You can pull up the last set of primary results (2020-03-03) here:
My point wasn't about the distribution of primary voters, because as you point out: the Republican primary was essentially uncontested. If you look at 2016, you'll see the distribution is quite a bit different:
The point that people aren't getting: every voter in Texas is considered unaffiliated, until they vote in a primary, sign a candidate's petition, or attend a party's convention. Then, they become affiliated for the remainder of the calendar year for one purpose: so they can't vote in the other party's primary (or any runoffs). At the end of the year, the affiliation automatically expires.
This is the Texas Secretary of State's FAQ on the subject:
The fact that you voted in a party primary is public information. In particular, you'll be listed on the voting roster if you vote early. I explain how to find that information here:
It wouldn't take much effort with a database or even a bit of coding in Java/Python/Perl/etc. to match early primary voters to early general election voters, since the voter registration ID is included in the data. But, you would only be able to match about 45% of general election voters, at best (4M primary voters divided by 9M primary voters).
Therefore, any party ID assignment is based on some hand-waving, not any real tabulation. As I wrote: the commonly cited source says that party ID is estimated from other sources (I think by someone named "TargetSmart").
In other words, it can be only as accurate as any other Misleadia poll.
Yes, it says it right in my post:
My point wasn't about the distribution of primary voters, because as you point out: the Republican primary was essentially uncontested. If you look at 2016, you'll see the distribution is quite a bit different:
https://thedonald.win/p/11PW3D5yMc/x/c/19BtLGVxuC
The point that people aren't getting: every voter in Texas is considered unaffiliated, until they vote in a primary, sign a candidate's petition, or attend a party's convention. Then, they become affiliated for the remainder of the calendar year for one purpose: so they can't vote in the other party's primary (or any runoffs). At the end of the year, the affiliation automatically expires.
This is the Texas Secretary of State's FAQ on the subject:
https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/laws/advisory2020-05.shtml
The fact that you voted in a party primary is public information. In particular, you'll be listed on the voting roster if you vote early. I explain how to find that information here:
https://thedonald.win/p/HrOutQY6/texas-pede-alert--if-you-mailed-/
It wouldn't take much effort with a database or even a bit of coding in Java/Python/Perl/etc. to match early primary voters to early general election voters, since the voter registration ID is included in the data. But, you would only be able to match about 45% of general election voters, at best (4M primary voters divided by 9M primary voters).
Therefore, any party ID assignment is based on some hand-waving, not any real tabulation. As I wrote: the commonly cited source says that party ID is estimated from other sources (I think by someone named "TargetSmart").
In other words, it can be only as accurate as any other Misleadia poll.