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Block_Helen 5 points ago +5 / -0

That's probably because the Selzer poll (IA) came out over the weekend showing Trump +7. It's the gold standard in IA.

IOW IA isn't any stronger for Trump than Texas but the polling is stronger so more people probably went to IA after it was released.

I'd expect him to win both by 10 points or more.

It's funny, you're in IA, I'm in TX.

If you want to harvest some salt, check out the replies to Nate Cohn's tweet about the Selzer poll. https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1322682963402915841