It seems Trump’s internal polls are much better than the public polls. Love his confidence. Is the methodology much different? How can all of the public polls be so wrong? Generally curious because I don’t know.
A CNN poll earlier this year was used to support their story about Texas now being a “purple state” and projecting a Biden victory. The poll was taken from 500 likely voters in AUSTIN, 300 of which were Democrats. Public polls are designed to influence and demoralize. They have no basis in reality.
Trafalgar is the only poll I'm aware of that is trying to account for the fact that Trump supporters are reluctant to participate in polling. The left does not understand Trump supporters and they think that this dynamic does not exist.
I actually got my first phone call the other day about who I'm voting for. I told them Biden. I said his position on legalizing pedophilia will let me live out life as I truly am.
You can tell she was confused for a second. I hung up after. Lol.
Now you’re on a list somewhere. Maybe several list in several somewheres. Me too.
True story: Got on the “no fly” for transporting mom’s deceased freeze dried pet dog. (I know it’s weird but she wanted it). Well, more likely the sarcasm involved in explaining the dam thing to TSA. Nobody likes a smartass, and I have no friends. So keep us all good company on our lists.
There’s a pollster named Richard Baris (People’s Pundit) that says it’s insanely frustrating trying to reach a lot of Trump’s working base because they hang up or abandon surveys. He does good work cause he asks questions that are meant to sus our people who lie or lean one way.
Who the h*** would actually tell a random person calling your phone what you really think? There is no reality I will ever live in where that's gonna happen.
Public polls mostly don't know how / don't try to model the "Shy Trump Voter" demographic and either use outdated / Democrat-biased baselines to weigh samples against.
The most accurate public polls take into account less corruptible measures (such as primary turnout and other broad trend lines for enthusiasm). The private polls that try to model those that don't answer polls (like 95%+) and ask questions like "who do you think your friends / family are voting for" (tries to get a feel of people that adamantly refuse to out themselves) tend to be a hell of a lot more accurate.
I told Biden's Facebook campaign that I was voting for Biden. No reason to give them accurate data. I even called my congress-critter (freshman Dem in red state) to support impeachment since I banked on it failing.
Democrats are more likely to answer polls because it is another exercise in virtue signaling.
Poll worker: "Hi, I am calling from XYZ Poll Group Analytics, who do you prefer in this year's Presidential election?"
Average NPC Dem: "Wait, who's calling? I'm important now!! Hi - I am voting for JOE BIDEN because BLACK LIVES MATTER and I want you to know how TOLERANT and ANTI-RACIST I am!!! Tell all your POC friends that I have their back!! I am standing up for the right to murder your child and for BLACK people who totally need ME to save them!!"
Average Trump voter: Sees call from random number... doesn't answer
they look at #s. look up info about trafalgar too. they all have strengths and weaknesses. they often mention polls here and you can learn a lot by these guys based on their terminology. just google it after you see them mention a pollster. one thing is clear, they all make fun of nate silver and call him nate plastic 😂
The media is in such a state not wanting him to declare victory on election night so the glorious bastard declares it under budget and ahead of schedule
without fake polls, this would not even be a contest, they put out fake polls to make it a contest, can't blame them,, its not like these people aren't smart, they are , still, they got no other options , imagine if Biden had to come from behind to win, that's their worse nightmare.
Yes. Cancelled 14 rallies in Texas. Along with pulling adverts from a bunch of states because they know it’ll just be a waste of money to run adverts in those states.
The funniest thing is going on Predictit and looking at the comments under these bets. People are putting hundreds on those states going to Biden and him winning with a 280+ electoral college margin of victory.
the democratic party doesn't even understand there are:
Hardcore, liberal/pro-socialist east coast elite/DC dems who would for Satan in a blue tie
and Working Class Dems who care about jobs/economy/no wars/no lockdown who will vote for Trump
Left leaning Libertarians who hated Bush/Romney/McCain but who would never vote for creepy Joe and actually like Trumps policies
They treat everyone the same and that's why they will lose again!
I still think the left will count votes until they win. They have been planning this for a long time. With so much blatant lying and cheating the left is doing, I find it hard to believe that anything is fair with them. Countries go to war over left vs right policies, do we really think that their convictions do not allow them to cheat?
And yet Fox polls are still spewing the ‘projected’ bs polling numbers. Not actual poll numbers. ‘Projected numbers’ can be anything you want them to be. And since they all come from democratic sources, they all have Biden ahead regardless of what other data sources say.
It seems Trump’s internal polls are much better than the public polls. Love his confidence. Is the methodology much different? How can all of the public polls be so wrong? Generally curious because I don’t know.
A CNN poll earlier this year was used to support their story about Texas now being a “purple state” and projecting a Biden victory. The poll was taken from 500 likely voters in AUSTIN, 300 of which were Democrats. Public polls are designed to influence and demoralize. They have no basis in reality.
Msnbc even used their viewers polls in 2016, what Trump voter watches msnbc? That's how you get 98% to 2%.
Why not just poll likely voters at Biden headquarters?
I'm sure they would have more people leaning Republican after his rally than before. Kek.
They are wrong because they are meant to influence and accomplish goals, where the internal polls are meant to inform his campaign of reality.
Trafalgar is the only one who doesnt use public opinions, but only a various compilation of stats.
Trafalgar is the only poll I'm aware of that is trying to account for the fact that Trump supporters are reluctant to participate in polling. The left does not understand Trump supporters and they think that this dynamic does not exist.
I actually got my first phone call the other day about who I'm voting for. I told them Biden. I said his position on legalizing pedophilia will let me live out life as I truly am.
You can tell she was confused for a second. I hung up after. Lol.
Underrated rouse. Good work pede
Now you’re on a list somewhere. Maybe several list in several somewheres. Me too.
True story: Got on the “no fly” for transporting mom’s deceased freeze dried pet dog. (I know it’s weird but she wanted it). Well, more likely the sarcasm involved in explaining the dam thing to TSA. Nobody likes a smartass, and I have no friends. So keep us all good company on our lists.
Anywho.... Best is yet to come!
Good way to convert the poll caller.
There’s a pollster named Richard Baris (People’s Pundit) that says it’s insanely frustrating trying to reach a lot of Trump’s working base because they hang up or abandon surveys. He does good work cause he asks questions that are meant to sus our people who lie or lean one way.
Who the h*** would actually tell a random person calling your phone what you really think? There is no reality I will ever live in where that's gonna happen.
More like Nate Cardboard, after all he wants Biden to win and Biden would get rid of oil. No oil = no plastic!
There is no reason to ever promote a poll where you’re losing. You discourage your base, your donors, and suppress turnout.
Public polls mostly don't know how / don't try to model the "Shy Trump Voter" demographic and either use outdated / Democrat-biased baselines to weigh samples against.
The most accurate public polls take into account less corruptible measures (such as primary turnout and other broad trend lines for enthusiasm). The private polls that try to model those that don't answer polls (like 95%+) and ask questions like "who do you think your friends / family are voting for" (tries to get a feel of people that adamantly refuse to out themselves) tend to be a hell of a lot more accurate.
I told Biden's Facebook campaign that I was voting for Biden. No reason to give them accurate data. I even called my congress-critter (freshman Dem in red state) to support impeachment since I banked on it failing.
Democrats are more likely to answer polls because it is another exercise in virtue signaling.
Poll worker: "Hi, I am calling from XYZ Poll Group Analytics, who do you prefer in this year's Presidential election?"
Average NPC Dem: "Wait, who's calling? I'm important now!! Hi - I am voting for JOE BIDEN because BLACK LIVES MATTER and I want you to know how TOLERANT and ANTI-RACIST I am!!! Tell all your POC friends that I have their back!! I am standing up for the right to murder your child and for BLACK people who totally need ME to save them!!"
Average Trump voter: Sees call from random number... doesn't answer
Or is working a job and too busy to answer random phone calls
Yeah, using the numbers for the primaries, the Primary Model has predicted 25 out of 27 elections. This election it gives Trump 91% chance of winning.
they look at #s. look up info about trafalgar too. they all have strengths and weaknesses. they often mention polls here and you can learn a lot by these guys based on their terminology. just google it after you see them mention a pollster. one thing is clear, they all make fun of nate silver and call him nate plastic 😂
VOTE!!! regardless of how good these look
https://mobile.twitter.com/athein1/ https://mobile.twitter.com/LarrySchweikart/ https://mobile.twitter.com/RedEaglePatriot/
Silver's reputation is definitely tarnished.
T H E
R A D I C A L
L E F T
I S
G O I N G
D O W N
🥰
Crush the cucks with our minds.
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Kek
https://preview.redd.it/103i0k7g1y6z.jpg?width=960&crop=smart&auto=webp&s=37b965a2ec2d81571796292284cf6e99fe9deb46
When you visit reddit.
Bu-bu-but Biden is going to flip Texas! He's +4 there! That's why he's not campaigning there at all!
I love that cucks believe all of this, it's so funny watching them get smacked by reality.
And Biden is campaigning in Minnesota when he’s supposedly up. The mental gymnastics of the left is so tired!
Rasmussen reports Biden is winning 48% to 47% Trump in Florida
I have no idea how they take calculate these polls lol
At least one of the Bidens knows how to pull out. Looking at you Hunter...
Suddenly, "vote for the other Biden" takes on a new meaning.
I mean, he didn't knock up Natalie once...
The media is in such a state not wanting him to declare victory on election night so the glorious bastard declares it under budget and ahead of schedule
VOTE, VOTE, VOTE!
Will this demotivate the left to stay home or get the right complacent? I'm always weary of how some people can react differently to the same message.
Many people vote for whoever is more popular just because they want to be in the winning team. Many people are sheeps.
So it's definitely good for us if the polls showed that Trump is winning.
And I helped!
Don't miss your chance to be a part of history! VOTE!
Numbers can't lie but liars use numbers.
Pollsters are paid. Most are paid by media companies.
Right before an actual vote, the pollster numbers get closer to the reality so they don't look like the lying manipulators they are.
I don't believe any predictions until I will see the actual voting results.
Let's not get too cocky before we actually win.
They're going DOW!
N
Down like the dow.
without fake polls, this would not even be a contest, they put out fake polls to make it a contest, can't blame them,, its not like these people aren't smart, they are , still, they got no other options , imagine if Biden had to come from behind to win, that's their worse nightmare.
It’s also known as voter suppression.
They put out these polls to demoralize the right. Don’t fall for it! And vote like your life depends on it (because it kind of does this time!)
Can someone please help me understand what Trump is referring to?
What states exactly is Biden pulling out, and how?
Did Biden cancel rallies (jokes aside)?
Yes. Cancelled 14 rallies in Texas. Along with pulling adverts from a bunch of states because they know it’ll just be a waste of money to run adverts in those states.
He must be getting insider reports that Biden volunteer doorknockers etc are closing up shop.
From his mouth to God’s ears.
But Nate Bronze said Texas and Georgia are blue!
The funniest thing is going on Predictit and looking at the comments under these bets. People are putting hundreds on those states going to Biden and him winning with a 280+ electoral college margin of victory.
Nate Wood
Balsa wood at that.
the democratic party doesn't even understand there are:
Hardcore, liberal/pro-socialist east coast elite/DC dems who would for Satan in a blue tie and Working Class Dems who care about jobs/economy/no wars/no lockdown who will vote for Trump Left leaning Libertarians who hated Bush/Romney/McCain but who would never vote for creepy Joe and actually like Trumps policies
They treat everyone the same and that's why they will lose again!
PredictIt has been easy fucking money for 4 years and now four more years
Only_Rosie_ODonnell...I love your user name 👍🏼
I still think the left will count votes until they win. They have been planning this for a long time. With so much blatant lying and cheating the left is doing, I find it hard to believe that anything is fair with them. Countries go to war over left vs right policies, do we really think that their convictions do not allow them to cheat?
A screenshot of a tweet? Thought we were stopping that shit.
Dan Ariely: People knowingly make up shit on surveys. This is a fact. Every poll is literally garbage.
And yet Fox polls are still spewing the ‘projected’ bs polling numbers. Not actual poll numbers. ‘Projected numbers’ can be anything you want them to be. And since they all come from democratic sources, they all have Biden ahead regardless of what other data sources say.
He’s getting everyone to think past the sale
THE RADICAL LEFT IS GOING DOWN!