I've noticed the polls tightening a lot on the last days even from mainstream pollsters.
I believe this is to provide them cover for when Trump wins. They all say well the race got really close at the end! And then ignore that every poll was wrong again
It’s exactly what the fake news does and why we have so many examples of media hypocrisy. They change their story and google only pushes the latest* one while burying the older story.
So much of the population has such a short term memory, they only remember the last thing they were told and say it’s a ‘conspiracy’ theory that the news is fake. When you show examples it then becomes “well more information cam out but it’s not important so we’re changing the question”
Rewatching 2016 election night many pundits were talking about the hidden Trump vote and forgotten Americans. That Trump spoke to them and the media was blinded not to see it. They maybe were in a bubble.
Then they attack Trump supporters for 4 years straight.
Except Optics won't matter because he will have won his second term and will not be up for re-election, we can stick a palm tree up their ass and there's nothing they'll be able to do about it.
No, there won't be high level conspirators within the government this time around and MSM has nowhere near the credibility and influence it did just a few short years ago. The second term will be smoother
The early vote was always supposed to be heavy biden because Dems are more afraid of the 'rona. The fact that we r close means we are going to CRUSH election day.
Do any of you know where I can find out about voting patterns on election day? Do R's vote in greater numbers on election day? If so, by how much? Stuff like this...
Rs consistently vote in higher numbers on election day, and have a particularly high enthusiasm rate in 2020. Look up trafalgar polling. Great source for info
Recently visited AZ. As a Cali pede, I fell in love. What a beautiful state. And clean! My gosh, the difference between california freeways and bums is way better in AZ😂
No its a flood of refugees from CA and Chicago combined with anchor babies reaching voting age that's turning AZ blue. Another cycle or two and it will be a solid blue state.
Lefties know that can't even come close here in TX w/o cheating. Go back to your commie states! This state is great for a reason, and it's not because of commie lefty bullshit!
But but! I saw a story... from the UK... about a Biden sign! In Scottsdale!
That's apparently news because nobody has seen one. I know I sure haven't. There was a Bernie sticker and even some trans sticker, but I have yet to see a single Biden sticker/sign/etc.
It's literally act 3 its the challenger in these races who has to come from behind, Trump lead all along. Remember Biden up 14 percent, quickly got snuffed when it was shown to McGovern/Nixon numbers. They lie to supress voter turnout but it doesn't work. People are wise to it
They said Biden had 14 percent national average of Trump which is the percentage Nixon held over Mcgovern in 1972. It was a blow out election not again seen to 1984 Reagan/Mondale. I was saying no way a non incumbent has those number against an incumbent with 94 percent primary vote
For a second there i looked at dates and thought it showed his lead falling. Then I noticed it is different polls being listed. This warms my heart over morning tea.
Polls up until the last few days are completely fabricated numbers meant to influence public opinion (See: make weak-minded voters want to pick the "winning side", demoralize opposition into giving up and staying home); the pollsters will deliver closer to accurate numbers within the last few days so that if their predictions are wrong they can preserve credibility by claiming "within the margin of error".
Bad news, those two more recent polls are from "Right" leaning pollsters (ie, accurate) so its not like the Normie pollsters woke up yet.
Good news, those two recent pollsters are more accurate, but even then I expect the real result to exceed this, which is great.
I've noticed the polls tightening a lot on the last days even from mainstream pollsters.
I believe this is to provide them cover for when Trump wins. They all say well the race got really close at the end! And then ignore that every poll was wrong again
What a coincidence again!
imagine going to university to study statistics in politics, only to get hired and prove to the world your profession is just another propaganda tool.
It’s exactly what the fake news does and why we have so many examples of media hypocrisy. They change their story and google only pushes the latest* one while burying the older story.
So much of the population has such a short term memory, they only remember the last thing they were told and say it’s a ‘conspiracy’ theory that the news is fake. When you show examples it then becomes “well more information cam out but it’s not important so we’re changing the question”
Rewatching 2016 election night many pundits were talking about the hidden Trump vote and forgotten Americans. That Trump spoke to them and the media was blinded not to see it. They maybe were in a bubble.
Then they attack Trump supporters for 4 years straight.
2020 is gonna be a redux .
Except Optics won't matter because he will have won his second term and will not be up for re-election, we can stick a palm tree up their ass and there's nothing they'll be able to do about it.
No, there won't be high level conspirators within the government this time around and MSM has nowhere near the credibility and influence it did just a few short years ago. The second term will be smoother
The early vote was always supposed to be heavy biden because Dems are more afraid of the 'rona. The fact that we r close means we are going to CRUSH election day.
Complacency? Fuck that shit. We are about high energy brother. We are going to btfo the cheating commies. This is how we should be on election day...
https://youtu.be/aYp94Kk8AdE
Do any of you know where I can find out about voting patterns on election day? Do R's vote in greater numbers on election day? If so, by how much? Stuff like this...
Rs consistently vote in higher numbers on election day, and have a particularly high enthusiasm rate in 2020. Look up trafalgar polling. Great source for info
They do this every year... :(
I can't be convinced that Biden ever had a lead in any state that isn't hard core democrat.
Yeah, I live in AZ. They're fucking high thinking this state is going for anyone but Trump. Love seeing the polls start shifting, nonetheless 👍
Arizona is an amazing and beautiful state worth fighting for. VOTE VOTE VOTE and take some friends!!
Recently visited AZ. As a Cali pede, I fell in love. What a beautiful state. And clean! My gosh, the difference between california freeways and bums is way better in AZ😂
are there RINOs switching side cause of McCain and Flake you think?
No its a flood of refugees from CA and Chicago combined with anchor babies reaching voting age that's turning AZ blue. Another cycle or two and it will be a solid blue state.
Arizona needs to build a wall on its border with California.
CCW or "registered Republican" should be used to let CA folks in
I moved here to AZ and of course voted red.
I gotta tell you, all the idiots from places like WA and Cali that move here will vote blue. They are fucking idiots.
Let's keep up the voting and and make it impossible to deny
Amen. I don't want to just win. I want an absolute bloodbath.
Run up the score and leave no fucking doubt! Goddammit my fucking energy is high!
It's the last play they have trying to make us feel overconfident and not want to vote jokes on them I want to vote even harder now
Lefties know that can't even come close here in TX w/o cheating. Go back to your commie states! This state is great for a reason, and it's not because of commie lefty bullshit!
But but! I saw a story... from the UK... about a Biden sign! In Scottsdale!
That's apparently news because nobody has seen one. I know I sure haven't. There was a Bernie sticker and even some trans sticker, but I have yet to see a single Biden sticker/sign/etc.
Plenty of Trump signs though.
Yeah that prior polling was bullshit
Funny how the polls "tighten" closer to election day when before Biden was having a double digit lead.
It's literally act 3 its the challenger in these races who has to come from behind, Trump lead all along. Remember Biden up 14 percent, quickly got snuffed when it was shown to McGovern/Nixon numbers. They lie to supress voter turnout but it doesn't work. People are wise to it
They said Biden had 14 percent national average of Trump which is the percentage Nixon held over Mcgovern in 1972. It was a blow out election not again seen to 1984 Reagan/Mondale. I was saying no way a non incumbent has those number against an incumbent with 94 percent primary vote
Trafalgar is the only accurate one.
*predictive
No, Susquehanna is good as well.
Even Nate Bronze's prediction model says Trump has a better than 50/50 chance if we win Florida and Arizona.
"I'll take things I shouldn't admit out loud or $2,000"
This is what happens then a REAL man brings in TRUINTERDENATIONADEPREZURE!!!
For a second there i looked at dates and thought it showed his lead falling. Then I noticed it is different polls being listed. This warms my heart over morning tea.
These graphs are looking an awful lot like they did in 2016!
I hope we didn't forget McSally. GEOTUS has to take her with him.
Absolutely. I'd rather die than vote to let a cuck astronaut 5'6" manlet represent me.
She's going to have a challenge in Pima County where Tucson is. Tucson is stupid that way. Me and mine are doing our part to turn it back red.
Don't let this lull you into complacency! VOTE VOTE VOTE!! And remember: friends don't let friends vote alone!
Good, that's a state we need, and that state alone will make things much easier.
Destroy them.
At least 50% of Republicans are voting in person.
ERASED
VAPORIZED
EVISCERATED
OBLITERATED
ANNIHILATED
Biden never had a lead here
Trafalgar is the only one that uses models and statistics, they never use opinion polls.
Good, that's a state we need, and that state alone will make things much easier.
Big tech hid the biggest story abs interfered during the critical week. Ridiculous
THOSE POLLS DO NOT INCLUDE THE 'SHY TRUMP SUPPORTER'
Lets hope McSally can pull out a win as well. We want to keep the Senate as well. The Trump momentum should help her.
So you guys trust the polls now? They’re all made up lol.
Yeah, but I like these ones lol
CHAD
Polls up until the last few days are completely fabricated numbers meant to influence public opinion (See: make weak-minded voters want to pick the "winning side", demoralize opposition into giving up and staying home); the pollsters will deliver closer to accurate numbers within the last few days so that if their predictions are wrong they can preserve credibility by claiming "within the margin of error".
That means he will win AZ by 7.
No way he wins that big, but I see a 2-3 point victory
Too soon jr!
Rasmussen and Trafalger were closest in 2016, but they were still below actual.
So the "Republican demoralisation" phase is over.
The "Republicans don't need to vote" phase has begun...
Trump train momentum. FL, AZ and NC are safely in Trump’s column (assuming you all vote)!
I’m concerned about fraud in PA and MN.
Don't wait for Tuesday.
Go to the voting booth, vote early, and in person.
Already did my part 😊 can't wait!
Bad news, those two more recent polls are from "Right" leaning pollsters (ie, accurate) so its not like the Normie pollsters woke up yet. Good news, those two recent pollsters are more accurate, but even then I expect the real result to exceed this, which is great.
meaning there never was a lead...weird
Is there a place we can still bet on our orange lad winning?
Polls mean nothing unless we go out and vote!