This is the WI strategy, which means if we keep everything that is tinted red in his corner including WI he can loose all of the other states and still win!
Guaranteed he is going to win some combination of the other toss ups based on early voting data...340+ isn't even out of the question!
I know, I never want to get complacent about stuff like this, I just feel like endless anxiety-ridden nights do nothing for morale when you don't have a clear vision of what the goals and targets are!
The medium shaded red states are all states that we have to watch very closely because the margins, as it stands right now, are close enough that an upset is unlikely but possible.
OR, CO, and WA are all possible GOP flips if turnout for democrats has already peaked.
WI is the most important state in this analysis and the margins look really good so far.
I am concerned about RHINOs and split-voting suburban women in places like MI, TX, VA, and GA where unmarried women and married men with college degrees are the predominant sample group so far in these states, because even if they are all registered republicans that doesn't mean they will vote for Trump.
Hopefully this will net positively with defections from the democrat side, which appear to be in spot polling data more dominant than their counterparts in the GOP. If the silent voter flux nets towards Trump's direction then even medium blue states like IL, NJ, and MA are in play.
Either way, I am going to vote like I'm already losing the race, but with the clarity of a vision into a possible way out of the trenches during heavy enemy fire.
He has to win 3 of the additional tossup rust-belt/mid-atlantic states - MI+MN+VA, MI+MN+PA, MI+VA+PA, or MN+VA+PA - to counter a loss of TX but I do see that as a possibility.
The question is why would he loose TX and not GA or NC as well, with similar margins for victory/defeat between these three states.
If he looses both TX and GA he can still pull off a 269 tie with Biden with a win in NV, NM, and NH.
CO, OR, or WA are potential tie breakers but that might require a more robust ground game than is currently in place; CO does have a large Trump Campaign presence so if a tie breaker can be pulled off anywhere in the TX+GA flip scenario, it would have to be there.
If big moves aren't made in TX, GA, NC, or WI in the direction towards the democrats on and after election day then we can probably assume that these states are all secure.
This is the WI strategy, which means if we keep everything that is tinted red in his corner including WI he can loose all of the other states and still win!
Guaranteed he is going to win some combination of the other toss ups based on early voting data...340+ isn't even out of the question!
I am seeing a lot of fraud.
The deep state has had years to plan.
This will be a fight.
Trump will be POTUS but it will be rough.
I know, I never want to get complacent about stuff like this, I just feel like endless anxiety-ridden nights do nothing for morale when you don't have a clear vision of what the goals and targets are!
The medium shaded red states are all states that we have to watch very closely because the margins, as it stands right now, are close enough that an upset is unlikely but possible.
OR, CO, and WA are all possible GOP flips if turnout for democrats has already peaked.
WI is the most important state in this analysis and the margins look really good so far.
I am concerned about RHINOs and split-voting suburban women in places like MI, TX, VA, and GA where unmarried women and married men with college degrees are the predominant sample group so far in these states, because even if they are all registered republicans that doesn't mean they will vote for Trump.
Hopefully this will net positively with defections from the democrat side, which appear to be in spot polling data more dominant than their counterparts in the GOP. If the silent voter flux nets towards Trump's direction then even medium blue states like IL, NJ, and MA are in play.
Either way, I am going to vote like I'm already losing the race, but with the clarity of a vision into a possible way out of the trenches during heavy enemy fire.
I see POTUS winning with 270+ and still losing TX...
He has to win 3 of the additional tossup rust-belt/mid-atlantic states - MI+MN+VA, MI+MN+PA, MI+VA+PA, or MN+VA+PA - to counter a loss of TX but I do see that as a possibility.
The question is why would he loose TX and not GA or NC as well, with similar margins for victory/defeat between these three states.
If he looses both TX and GA he can still pull off a 269 tie with Biden with a win in NV, NM, and NH.
CO, OR, or WA are potential tie breakers but that might require a more robust ground game than is currently in place; CO does have a large Trump Campaign presence so if a tie breaker can be pulled off anywhere in the TX+GA flip scenario, it would have to be there.
If big moves aren't made in TX, GA, NC, or WI in the direction towards the democrats on and after election day then we can probably assume that these states are all secure.