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Chumpcityutah 2 points ago +2 / -0

Voted in person today in Florida. First time ever voting all republicans. The wife did the the same. She was a lifelong Democrat. The lockdowns and riots finally turned her. It never felt so good to vote.

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dataonly 2 points ago +2 / -0

Can we get a summary?

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Tymbo [S] 2 points ago +2 / -0

We're winning.

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dataonly 1 point ago +1 / -0

What do you know about Nevada? Any insight there?

Was thinking about running some numbers on it based on turn out from 2016 and the public results thus far.

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Tymbo [S] 1 point ago +1 / -0

https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/NV.html Looks favorable based on the fact R is beating D in in-person voting and not exceeding 2:1 ratio loss in Mail ballots.

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dataonly 1 point ago +1 / -0

Do you have forecasts on the NPA's and how they may break?

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Tymbo [S] 1 point ago +1 / -0

No, I’m just a guy who took screenshots daily of the web page for tracking. I imagine you would need to know R vs. D turnout of each county, and then do some assumption math that NPA would be the same ratio makeup of Trump vs. Biden.

https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/home/showdocument?id=9054