Basically Dems need +300k (at MINIMUM) lead going into Election Day, but it’s at +130k and dropping. And Hispanics and blacks are turning out for trump.
Note this is based on party affiliation though, and there is still a sizable chunk of unaffiliated. We don’t know actual votes.
A bias? It’s raw data. Of course we can choose which assumptions we apply when interpreting it, but the data itself is not biased
Also, in the last two days I’ve seen James Carville and David Axelrod visibly concerned on MSNBC about FL including low D turnout in Miami Dade for black and Latino voters.
The biggest question for me is how many registered D are breaking R, and vice versa... and also what % of NPA break for R
because redditors in r/politics downvote it
But in seriousness, check this out: https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/
Basically Dems need +300k (at MINIMUM) lead going into Election Day, but it’s at +130k and dropping. And Hispanics and blacks are turning out for trump.
Note this is based on party affiliation though, and there is still a sizable chunk of unaffiliated. We don’t know actual votes.
A bias? It’s raw data. Of course we can choose which assumptions we apply when interpreting it, but the data itself is not biased
Also, in the last two days I’ve seen James Carville and David Axelrod visibly concerned on MSNBC about FL including low D turnout in Miami Dade for black and Latino voters.
The biggest question for me is how many registered D are breaking R, and vice versa... and also what % of NPA break for R