as we now know Beto to be, he was new to the scene back then. And he still lost.
Cruz angered lot of voters when he ran for POTUS right after being newly elected.
Then, he didn't campaign that hard against Beto until the end. Beto had a helluva lot of money, too.
I voted for Trump this week in TX. I live close to Dallas and didn't want to risk any fuckery; however, Abbott is calling in the National Guard which will make for a more safe and secure election. I hope AG Paxton brings charges on that fraud ring in San Antonio. I don't know what else you need after that Project Veritas bomb
Texas only has 11,634,000 registered voters as of 2020
And wait until Election Day and these loser idiots have been so successful with their systemic fraud is that they take in far more votes than registered voters.
That's actually more common than you would think, but nothing ever comes of it.
I’ve heard instances on like a county or precinct level. This may be on a state level, one of the most populist. That plus all the already documented systemic voter fraud is going to be hard to ignore.
Republicans have always had their hands tie4d by the courts on this - they can't call out the Democrats for fraud, but the Democrats could call out the Repubs for it.
That way, the Republican party can always be the one with a track record of fraud, while the Democrats remain clean.
See how that worked?
However, that's all gone. The court order was left to sunset and expire, and now the Republicans can target ALL of the previously safe fraud centers of the Democrats.
I tend to think the Trump team studied it as it happen in 2018, so there could be a fix in place for 2020. That's how Trump and his team have worked in the past (the 2012 election vis-a-vis the 2016 election).
This is clear fraud, then. There is never, ever, ever 80% turn out for any vote. Yet they still have election day to go.
I guess the next question is how many names were on the rolls list they sent mail-in votes out to?
If they had a million dead/moved/etc on the list then it;s easy to see what's happening...
According to numbers as of Oct 15, there are almost 17m registered voters in Texas.
https://www.texastribune.org/2020/10/16/texas-2020-registered-voters/
This is straight from the Secretary of State:
https://earlyvoting.texas-election.com/Elections/getEVDetails.do
Select the 11/3 General election, then 10/29 (yesterday).
Scroll to the bottom, and it says:
16,955,519 registered voters.
That's still >50% turnout in early voting. Last 4 presidential elections saw an average of 55.8% total turnout.
It might be that this is an insane turnout year, but right now shit seems fucky.
No way that there will be 75 - 80 % turnout, even in this election. There has to be fraud.
Turnout is absolutely going to push 70%. This election is like nothing any of us have ever seen. This isn't a choice between two swamp rats or between establishment and an untested outsider.
This election is clearly, to everyone looking, a fight for the very soul of the country. This election is going to decide the direction of the country for the next 40 years.
You may be correct. Everyone needs to be on high alert for more shenanigans than usual, though.
The only way to verify this is to wait until after the election. Compare turnout in red states that don’t have many electoral votes or are traditionally red, like Kansas or Montana or Kentucky or Oklahoma to Texas turnout. If turnout is massively higher in Texas compared to the rest then we know something is up. Dems wouldn’t throw resources to cheat in a solid red state with low electoral numbers.
They will use the media to cover their tracks. They will gaslight. They will lie.
Agreed. But who knows maybe we will end up winning TX by 70% margin lol
Lyndon Johnson's 1948 Senate campaign. Read about it and say a prayer our Republican governor is doing the job DeSantis is doing in Florida.
11.6 million registered voters, and the democrats will get 23 million votes.
The Dems are trying to overcome this: https://www.toptradeguru.com/news/elections-2020/results/texas-early-ballot-returns-shows-polls-are-wrong/
Based on this, I just hope the left has woken up Texas conservatives and we're simply seeing a massive turnout to stomp them into the ground.
I think it’s a little of both - massive voter turnout and some fraud.
i heard they caught some fraud in TX.
Remember, when we hear about all the fraud, that means somebody caught it.
I know the Trump army is diligent in getting everybody involved, including myself, so let's just keep working.
So when they catch these people, are the votes invalidated?
Huge turnout when I voted on the first day of early voting(Had to early vote to get mistakes that the government had made(my registration was fine in 2018, they screwed it up on their own in 2020, I did not move) on my voter registration corrected, they had said on the phone a week before that I had to clear them up in person at the early voting place.).
The local Tea Party and democrats were handing out voting guides and materials. Far more of the tea party materials were taken by those in line. Heard one of the democrats ask why so many people had "those red cards" in a flustered voice. Of course my area is generally very red. Had to wait in line from 8:30am ish to 11ish.
Since Texas allows you to vote early at any location in your county, my wife and I made a road trip (~20 min) to a small town and were in and out in 10 minutes.
If you have that option, keep it in mind for next election.
Looked, no small town locations in my county. Did go to smaller area than mine. Lord knows what the nearest one looked like this year, went there in 2018 and it was similar to the less populated one then, but had zero parking left over so I had to walk.
I wondered if that was your situation.... that's why I added "if...".
We live on the edge of a large metro area. Part of the county is heavily populated, but we don't have to drive far to get into a semi-rural area.
It should be noted that is based on presumed party registration data from OTHER sources.
Texas doesn't have party affiliation at the time you register. If you vote in a primary, attend a state convention, or sign a candidate's petition you will be affiliated with that party for the remainder of the election cycle (so you can't vote in the other party's primary).
If you didn't do any of those things, you won't be affiliated. So, I would be hesitant to ascribe any significance to party ID.
I am so sicked by the Democrats at this point. This level of treachery is beyond anything I thought capable.
I wish. For ever pede voting for Trump legitimately. We have at least one illegal, 3 dead people, and 5 people from other states voting against him.
El Paso is so cucked it's painful to watch. They now have a curfew at 10pm and 500 dollar fines for Covid restriction violations. Not to mention just about all of Juarez is crossing the border or mailing in ballots to the US election this year.
Problem is, they are MORE than dumb enough
What the fuck. This doesn’t add up at all.
Early voting turnout has been very heavy this year. It also started a week earlier.
As of yesterday:
Normally, absentee voting is less than 3%, because Texas limits absentee voters to over 65, disabled, or out of the county during the entire early voting period.
Every single person I know has voted early. Dozens of people in my circle (family, friends, co-workers etc.) It is so much easier to vote early this year, quick and easy.
We all reside in Texas. There were always some people I talked to by now that were waiting for voting day or just forgot. Not the case this year.
Same. My Florida household (3 votes) has all voted already. We walked in and cast early votes, put them into the machine and watched the ticker tally up before leaving.
Not leaving anything to chance this year.
Trump is blowing the fuck out of Biden in Texas. 53-37% R vs D votes submitted after 8.9 million votes according to NBC
Reporting from Texas here. Austin area to be exact. I've personally witnessed lines like never before. Was driving down 620 a few days ago and saw at least hundreds if not a thousand people at 1 particular poll. Snaked around to cast votes. Voter fraud is going to be a huge deal all over the country, but be faithful my fellow Pedes! I voted last Thursday and the line i was in was full of Trumpsters! We are the majority! We are going to re elect Trump and we are going to continue to MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN!
I am from the Austin area too and I also saw what you saw.
Its ok to be skeptical but also listen to what we're seeing on the ground.
Everyone and I mean everyone I know in TX is voting. I am in bed with a possible case of the wuflu else I would be voting.
Walk your sick ass to the precinct and VOTE!
No excuses.
Also, hope you feel better, 'Pede. But do vote.
Well I do have the Wu Flu officially so if someone could send a ballot harvester to my home it would be appreciated.
So I live in Texas and literally everyone is voting. Old and young and for both candidates. After the Beto fiasco Texas Democrats have become more rabid then ever cause they know if Texas goes blue there will never be another Republican President for a while. I see lots more POTUS energy then I did in 2016 and I love in Austin so I think we win but it’s gonna be a battle.
All the talk between COVID fear mongering and "flipping Texas" is going to bite the Dems in the ass so hard. They have no idea the beast they unleashed with this one. They scared their own party into locking themselves in their homes; mail in voting is rejected at a high enough rate to swing an election and they lit a fire under the Republicans butts with BLM/riots/COVID lockdowns and "flipping states Blue".
Packing the courts talk is just the accelerant to get the fire started.
You know, I was wondering how much gas was left in the tank for Republicans on Election Day in N.C. and PA, but if Texas is going to get 120% of 2016 voting numbers and so far a shit ton of Rs still haven’t voted, that seems like a positive development generally.
Yeah, Texas gonna vote for the guy who said I'm taking all your guns away, sure that makes sense.
"I'm shutting down your oil and gas industries!"
Y'all just give that a try in Texas, Joe. We'll see what happens.
Prominent conservatives have been urging people to vote early including trump and bongino. I think they are more worried about election day fuckery and riots so they want to make sure people get their votes in. It's possible that's all we're seeing but the left is known for fuckery in general so who knows. Let's all just maga so hard that no amount of fuckery will help.
When Trump voted early himself in Florida last Saturday, I know several Republicans here in Texas who chose that day to vote early too!
Texas is no longer considered a candidate as a swing state. It's solid red.
I also voted early in TX 2 days ago...
If we lose Texas it’s over.
Just think all those democrat early ballots will be voting again on the 3rd.
When the counting is done, I think we'll find that: 1. The majority of early votes were for President Trump, and; 2. The VAST majority of fraudulent votes (there will be several times the previous records) are for a straight [D] ticket.
Paging AG Paxton! Come in AG Paxton!
Paxton?
Paxton?
...
Hello?
They are 100% going to steal texas.
You are drunk, my dude.
If they win, stealing it is the only way. But I think the turnout after all the riots and crap this summer is going to be through the roof and no amount of voter fraud can overcome it.
Errrrr....Texan here.
Most of my family has already voted. They all voted Trump.
Most of the early voters here are Trump voters that think there's going to be "antifa-style" disruptions at the polling precincts. They want to get their votes in before the shenanigans begin.
Wherever I go to encourage people to vote, I find most have ALREADY voted - for Trump. These are people who in times past have been very apathetic to the idea of voting. They are very enthusiastic this year.
Several fraud scams have already been publicized widely - our people know about them. This is also known to the Trump team; if the Trump team is smart, they should already have staff in place recording evidence to take to court should Texas "narrowly flip".
I am of the opposite opinion: should the usual number of voters appear on election day and vote with this trend...we are seeing a building red wave, the likes of which have not been seen in nearly 50 years.
I could be wrong. We will know on November 4th...
Babylon bee had a funny satire about this happening.... now it's coming true.
There are 19 million registered voters in Texas. 18% lead by Republicans over Democrats.
Yes fraud. Also remember that 50% of eligible voters didn’t vote in 2016, whatever side turns out a couple percent of those wins. Bet your ass Biden ain’t turning them out
Something stinks
Interesting - PA Early votes cast by party 1.3 million (D) and 616k (R), and have casted 34.1% of total votes counted in 2016 election. Hmmm, I'm thinking there will be a big swing on 11/3, when people go and vote at the polling place, because there's gonna be 150% more votes in 2020!!
You don't it's fraud. Consider not fear mongering to people just browsing for memes?
I am looking at the data from the Texas Tribune, and they are saying that since 2016, 1.8 million voters have been added to the register. I do not know the total number of registered voters in Texas, but based on what they are saying, it is 53.1% of registered voters have voted so far. Most have done so in person (47.6% did so in person and 5.6% did so by mail). The voter turnout in 2016 was 59.4%. So yes the number of people who have voted is higher than 2016, but percentage wise it is not yet. Still means go out and vote, but I am not freaking out here yet. Could there be voting fraud, yes I think we have seen evidence of it quite clearly. But the President has a massive amount of support in Texas, more so than Ted Cruz does IMO. In 2018 Governor Abbott way outperformed Ted Cruz and won by over 13 points. And Abbott seems to be pretty pro Trump. Are Abbott voters the same as Trump voters, I would say for the mass majority of them, yes. Trump has gained ground with Blacks and Hispanics. We will all know for sure come Election Day, but for sure Texas Pedes need to go out and VOTE! If not to keep Texas firmly Red then to just increase the Popular vote for President Trump. For all we know, Trump voters are storming the polls throughout Texas and will do so on Election Day even more so. Still be vigilant for fraud, but vote!
https://www.texastribune.org/2020/10/30/texas-votes-cast/
Harvesters and fraudsters were out in force to get Trump out of office.
Less than one million of those votes were mail-in.
https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/TX.html
Long lines at my local polling location. I had to wait about an hour to vote.