I've been thinking for the last few days that Dems have been so focused on flipping battleground states that they've been ignoring their "safe" states. Between that and 'Rona/Riots I think at least one sold Dem state goes red.
This. I pointed out to a buddy, but Trump literally just needs Michigan and Ohio out of the rust belt and it's locked, with or without PA. There's polls showing him ahead in both. If he sweeps the rust belt, he could lose TEXAS and still be winning. Trump has at least 6 valid paths that I can count, all with polling data to back them. If you just assume MSM polls are lying and every battleground is 50/50 and NOTHING else, your view of this election goes from "biden sweeps" to "man, Trump has a LOT of ways to 270..."
Two huge points. People keep saying "but we fixed the polls after 2016!" In 2016 there was a 5% gap according to the Atlantic. In 2018 they miscalled the Florida races by 4%. Don't doesn't sound too "fixed" to me. People are saying "but look at all these states that are going to Flip, Texas will be blue!" but again in 2018 for Beta they were wrong AND I have seen nothing EXCEPT the polls saying that it will "flip" as proof of this. No massive donor swings, no massive rallies for Biden, no even yard signs to even match the lukewarm support Beta got against Ted Cruz while the rest of the state ran red as usual.
As of right now, election day, early morning, if I had to pick a phrase to define this entire 2020 election cycle, it would be "the year the Pollsters drank their own Koolaid, pissed it out, then drank it again".
The thought of Trump winning my home state of California made me pregnant.
I'm doing my part tomorrow :)
What part? Getting u/JediMasterGandalf pregnant or turning California red?
That sounds like a movie I'd watch
Y E S
I've been thinking for the last few days that Dems have been so focused on flipping battleground states that they've been ignoring their "safe" states. Between that and 'Rona/Riots I think at least one sold Dem state goes red.
This. I pointed out to a buddy, but Trump literally just needs Michigan and Ohio out of the rust belt and it's locked, with or without PA. There's polls showing him ahead in both. If he sweeps the rust belt, he could lose TEXAS and still be winning. Trump has at least 6 valid paths that I can count, all with polling data to back them. If you just assume MSM polls are lying and every battleground is 50/50 and NOTHING else, your view of this election goes from "biden sweeps" to "man, Trump has a LOT of ways to 270..."
Two huge points. People keep saying "but we fixed the polls after 2016!" In 2016 there was a 5% gap according to the Atlantic. In 2018 they miscalled the Florida races by 4%. Don't doesn't sound too "fixed" to me. People are saying "but look at all these states that are going to Flip, Texas will be blue!" but again in 2018 for Beta they were wrong AND I have seen nothing EXCEPT the polls saying that it will "flip" as proof of this. No massive donor swings, no massive rallies for Biden, no even yard signs to even match the lukewarm support Beta got against Ted Cruz while the rest of the state ran red as usual.
As of right now, election day, early morning, if I had to pick a phrase to define this entire 2020 election cycle, it would be "the year the Pollsters drank their own Koolaid, pissed it out, then drank it again".
At what point do you think that war room starts screaming at each other for having Joe as their candidate?
They'll all be passed out drunk before midnight.
Low energy. And they already got their money.
That would be the State of Denial
They’re fucked and they have known it awhile.