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Yes. All early in-person and mail, including absentee. Modeled on the already skewed polling data and trends. The state level view is even better. We’re ahead in AZ and about to pull ahead in FL and NV. We’re way ahead in OH and outperforming 2016 in Michigan. Pennsylvania is the only outlier, but I suspect that will be decided on Election Day. We’re going to win - just keep at it.
How do you reconcile the NV number crunching on the Nevada Independent early voting blog? They say Clark firewall will hold. I think he’s overestimating percentage of Democrats voting Biden (he says 90%) and underestimating GOP turnout in Washoe County and rural areas.
What's the url to this?
https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/index.html
Source: https://targetearly.targetsmart.com/index.html
Is this also vote by mail ?
Yes. All early in-person and mail, including absentee. Modeled on the already skewed polling data and trends. The state level view is even better. We’re ahead in AZ and about to pull ahead in FL and NV. We’re way ahead in OH and outperforming 2016 in Michigan. Pennsylvania is the only outlier, but I suspect that will be decided on Election Day. We’re going to win - just keep at it.
Pennsylvania does not have reliable data for targetsmart. I have no idea what numbers targetsmart is using in PA
They use a "model" to assign people to a "side"
How do you reconcile the NV number crunching on the Nevada Independent early voting blog? They say Clark firewall will hold. I think he’s overestimating percentage of Democrats voting Biden (he says 90%) and underestimating GOP turnout in Washoe County and rural areas.
Like yr numbers better.
Ha, we are going to take the popular vote by 3-5 mil too...the rrrreeeeeeing will be epic.