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Goozmania 1 point ago +1 / -0

The chance is low, but I believe CA is in play. 46% of all early votes were Democrat, vs 24% Republican... BUT, upwards of 24% of registered Democrats plan to vote for Trump, while only 3% of Republicans don't plan to vote for him. If Trump can take at least half the Independents and at least 10% of those Democrats, then it is suddenly a dead heat.

SO~ If early votes are a dead heat, and in-person voting favors Republicans 2 to 1, Trump wins California.