Keep in mind this is only Registered Voters ballots cast. We do not know how peopled voted. Dems took a big early lead with mail in ballots, Republicans appear to be systemically dismantling that lead with In Person Early Voting. We ae expecting a big Republican turnout on election day, much bigger than Democrats
Also, I believe FL early in person voting ends in most counties on Nov 1, a couple days before the election. Today is the 30th so there is just 2 more days of early vote. At the current rate things are moving, there should be a small Democrat margin (no more than about 75,000 registered Dem ballots cast), which should theoretically be very easy to beat on election day
If the margin shrinks by another ~15,000 today, it will be around 115,000 total. Then two more days of ~40,000 each day would bring us to about 35,000 . Whether it's completely erased or if there is still a 90,000 lead, if these numbers are indicative of how people are voting (they very likely are), then it should mean good things going into Tuesday
Keep in mind this is only Registered Voters ballots cast. We do not know how peopled voted. Dems took a big early lead with mail in ballots, Republicans appear to be systemically dismantling that lead with In Person Early Voting. We ae expecting a big Republican turnout on election day, much bigger than Democrats
Also, I believe FL early in person voting ends in most counties on Nov 1, a couple days before the election. Today is the 30th so there is just 2 more days of early vote. At the current rate things are moving, there should be a small Democrat margin (no more than about 75,000 registered Dem ballots cast), which should theoretically be very easy to beat on election day
GOP will be in the lead before Nov. 3.
This is a death knell for Biden in Florida, and likely his campaign.
There is no way the Dims win this election without Florida.
If the margin shrinks by another ~15,000 today, it will be around 115,000 total. Then two more days of ~40,000 each day would bring us to about 35,000 . Whether it's completely erased or if there is still a 90,000 lead, if these numbers are indicative of how people are voting (they very likely are), then it should mean good things going into Tuesday