Trump literally only has to get ONE of the gray states to win.
(media.patriots.win)
posted ago by thewashambro
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Or Nixon's
^^^ THIS.
gulag or freedom
Wisconsin is closer.
We're winning in PA, WI, and MI. Wouldn't be surprised to get all of them plus NV, NH, and MN.
He didn't get Minnesota because that's where his opponent was born.
Biden was born in PA
Then escaped to Delaware. The old pussy he is. No sales tax though.
No quarter given - let's take it!!!
Times are different. We only lost it by 1% in 2016, with all of the George Floyd Riots (he was "killed" in that state) and the terrible lockdowns, and the Trump Economy in general, I'd estimate a 70% chance of victory there. Not to mention Trump has been campaigning like a madman there compared to 2016.
Biden campaigned in MN a couple of days ago. That tells me MN is in play.
Trump is campaigning there too.
Why do you think that is?
It has to do with old depression era politics. Way back then MN had the Democrats, Republicans, and the Farmers-Laborers. Each had about 1/3 of the population. Then the Democrats and F-Ls worked out a merger and took over the state’s politics. At that point 2/3 of the state all fell into the same party which eventually just became the democrats. The democrats in MN are still officially called the DFL.
Honestly, if way back when the Republicans and F-Ls had worked out a merger MN would have been red this whole time. Politics tend to get passed down and old politics die hard.
This. My dad grew up on a farm in the 50's in rural MN and to this day, believes DFL will always watch out for the farmers and the Republicans only care about getting rich. No one can convince him that today's Dem party is NOT the old DFL anymore.
It really is crazy how an old man that grew up on a farm can look at the current elitist SJW democrat party and believe they give a single shit about farmers.
Swedecuck genes
Nixon only won 49, he lost MA.
They both lost DC though. And actually, no Republican has EVER won DC.
Doesn't matter, Barrett will have enough time to study the case, if it goes to SCOTUS (it will if there's any fuckery), then we should be fine. But I doubt it will come down to just PA anywho.
PA's a good one. Not to doompost, but VA isn't happening. Kung Flu has kept Governor Blackface from making more of an ass out of himself, much like the DNC is hiding Creepy Uncle Trunalimunumaprzure.
I don't know, Trump has done some campaigning there, he definitely thinks it could turn red. Plus we only lost it by 5% last time with NO campaigning in VA. Probably won't go red unless we see some huge voter turnout though.
Sounds like a man running a business
Pretty good rule of thumb.
NOVA is full of Federal Class democrats.
I'm going on Tuesday and the wife has already voted, but I don't share your enthusiasm, not when I see my local GOP people.
I'll be watching Ariz. and NC. If we takes those 2, I'll feel very confident we'll take at least 1 of the grey states.
I never watch MSM, but I will when Donald is declared the victor.
May God be with us.
Michigan and Wisconsin are wins too. This is gonna be a landslide
Michigan has got to be fed up with the Democrats bullshit.
Unless mail in fraud occurs, but yeah he SHOULD win it.
hopefully a bigger one than 2016!
"Yeah, but he lost the poular vote on his first run and therefore this is the apple that fell from his poisoned TREEEEEEE!!!" That's what they'll say
Yes, true. But it would be nice if the leftists didn’t have ‘muh popular vote’
yep.
Regardless, it wouldn't be enough to get 270 with this map.
Came to say the same. NV was going to be red this year anyway, but with our reliance on tourism and group events a vote for Biden is essentially voting to be unemployed. I walk around a lot and it's American flags everywhere, I love it.
I think New Hampshire could go Trump too. They did not like Biden in the primary, so I don't think he has much enthusiasm over there. I expect many Democrats will stay home (across the US but especially in New Hampshire).
Came here to ask about this. I think Virginia is a lean blue but Nevada and N.H. are toss ups. Not to much talk about N.H flipping (Like Nevada and Minnesota). It was close last time.
I also heard that Nevada is competitive this year. Will be fantastic to see if Trump can win both!
Yes, but Trump has campaigned there, it's in play this election.
NH was lost by 3k votes in 2016. It's definitely possible
I live in the seacoast area of nh, and I truly don’t know. I might be jaded because this area is typically more left leaning but I’m really hoping so. Lotta massholes moving up here and bringing their crappy policies too. A trump win in this state would be glorious
Not all us massholes vote blue. 40% of us are deplorable!
Masscucks move to NH for lower taxes and then forget why they moved and continue to vote 🔵.
Live free or die
I did some local door knocking in NH (a bit in Manchester, mostly around it) and it's fucking close. Obviously did a lot of traveling and there's a shitload of political signage, a good deal more than where I live (AZ) and it seriously looked 50/50 for the national elections.
It's going to be a turnout game there, there's more than enough voters on either side to win.
The fake news has been working overtime saying that Trump will be a one-term President. They are pathetic liars.
I’m driving 3 hours home on Monday to vote Tuesday.
Have no worries.
You're awesome. Safe journey.
If trump takes texas and florida, he wins
He will. Texas is not turning blue, no matter what the Dems tell you. The only reason Cruz barely squeaked by is because even the republicans hate him there. Also, Early voting shows Trump WAYYYY ahead in both states. They will be red, that's a promise.
If Joe loses both TX and FL, he will have to win MN/WI/MI--all three. He won't.
and PA. He would have to win every other major swing state if he loses TX (he will) and FL (he probably will).
Trump will win Florida. He has a 0.07% advantage at this point in early voting compared to 2016. If we assume same in person turnout as 2016 (Rs will have much much more this year) he'd still win
Idk, that was only two years ago. He already had the beard by then...
Yeah, he has been awesome lately
What about the 24/7 ballot harvesting going on at NRG stadium?
Early voting does not show Trump way ahead in Florida. Dems actually still hold a ~100k (might be closer to 80k now) lead including all forms of early voting. Not sure where you're reading that.
I can't believe California fucked up Washington, Colorado, New Mexico, and Nevada.
I live in WA. Conservatives are all over the place, they've just been browbeaten into silences. We really need to capitalize on the naturally Conservative immigrant vote here. Tons of based Russians, Vietnamese, Hispanics, etc. that are easily flipped Red if Repubs here would stop trying to get the white lib vote.
crazy....
Lotta people have NY and CA as super dark horse wins. Early voting doesn't look great in CA, but we have no idea how many Dems and Inds we've flipped. And the polling is non-existent.
I really don't get Michigan, what are they doing? Trump should win easily there.
Yeah. What do people see in Whitmer? She's a psycho.
And that assumes NV, CO, NM, and NH are staying blue. Which I don't believe is guaranteed.
Yeah, but this is the minimum required for a victory, not my personal prediction. Also, none of those states are as certain as the ones marked, and don't have enough votes to push Trump over the 270 line in this map.
If you want to see my predictions, you can look through my post history for them.
P.S. the map labled "100% accurate" is a joke, dont take it seriously.
Colorado seems pretty cucked to me. I hope I'm wrong.
John Denver ruined that whole state for me
what if NH goes Trump (they weren't thrilled with Biden in primaries) and what if NV flips?
that would be 10 - another possible pathway to victory
does anybody think MI is a possibility?
With no ballot fuckery, yeah. We are winning in early voting.
NH is super cucked with Hippies and Cat Ladies. I hope I'm wrong, but too many freaks and weirdos in that state to turn it red.
Not anymore, college kids from Massachusetts are no longer allowed to vote in New Hampshire elections.
Exactly
I want California red. So help be god I want Hollywood and elite to feel the fuck you right in their backyard.
I bet the REEEs would even worse if we won CA than if we won the election lol, but I still know which one I'd rather have.
Cali would be symbolic. NY would be NYers finding their balls.
Republicans everywhere would realize they can retake thier state tbh.
He will get 56 of the remaining!
I feel like NM, NV, NH, ME and COL might also be in play depending on turnout.
Why not all of them? :D
And toss NV and NH in for good measure.
I was thinking about that, but decided not to because they don't have enough to push us over the line by themselves.
VA is almost assuredly blue. Little bit of doubt on MN. PA WI and MI are trending Trump last I saw.
If Trump gets high turnout from black voters it will go red.
That is great. I hope he wins them all.
NC is using ultimately cuckery to try and steal.
I don't know if NV goes blue. they absolutely loathe their governor just as much as NM does theirs. Who may also go red, too for the same reason.
This is not my prediction, just the bare minimum Trump would need to win. Here's my prediction if you're interested.
Pretty accurate I think! NM is pretty close to flipping too! due to nobody really knowing who Jorgensen is in that state. Trump only lost it to Clinton due to the ex governor who conservative hispanics liked being on the ballot as Libertarian.
Yeah, and mass deportation there should have kicked out illegals (Dem voter base). Hope we get it.
? I actually did tons of research to come up with that map...
Well, what states do you disagree on? I thought mine was optimistic lol.
NC SC & GA are safe?
The news made a big deal about Georgia last year and it was a big nothingburger. I'd say the same for SC. Trump is up in NC too. I think all those OP marked as safe are pretty much safe. Only one that may truly be a toss up is the extra electoral vote from Maine. Without that one, Trump only needs 2 electoral votes.
Yes. Fake news made a big deal about Georgia in 2016 and it was a big nothingburger.
SC is also safe. Demonrats have dumped a lot of money in there to unseat Lindsey Graham, but it will all be wasted.
And Trump is up in NC too. Any polls saying differently are fake news.
All those the OP has red are pretty well safe. The only one I'd be concerned about is the extra electoral vote from Maine. Without it, President Trump needs 2 more electoral votes.
He'll win this time by a greater margin than in 2016. Which is good because no matter how many electoral votes President Trump gets, the Demonrats are going to contest this election.
Sorry for the double post. My first post disappeared. Only now I see there it is again.
and he'll probably get all of them (Virginia... maybe lol). I think he could win New Hampshire, Nevada, and one surprise state.
NM, CO, ME, MD are all possibilities.
360+
He'll probably win all of them. VA is a stretch but it's gonna be a razor thin win if Biden pulls it out.
Nevada is going red pedes.
Nice
Good map. 306 has been my prediction. With plus/minus 10%
Chance too that NV (6) and NH (4) put him over the top too.
MSM melt down in 3...2...
This is not my prediction, just the bare minimum required starting off with the most likely states. Here's my prediction
Yup. Good analysis. I’ve got 325 as my lively top end.
I think my map is a little outdated tbh, I believe he'll win NM now.
I'm uncertain about how I feel about Virginia. Internal polling has Andrews beating Wexton in NOVA, but that's Loudoun not deep Fairfax and Arlington. If there's a year it flips it would be this year.
To echo comments: vote
Get all of them. And Nevada. And New Mexico.
Thewashambro: - "Trump literally only has to get ONE of the gray states to win." Trump: - "Yeah; let me get Nevada, New Mexico and New Hampshire... and l haven't even gotten started on the grey states" Thewashambro: - "Stop ruining my awesome map!!!"
Lol, I was just trying to start off with the most guranteed states. He won't 100% win those, so I didn't include them lol. I would've added them into the grey, but you would need some kind of combination to get over the line.
Biden - "I'm the guy that invented elections"
Trump will quite possibly get all of them with the exception of maybe Minnesota. Though I think he has a chance to flip that state too.
I wouldn't hold my breath for VA. VA is the swamp.
Pedes am I color blind or is the grey actually brown lol?
Muh firewall
You can throw New Mexico and Nevada as grey too
Why is New Mexico even blue?
/doubt for VA. I'd also put NC back into the maybe category due to potential ballot fuckery.
Otherwise, seems about right.
I’m worried about NC and GA.
Nothing to fear in GA, that's dem horsehit. But NC isn't as reliable due to mail in fraud. But, if Trump thought there was a big threat he wouldn't have 3 rallies in PA, two in MI, and one in WI. He's not playing defensively.
NC is not a lock.
very good chance of winning it. Arizona is a weaker link than NC.