Colorado was only 1% more for Hillary than NV. NH was only .37% more for Hillary than Trump. None of them are a stretch. The biggest stretch imo is VA, but they got cucked during lockdowns and Trump has campaigned there. The real map could end up 100% like this.
I'm in NH. I'm feeling good. We lost so narrowly in 2016. Biden got 5th place in the NH primary. We're a Bernie Sander's state and I think a lot of them will go for Trump. Gary Johnson was a bitch of a spoiler taking 30,000 votes in 2016. We have a MASSIVE amount of Independents in NH. The Independents lean Democrat, but Gary Johnson voters should break for Trump now the Trump isn't an unknown quantity. Gary was a safe choice, but now Trump is a safe choice with 4 years to show for it.
It's really hard to find data to analyze NH. Nobody cares about NH in the general, so we have to base everything off of 2016. We do get fucked over with Massholes moving here and voting liberal. I put some money on NH, but not a lot.
I've thought about it. I think the situation with college is a net benefit. NH is a big college state with ivy leagues that bring in very liberal out of state students. I'm having a hard time gauging the situation. College seems to be happening. I don't know to what extent.
Certainly, there is no ground game to get their vote. I have to imagine Hillary Clinton was more popular with college students than Biden will be. Biden is a gaffe machine cranking out meme after meme. The youth live and breathe memes.
The youth vote is a big deal in NH and is why Bernie crushed it here. So if Biden can't get the youth vote to turn out, he's probably toast. It's well known the youth turn out for Hillary was low and a big contributor of her loss. Obama had an incredibly robust campaign organization unrivaled by any before him. His youth outreach and turn out was unparalleled. He was also black, "cool" and had enthusiastic energy backing him.
I'm hearing NV is up in the rural vote by 30%. If we get our rural vote up at all, I think we're good.
I will be surprised if NH doesn't flip red for Trump. There is a ton of enthusiasm here. WAAAY more than 2016.
This is also a good option. I have not been utilizing the same feature as much as I probably could have . Mostly because I forget it's there. I've been ripping every streamable vid and Twitter video to my laptop to avoid losing posts
This time they can show up in force because of all the talk about the national popular vote.
Hate to break it to you, but unless we can get 5 million Dems to vote Trump, we probably won't take Cali. Our only real shot is strong bipartisan support for trump, crazy high turnout for Rs, and crazy low turnout for Ds.
Republicans + Independents outnumber Democrats, in California.
Now obviously Independents are not all going to vote for Trump, but the necessary amount of Democrats flipping and high support from Independents is not outside of the realm of possibilities.
My bets are still pending, I still believe Trump will come through. Money is just the bonus though, the real win is going to be rubbing it in my lefty family's faces at Christmas
We only lost MN by 1.5 points. Trump is campainging like crazy there, and all of the BLM riots, and Trump economy. I'm pretty sure we've gained 1.52% of the voter base in these four years. NV too, but that state had a 2.3% margin. CO and VA might be a stretch, but CO has lost plenty of Dem voters through deportations, is it enough? Who knows. I'm pretty confident in 330-355 this election.
I wouldn't have sources ready to back this up, but the hispanic vote is higher this time for Trump. I read some articles about it.
Florida seems safer today than in 2016 (altough I understand a Cuban is not the same as a Mexican).
You can also see how the media and the Democrats (but I repeat myself) don't really attack Trump on "Mexicans rapist" and the Wall, instead focusing all the energy on blacks.
This would suggest that 1) they understand hispanics don't buy anymore the bullshit that Trump is racist and 2) hispanics might resent being treated as second class citizens compared to blacks.
And if we do better with hispanics, NM should be closer than VA.
WI is definitely red bro. We won that in 2016, dont forget about Kenosha, defunded police, and we are winning in early voting by 5%. Not that optimistic imo.
Man. I so badly want Trump to win in a landslide.... just so I can laugh at the Reddit Cucks.
Colorado was only 1% more for Hillary than NV. NH was only .37% more for Hillary than Trump. None of them are a stretch. The biggest stretch imo is VA, but they got cucked during lockdowns and Trump has campaigned there. The real map could end up 100% like this.
Lol they took away their guns in VA and they didn’t do Shit. That’s state is cucked and gone.
What exactly could they have done?
If they do something about it or not we'll know in a few days.
Unfortunately muzzies have an army of inbred retarded with nothing to lose.
We don't have that.
Why are so many people sold on NH going red?
I'm in NH. I'm feeling good. We lost so narrowly in 2016. Biden got 5th place in the NH primary. We're a Bernie Sander's state and I think a lot of them will go for Trump. Gary Johnson was a bitch of a spoiler taking 30,000 votes in 2016. We have a MASSIVE amount of Independents in NH. The Independents lean Democrat, but Gary Johnson voters should break for Trump now the Trump isn't an unknown quantity. Gary was a safe choice, but now Trump is a safe choice with 4 years to show for it.
It's really hard to find data to analyze NH. Nobody cares about NH in the general, so we have to base everything off of 2016. We do get fucked over with Massholes moving here and voting liberal. I put some money on NH, but not a lot.
https://www.bostonherald.com/2019/12/25/bay-staters-shipping-up-to-the-granite-state/
I've heard that on NH lots of college students from out of state usually vote. But not this time because of the chinavirus.
This is why in my prediction map I've put NH red. But it's also because I can't accept that a state with such a badass motto would vote for socialism.
Let me know what you think of the college student thing.
I've thought about it. I think the situation with college is a net benefit. NH is a big college state with ivy leagues that bring in very liberal out of state students. I'm having a hard time gauging the situation. College seems to be happening. I don't know to what extent.
Certainly, there is no ground game to get their vote. I have to imagine Hillary Clinton was more popular with college students than Biden will be. Biden is a gaffe machine cranking out meme after meme. The youth live and breathe memes.
The youth vote is a big deal in NH and is why Bernie crushed it here. So if Biden can't get the youth vote to turn out, he's probably toast. It's well known the youth turn out for Hillary was low and a big contributor of her loss. Obama had an incredibly robust campaign organization unrivaled by any before him. His youth outreach and turn out was unparalleled. He was also black, "cool" and had enthusiastic energy backing him.
I'm hearing NV is up in the rural vote by 30%. If we get our rural vote up at all, I think we're good.
I will be surprised if NH doesn't flip red for Trump. There is a ton of enthusiasm here. WAAAY more than 2016.
Good analysis, thanks. I agree with you.
only .37 lead for Hillary in 2016. It was closer than Nevada by 2 points.
Bold call on CO, VA, and NH.
yep. Not NH though. That's almost guranteed. Hillary won it by less than .37%.
I think this is probably the most accurate map I can imagine. Screenshotting for later comparison.
Or use .win "save" option and create folder Predictions
This is also a good option. I have not been utilizing the same feature as much as I probably could have . Mostly because I forget it's there. I've been ripping every streamable vid and Twitter video to my laptop to avoid losing posts
If you're right I'll win $240 but if he gets 371 I'll win $1025
I don't know about 371 lol. He would have to take NY, CA, or get 2 or 3 more states.
I've also got $20 on him to win California or New York. They're just crazy bets but seeing all the supporters in CA brings me a glimmer of hope
I have a glimmer of hope too.
The reason being, most pedes in CA and NY wouldn't vote because they thought their vote was wasted as they couldn't flip the state.
This means we don't know how many Trump supporters there are.
This time they can show up in force because of all the talk about the national popular vote.
Also, spontaneous rallies in Beverly Hills. People just gathering us to support Trump. I don't think this happened before.
Sending good vibes from Australia that it's another crazy upset victory!
Hate to break it to you, but unless we can get 5 million Dems to vote Trump, we probably won't take Cali. Our only real shot is strong bipartisan support for trump, crazy high turnout for Rs, and crazy low turnout for Ds.
Republicans + Independents outnumber Democrats, in California.
Now obviously Independents are not all going to vote for Trump, but the necessary amount of Democrats flipping and high support from Independents is not outside of the realm of possibilities.
Well yeah, that's true. Maybe a stretch but certainly possible!
Just came back to this post. Hope you haven't payed up yet, it could still turn around.
My bets are still pending, I still believe Trump will come through. Money is just the bonus though, the real win is going to be rubbing it in my lefty family's faces at Christmas
If he takes Colorado, he's taking New Mexico too. I'd switch them if being generous, put them both blue if I'm being honest.
Not that you couldn't be correct ofc, but imo:
CO no VA no NV no MN no (I realize it's trendy to believe this)
Without mass fraud in FL or PA I think most of the 310 maps going around are accurate
We only lost MN by 1.5 points. Trump is campainging like crazy there, and all of the BLM riots, and Trump economy. I'm pretty sure we've gained 1.52% of the voter base in these four years. NV too, but that state had a 2.3% margin. CO and VA might be a stretch, but CO has lost plenty of Dem voters through deportations, is it enough? Who knows. I'm pretty confident in 330-355 this election.
Sad how New Mexico is turning into a new Mexico.
They are colonizing us
Let's hope so!
My prediction map is like yours, except that I have NM red and VA blue.
CO and VA were both closer in 2016 than NM. Unless the number of deported voters were huge, it's unlikely we win NM.
I wouldn't have sources ready to back this up, but the hispanic vote is higher this time for Trump. I read some articles about it. Florida seems safer today than in 2016 (altough I understand a Cuban is not the same as a Mexican).
You can also see how the media and the Democrats (but I repeat myself) don't really attack Trump on "Mexicans rapist" and the Wall, instead focusing all the energy on blacks. This would suggest that 1) they understand hispanics don't buy anymore the bullshit that Trump is racist and 2) hispanics might resent being treated as second class citizens compared to blacks.
And if we do better with hispanics, NM should be closer than VA.
Just my hunch. Feel free to disagree.
Yeah i agree with that for the most part but I don't know about NM. It's kinda far gone.
Idk. I'm expecting a very slim margin. Just so much rigging going on.
Early voting Statistics, BLM riot numbers, Lockdown harshness, 2016 voter margins and won states, Trump economy in general, Biden Frakking comments, 56% better off. Might look like copium, but I think I have valid reason to suspect a map similar. Only thing that's kind of a stretch is VA.
You really expect Wisconsin to go red? You must be more optimistic than me.
4 days ago I made a post about WI going red
https://thedonald.win/p/11PVtnUgbI/high-energy-were-winning-in-earl/c/
Let me know what you think
WI is definitely red bro. We won that in 2016, dont forget about Kenosha, defunded police, and we are winning in early voting by 5%. Not that optimistic imo.