Texas doesn't have party affiliation at the time you register. If you vote in a primary, attend a state convention, or sign a candidate's petition you will be affiliated with that party for the remainder of the election cycle (so you can't vote in the other party's primary).
If you didn't do any of those things, you won't be affiliated. So, I would be hesitant to ascribe any significance to party ID.
Since the vast majority of people don't attend state conventions or sign petitions, that would seem to indicate about 53% of Texans voted for Trump in the primary. Not likely they've changed affiliation since then.
Doesn't eliminate the possibility of voter fraud, so we need to stay vigilant, but that's a tough gap to close, even with fraud.
Whoa. I stand corrected. That's downright bizarre, but I'm still optimistic. One would assume the vast majority of Texans didn't vote in the primary because they knew President Trump would get the nomination hands down, and so didn't bother. It's a much weaker argument, but it could be that Texans are fired up--and don't want to put a mask on to go to the polls. I have to admit, if I suspected I might have to mask up to vote, I might be tempted to take my chances with a mail-in ballot.
Either way, the discrepancy between the primaries and election is more than enough to raise suspicion. Something's rotten in the state of Texas.
This is not an estimate it’s a tally Of actual ballots voted by mail and in person. Does that change your view any? See nbc election section which tracks by state.
There is no actual tally of ballots, outside the Texas Secretary of State. That information is not published until after the polls have closed on Election Day.
GOP leading 53-37 in mail in and early Texas voting.
VOTE!!
Texas doesn't have party affiliation at the time you register. If you vote in a primary, attend a state convention, or sign a candidate's petition you will be affiliated with that party for the remainder of the election cycle (so you can't vote in the other party's primary).
If you didn't do any of those things, you won't be affiliated. So, I would be hesitant to ascribe any significance to party ID.
Since the vast majority of people don't attend state conventions or sign petitions, that would seem to indicate about 53% of Texans voted for Trump in the primary. Not likely they've changed affiliation since then.
Doesn't eliminate the possibility of voter fraud, so we need to stay vigilant, but that's a tough gap to close, even with fraud.
The source usually cited for these numbers says it estimated party ID from other sources. The problem: Most Texans don't vote in primaries.
You can pull up the last set of primary results (2020-03-03) here:
https://results.texas-election.com/races
In the Democrat primary:
In the Republican primary:
That's a bit over 4M voters, total. So far, 9M have voted in the current general election.
Trying to assign party ID to these voters is a fool's errand.
Whoa. I stand corrected. That's downright bizarre, but I'm still optimistic. One would assume the vast majority of Texans didn't vote in the primary because they knew President Trump would get the nomination hands down, and so didn't bother. It's a much weaker argument, but it could be that Texans are fired up--and don't want to put a mask on to go to the polls. I have to admit, if I suspected I might have to mask up to vote, I might be tempted to take my chances with a mail-in ballot.
Either way, the discrepancy between the primaries and election is more than enough to raise suspicion. Something's rotten in the state of Texas.
That doesn't mean there are 5 million unaffiliated voters, though.
Are those primary voting numbers from THIS year? When there essentially WASN'T a GOP presidential primary?
Trump had 1.8+ million more votes in the primary than Biden , Warren, and Sanders combined. Just a tidbit to calm the nerves.
This is not an estimate it’s a tally Of actual ballots voted by mail and in person. Does that change your view any? See nbc election section which tracks by state.
There is no actual tally of ballots, outside the Texas Secretary of State. That information is not published until after the polls have closed on Election Day.
Anyone who claims otherwise is lying to you.
Source for GOP leading by 53-37?
NBC has election section. They track by state.
LINK IT FFS
If link doesn’t work:
Nbcnews.com Drop down menu: politics Top line menu: by state Drop down menu: Texas
www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-elections/Texas-results
Source