I was gonna reply to the OP, but seems right post here.
I'm down in Florida to vote and hang out. Got in last night, voted early today and was just have a few coldies with a buddy. His kids are 20 and 18, respectively, so this will be their first time voting. BOTH registered as Not Party Affiliated because, get this, they didn't want to be doxxed and/or attacked (as in physically) for being republican. And, BOTH are MAGA af and voting tomorrow.
So, I think because the left and the Dems have gone completely unhinged that a LARGE majority of the No Party voters are for TRUMP.
And, of every Libertarian I know (which is quite a few), I'd say 9/10 are voting Trump this time around. Most of them went with Johnson in 2016, but they realize that there won't ever be a chance of a free country under Biden.
Not sure what that all means, but even if the Dems were 100% for Biden (and that might only be because fo the utter magnetism Trump has, not because of something Biden is doing), I think 70%+ of the NPA and Libertarian registered voters are going for Trump.
Thats why I'm a registered Democrat. I was told in 2004 and 2008 that my absentee ballot had been discarded because I had voted in person. I was 4 hours away in college. After that I changed to a registered Democrat and have had zero issues since.
I think the unaffiliated voters are going to break hard for Trump just for the reasons you stated, and a lot of conservatives no longer register as Republicans as a result of the Romney - McCain era rinos
Libertarian / AnCap leaning pede here (not Florida). I'm going Trump this year, because Jo is pathetic & while Trump is no libertarian, Trump has done a great job and is one of the best Frens a Libertarians could hope for. Trump need to clear house and continue on the path he's on, if Libertarians are going to stand a chance in the next 12-years.
Namely:
Trump isn't a dictator, despite having opportunity to be one
Trump has managed the economy very well (though I worry about inflation)
Trump has started attacking critical-race theory, marxism, censorship, big-tech (which is vital), and cancel-culture
Trump is driving the swap crazy, and they're exposing their own crimes in the process of attempting to undermine Trump.
Trump cares about America and the Constitution.
Trump is willing to stand up to rioters, and make moves that are politically-incorrect.
and any other American who have or their ancestors fed a communist dictatorship to support the Cuban Americans in Florida in resisting intersectionalism and communism from gripping their state and deliver Trump the Win!
WHAT TRUMP should do is when this is all over have a massive FBI investigation after he of course higher all knew FBI guys and have them investigate all these blue counties governments. Arrest all the traitors and all the Ilan Omars and send them the fuck back.
I think you're reading this wrong. The website works off the premise that Dems vastly prefer vote by mail to Republicans. 50% of registered Dems in FL said they'd prefer to vote by mail this election; only around 18% of Repubicans. Yet currently the number of Dems voting by mail is vastly off-pace, while Republicans are vastly ahead of pace. AND--and here's what I think is a bit of a leap of faith with this guy's theory--he assumes that Dem and Republican voters will not change their mind about their vote-by-mail vs. vote in-person preference. So this guy is expecting extremely low turnout by Dems and very high turnout by Republicans.
Holy crap, maybe some of those people up there are starting to wake up, still needs to be red though. Tampa messes all that up sadly. Also Sarasota is red? How in the hell did that happen with all the rich libs that live there?
Glad to see my county (Manatee) is red, but just so.
You are looking at this data wrong it's not 190k. The 190k is saying in 2016 from early votes and by mail votes dems led going into election day by 190k. if, you go down and click the "Early votes: All" and than go back up and see the first box for vote totals (IPEV + VBM) the gap is 114,022 as of this now. Going into election day we will probably be leading this time around
correction the 190k isnt from 2016 but rather i think it's their prediction that trump will win the state by 190k over biden based on remaining vote
I recognize this as joeisdone, his work is on github, and who goes by @DataRepublican on twitter. Not sure of the pedigree of this graphic/map with regard to timeline.
I know it is pointed out elsewhere, but this is voters by party affiliation, not how they voted. As a registered democrat who will be voting in Florida on election day - get ready for RREEEEEEEEEE!!!
This "lead" assumes that every Dem votes for Biden at the same rate they voted for Obama in 2008....
Correct
of course. not a single vote has been counted so far.
They don't start counting the votes until election day, I think.
Yeet.
Agreed, but for the sake of confirming safe states we should give dem turnout the benefit of the doubt.
We also don’t know what percentage of the unaffiliated votes are Trump or Biden. Trump voters need to crush turnout records and vote.
I was gonna reply to the OP, but seems right post here.
I'm down in Florida to vote and hang out. Got in last night, voted early today and was just have a few coldies with a buddy. His kids are 20 and 18, respectively, so this will be their first time voting. BOTH registered as Not Party Affiliated because, get this, they didn't want to be doxxed and/or attacked (as in physically) for being republican. And, BOTH are MAGA af and voting tomorrow.
So, I think because the left and the Dems have gone completely unhinged that a LARGE majority of the No Party voters are for TRUMP.
And, of every Libertarian I know (which is quite a few), I'd say 9/10 are voting Trump this time around. Most of them went with Johnson in 2016, but they realize that there won't ever be a chance of a free country under Biden.
Not sure what that all means, but even if the Dems were 100% for Biden (and that might only be because fo the utter magnetism Trump has, not because of something Biden is doing), I think 70%+ of the NPA and Libertarian registered voters are going for Trump.
Thats why I'm a registered Democrat. I was told in 2004 and 2008 that my absentee ballot had been discarded because I had voted in person. I was 4 hours away in college. After that I changed to a registered Democrat and have had zero issues since.
I know of some who registered independent after the primaries but are still Trump supporters.
I think the unaffiliated voters are going to break hard for Trump just for the reasons you stated, and a lot of conservatives no longer register as Republicans as a result of the Romney - McCain era rinos
Great second point. The RINOs drive so many away.
Libertarian / AnCap leaning pede here (not Florida). I'm going Trump this year, because Jo is pathetic & while Trump is no libertarian, Trump has done a great job and is one of the best Frens a Libertarians could hope for. Trump need to clear house and continue on the path he's on, if Libertarians are going to stand a chance in the next 12-years.
Namely:
Propaganda and censorship are hella tools
Just because they are Democrats doesn’t mean they voted Biden.
Apparently, those numbers only show party affiliation, not votes.
Deploy the following:
Venezuelan Americans
Polish Americans
Hungarian Americans
and any other American who have or their ancestors fed a communist dictatorship to support the Cuban Americans in Florida in resisting intersectionalism and communism from gripping their state and deliver Trump the Win!
Seems like we’re doing so well there yet we’re still down by that margin?
The majority of Trump voters vote on Election Day.
https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/
What filters did OP use, I am seeing Trump in the lead when I load this page...?
Republicans are leading in "In Person Early Voting" thats why they're all red.
Democrats are leading in "Mail In Votes"
OPs post is the sum of both.
Thanks, I get it
Read this panic piece: https://www.politico.com/news/2020/10/29/miami-voter-turnout-democrats-433643
And we're doing even better now.
The retarded Federica Wilson(macho man hat woman) is crying about the turnout in her black majority district. It's VERY LOW.
NOW look where Trump is going! Opa-locka, FL FOR WHAT? TO TURN OUT THE BLACK VOTE FOR HIM!
Funny thing is Kamala Harris will visit to woo black men(the ones she put in prison for smoking weed) this weekend together with Federica HAHAHAHA
cant wait for the cacklefest
That's not biden votes. That's DNC registered votes.
Trump won with 230k diff
We are winning. Keep voting !
There is one for Florida and another for NC https://joeisdone.github.io/
no
21.38% remaining republican and 13.33% remaining democrat voters... Wow, FL won't even be close
WHAT TRUMP should do is when this is all over have a massive FBI investigation after he of course higher all knew FBI guys and have them investigate all these blue counties governments. Arrest all the traitors and all the Ilan Omars and send them the fuck back.
I think you're reading this wrong. The website works off the premise that Dems vastly prefer vote by mail to Republicans. 50% of registered Dems in FL said they'd prefer to vote by mail this election; only around 18% of Repubicans. Yet currently the number of Dems voting by mail is vastly off-pace, while Republicans are vastly ahead of pace. AND--and here's what I think is a bit of a leap of faith with this guy's theory--he assumes that Dem and Republican voters will not change their mind about their vote-by-mail vs. vote in-person preference. So this guy is expecting extremely low turnout by Dems and very high turnout by Republicans.
Is Joe Done? Joe is Done.
My county is solid but I will STILL be there in my camo frock coat and olive drab tricorne hat reppin' for THE Donald!
I will be blasting Bryson Gray and James McCoy Taylor and other patriotic folk!
I will have cold drinks and ham sammies for lunch and dinner if need be.
I hope to make some new friends!
Early voting ALWAYS shows Dems up, for the record.
Do you know how much of a drop that was compared to yesterday?
In FL, Id much rather be in Trump's position than in Biden's no doubt.
I don't know but I saw it at 211k earlier today
Remember this is votes cast by Party affiliation.
This does not show party cross over and who Independents voted for.
If the Independents split 50/50 its a win, the number of Dems voting for Trump is the cherry on top.
So true. I feel like I’m alone here swimming in a pool of liberal vomit every day.
all the dems got now is trying to craft the narrative that its not a 'blow out'
cue the faces of libtards when hilary was demolished in 2016
Did my part today
In the keys right now and I can assure you every sign is a Trump one, not a single Biden sign in sight.
I live in Florida and every registered democrat who I know either is voting for Trump, has voted for Trump or isn’t voting.
Hillsborough being..... purple?
Holy crap, maybe some of those people up there are starting to wake up, still needs to be red though. Tampa messes all that up sadly. Also Sarasota is red? How in the hell did that happen with all the rich libs that live there?
Glad to see my county (Manatee) is red, but just so.
You are looking at this data wrong it's not 190k. The 190k is saying in 2016 from early votes and by mail votes dems led going into election day by 190k. if, you go down and click the "Early votes: All" and than go back up and see the first box for vote totals (IPEV + VBM) the gap is 114,022 as of this now. Going into election day we will probably be leading this time around
correction the 190k isnt from 2016 but rather i think it's their prediction that trump will win the state by 190k over biden based on remaining vote
I still cannot fathom voting for Jor Biden. Dude is a proven racist, diddler, and is obviously senile.
Floridian here, I’m voting Tuesday.
The blue is growing over yesterday though , is that non representative?
It'll keep dropping all the way through Nov 3. Then likely take a 3.2 Million jump for dems as the dead people and fraud kick in.
Broward county enters chat
Im an independent, wife registered as dem. We will both be voting Trump 2020 to KAG!!
Biden has no lead in Florida. Florida is MAGA county- bigly.
Folks
Biden doesn't have a chance of winning Florida
It's not even contested. Don't fall for this shit
what does "4/4" voters mean?
It means voters who have voted in the last 4 elections
oh.
I recognize this as joeisdone, his work is on github, and who goes by @DataRepublican on twitter. Not sure of the pedigree of this graphic/map with regard to timeline.
Some interesting analysis projection on Florida.
https://twitter.com/JeffersonJaxson/status/1321254076403900416
I know it is pointed out elsewhere, but this is voters by party affiliation, not how they voted. As a registered democrat who will be voting in Florida on election day - get ready for RREEEEEEEEEE!!!