90K is WAAAAY behind target of where Biden needs to be come the third, meaning he loses the state when Trump supporters turn out en masse, and that's not counting the supervoters.
FL-Dem usually racks up a big lead in the pre-election day voting (in-person early vote plus vote by mail). But instead of extending their lead like the polls would have indicated (lol), their lead has been shrinking. FL-GOP tend to wait until election day to vote, and the amount of "super voters" (voters who voted in all 4 of the last 4 elections) outstanding agrees with that, while most of the FL-Dem "super voters" have already cast their ballots.
Hillary went into 2016 election day with a bigger early voting lead than Biden has now, and she lost the state.
That's why it's good news. A solid victory in Florida is within reach as long as the GOP delivers in in-person voting on Tuesday.
Well considering Biden has spooked his followers Into thinking covid has made in person voting unviable, they should have a much, much, larger lead out of the gate than us. In fact I think Texas is the only state that mail in has been huge for dems.
Also, this is strictly based on mail in, which isn't actually being recorded until 11/3 when they actually open the ballots. This is all based on party affiliated voting. Meaning this isn't considering the 40% of dems voting Trump and the 2% of republicans voting dem
Everything points to us being back to back reigning champions.
At one point they had over 500k vote lead, it's done nothing but fall. Real data experts, not Nate Plastic, estimate that pedo Joe needed at least 215k-250k vote lead heading into ED to take Florida.
Dems vote early. Republicans vote late. Their lead is not big enough.
Every time? Like in 2016 what was the comparison between early and late voters?
yes. its more pronounced this year cause of the virus.
in 2016 Dems were up by 200k in the early voting and GEOTUS still won the state handily.
I'm in Florida. I haven't voted yet. Why? For this exact reason. I knew they'd be collecting fucking data. There are many more like me.
I've been following elections for decades. Early voting is always a big lead for Democrats.
The lead isn't big enough. It's just not there. The votes are just not there.
Florida is a big place. If the Dem lead in the southern parts isn't big enough, the panhandle area will overwhelm that.
Also, it appears that Miami Dade is tending towards Trump. If so, game over for Biden.
There's a comic here that explains it https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/
That is a treasure trove of data! Thank you for sharing.
Because it's mainly mail-in-ballots.
90K is WAAAAY behind target of where Biden needs to be come the third, meaning he loses the state when Trump supporters turn out en masse, and that's not counting the supervoters.
In 2016 Dems led by around 96k on ED. Trump won FL by around 113000. Dems are behind where they need to be to win.
Republicans expected to overwhelm day of voting.
Donald Trump is LEADING by 90K
Leading by 172k according to the link above
Because we've cut it almost in half since early voting started
FL-Dem usually racks up a big lead in the pre-election day voting (in-person early vote plus vote by mail). But instead of extending their lead like the polls would have indicated (lol), their lead has been shrinking. FL-GOP tend to wait until election day to vote, and the amount of "super voters" (voters who voted in all 4 of the last 4 elections) outstanding agrees with that, while most of the FL-Dem "super voters" have already cast their ballots.
Hillary went into 2016 election day with a bigger early voting lead than Biden has now, and she lost the state.
That's why it's good news. A solid victory in Florida is within reach as long as the GOP delivers in in-person voting on Tuesday.
Everything is bullshit until Nov3 and they start counting. Go Vote.
Its less than 2016. Chew on that a bit
Well considering Biden has spooked his followers Into thinking covid has made in person voting unviable, they should have a much, much, larger lead out of the gate than us. In fact I think Texas is the only state that mail in has been huge for dems.
Also, this is strictly based on mail in, which isn't actually being recorded until 11/3 when they actually open the ballots. This is all based on party affiliated voting. Meaning this isn't considering the 40% of dems voting Trump and the 2% of republicans voting dem
Everything points to us being back to back reigning champions.
At one point they had over 500k vote lead, it's done nothing but fall. Real data experts, not Nate Plastic, estimate that pedo Joe needed at least 215k-250k vote lead heading into ED to take Florida.