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So I have a feeling Nate Cardboard will come out tonight and say "Just because Trump won, doesn't mean our models were wrong, we gave him a 10% chance of winning and he won, it's just probability.
Your correct response to that is, well Nate cardboard gave Trump a 30% chance of winning in 2016 and a 10% chance in 2020. If those two events are independent, then the probability that he got both calls wrong while his models were correct is 3%.
So do we think there is a 3% chance that his models were right but got the election wrong twice...or do we think there's higher than a 3% chance his models are garbage?
So how are you pedes feeling for real right now? I know it's early.
When I watched GEOTUS speak, he seemed tired and a little dejected, but then again, he's basically been barnstorming the key states, campaigning non-stop for several weeks straight, so I can understand that.
Then Rush didn't seem as "perky" or optimistic today as I would have liked, and I assume if there's anyone with his pulse on the state of the electorate, it's him.
FL appears to be looking good, but I'm getting a little antsy out here about some other must wins. Anyone feel me??
Not sure if this is allowed but I forgot to say I did early voting on October 13th in Texas and voted for the first time for Trump! I sadly wish I had voted for him in 2016 but I was super late for registering to vote and couldn't. Never thought I'd be excited for voting. I sadly live in an area in Texas where we've, unfortunately, voted blue for decades.
Despite that, I went out and made an effort anyways to get my vote out there! Family also voted for Trump too so let's go for FOUR MORE YEARS. :D
Texas Pede here. I live in a small town called Huffman. Everyone here is jacked up on America and has high dragon energy for Trump. Hard to believe we're actually part of Harris County, the biggest bluest pile of shit in all of Texas.
Yeah. I live in Edinburg, which is a pretty small town itself, and there's enough Trump supporters that I'm genuinely shocked Democratic supporters haven't vandalized their cars. That's the only credit I'll give Hidalgo County but other than that the Rio Grande Valley has always voted blue/been blue pilled probably longer than I've been alive.
's why I hold out on the rest of Texas going red which has always been the case so far since it turned red.
yep that 300 car train was awesome the other day. was outside the mall while they were getting ready and was hearing all sorts of honks of support from passing cars.
KEEP THE ENEMY GUESSING! As we breakthrough Dem strongholds like Broward and Miami Dade you can see the results in Florida emerge!
Keep voting, through all the States of this Glorious US of A
No retreat or taking a "cup of tea", advance through on all fronts, you have nothing to fear than fear itself!
Has you, Patriot, vote for the GEOTUS, and clear the voting booth front line, millions of other Patriots will follow though, as we sweep the treasonous DEM scum in the greatest Battle for Freedom of all time!
I can’t shake this horrible feeling in my stomach. Idk y.
Edit: thanks for the downvotes, but it seems like that gut feeling I had was accurate, like it was in 2016. They are trying to fuck us. Suck my dick downvoting faggots.
I'm nervous too. I'm nervous how bad shit is going to pop off in the big dem cities, like where I currently live, when Trump wins. Hope I'm wrong though.
For me is just anxiousness and waiting for the results. I truly believe Trump will win, my only concern is fraud. I'll be happy if and when Trump is announced the winner. Until then, VOTE!
All of this preliminary data coming in is really making me even more confident in a yuge landslide for Trump.
It's extremely difficult to ignore the combination of great policy, a terrible opponent, an unprecedented level of crowds and support, and a consistent addition of supporters from all demographics over the past couple of years.
Yes I know they will cheat here and there, but cheating only goes so far. I think we are overwhelming them, and will continue to do so. I feel silly telling people to vote, because I know everyone is, but I want the popular vote and I think we can get it this time.
I'm in the minority here (I think) that thinks cheating won't be a factor. It's easy to cheat small local elections. I can't imagine the level of sophistication and coordination it would take to brazzenly steal the presidential election.
I've been saying this since they nominated Sleepy Joe, the left has had no real intention of winning this election. It's very hard to beat an incumbent President. Statistically, they'll have a better shot in 2024 and they are saving their real candidates for then. They don't need Yang getting the shit kicked out of him by Trump. Trump fights dirty. They want to save him for 2024. It's like a football team that has clinched the first round bye in the playoffs in week 16. So week 17, they bench their starters and let their backups go out and get beat up.
They'll only need to cast doubt on the outcome of this election. That's the springboard for their strategy for the next 4 years. They'll point to the chaos of this election as proof Trump is illegitimate and start up some more bullshit impeachment.
Their cheating is their abuse of the legacy media. If it weren’t for communists running almost every news organization Biden would be getting blown out by record proportions
Lifelong centrist here, registered Dem, ex 2016 Bernie, and just had the honor to vote for the greatest president of my 43 years for a SECOND time in four years. Straight Red with a smile on my face. Winning!
Over on reddit the politics sub went from "Biden is gonna crush him, so many more democrats voted mail in than republicans and that trend will continue today in person" ....to..."Well maybe more registered republicans are voting today but there are gonna be so many republicans who vote for Biden that we'll still win!"
I know some Republicans that might have voted for Joe Biden had it not been for the Harris VP pick. I don't know what happened to my staunchly Republican father in law, but I talked to him and he's not a fan of Trump. He works for a business that does a lot of work with China so I'd imagine that's why. Anyway, we were talking last weekend and he said he was going to vote for Trump because there's zero chance Joe lasts 4 years and a Harris presidency would be a disaster. Had Biden (or the DNC, rather) picked a more palateable VP, they'd have a much better shot at poaching some unhappy Republicans.
As someone who already voted I feel like this time is the information lull of the day. Woke up full of adrenaline, got numbers out of Florida, got hype. But now nothing really new coming in til polls close. Not sure what to do with all this anticipation
I've already organized my Pepes in order of age, comedy, rarity, and leftist salt inducting including reverse organizing them. I can't organize them any more!
Nope. We can love our politicians but we need to remember that they work for us. We don’t need to be a cult of man children like the liberals - pathetic shadow dwellers who look to elect mommies and daddies.
Patriotism is putting on our pants like big boys and taking the responsibility upon ourselves to make this a better place for our families, our fellow citizens and ourselves
When people ask why I vote Conservative the answer is simple. I just want the government to step aside and let me succeed. I can look after my family. I can provide healthcare, food, and clothing. Don't take my money from me and give me back half assed plans that do more harm than good. Just let me keep as much of my money as possible and I'll see to it that my family is taken care of.
When the wife and I went to vote, everyone in there had on Trump hats/shirts. It was a thing of beauty. I live in Kentucky which is of course going to be a red state, but it was reassuring to see it
Funny how so many of the comments say this is bad for Trump, that many Repubs and Indies voting Biden. 98% approval rating from Republicans and they expect this huge wave of Repubs voting for Biden? What planet do they live on?
@DataRepublican breaks down an estimate based on NPA vote totals and county D:R ratios. See the "Split Estimate" box: https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/
The percentage lean towards D has been dropping from 3% under the 1.56% pf 2016 to now under 1%.
Miami-Dade doesn't report live results, but some are saying that Venezuelan and Cuban support for Trump is around 66% with even registered Dem Venezuelzan support at 56%.
In Wisconsin at a polling station. Out of 500 voters about 10% were new voter registrations. Just small sample but out of that it seemed like the donald could have the edge judging voters on looks.
Other than that the process is going smoothly.
Early morning rush followed by some lunchtime and people are surprised they didn't have to wait long in line all day. Likely due to all early voters and mail in ballots.
Voter ID is required and that makes life way easier than states that don't require it for sure. Not fool proof but it is what it is
Reporting from Texas!
Why do we only have live results from Florida?
Because the dems are busy figuring out how many votes to fabricate
Can't Stump the Trump!
WE GOT THIS, 4 MORE YEARS! REEEEEEEEEEEEEE
So I have a feeling Nate Cardboard will come out tonight and say "Just because Trump won, doesn't mean our models were wrong, we gave him a 10% chance of winning and he won, it's just probability.
Your correct response to that is, well Nate cardboard gave Trump a 30% chance of winning in 2016 and a 10% chance in 2020. If those two events are independent, then the probability that he got both calls wrong while his models were correct is 3%.
So do we think there is a 3% chance that his models were right but got the election wrong twice...or do we think there's higher than a 3% chance his models are garbage?
Which he's also been doing poorly. He only tracked them when they looked bad but when Covid declined he suddenly stopped tracking the numbers.
164K LEAD IN FLORIDA
I know. These "landslide" people are totally off base. It's going to be close and we need every vote.
Update: It's 176187
Going in the right direction but the higher that number gets the better.
Sitting here refreshing it every 5 minutes and charting the changes. I'm going to get an ulcer lol.
No, if 2% of R voters flip that's a 160k swing. But that assumes 100% D vote for Biden. Not going to happen
Just so you know, a shit ton of first generation Cubans and Venezuelans registered as unaffiliated to vote for Trump in Miami Dade.
FUCK YEAH AND THE PEDES ARE JUST GETTING OFF WORK NOW
Where do you see this
https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/
Did anyone see the girl on Fox who was voting in Ohio with the BLM mask on? Isn't that illegal?
BLM and MAGA is allowed i think. But no candidate gear
Blm getting it's daily free pass.
Guys for real go read the r/politics main election thread. I promise you won't get instant cancer. Not the top posts, but sorted by new.
It's so fucking low energy depressed and delusional cucks. It's not a hard read right now, for once.
Enjoy it
Earlier today they were all like "trump looks tired and deflated"
I was thinking, "bitch he just got done with about 20 rallies in the past few days, that's more work than most of you have ever done in your life"
Exactly
They've switched off all the bots an paid shills now that the election is here.
“ Listening to Biden talk is so relaxing. I want Joe Biden to hug me. He can even sniff my hair, IDGAF! Checkmate, conservatives.”
Reddit cucks lmao
They're so fucking weird over there.
I suspect a ton of them are trolls lmao
One guy was like I voted Biden and I got saluted by the pollster who told me I was doing my part.
Ok...
And other people around me heard and started clapping..
Lmao ok...
A military veteran even gave me one of his medals.
LMAO
They're being infiltrated hard by pedes and normies alike now.. Reddit is officially cucked and ruined by THE RED WAVE
Don't panic when Frank Lutz calls this for Biden at 7:30 EST. I remember him doing that in 2016 for Hillary.
Fuck You Frank!
with cactus
Don't panic when Frank Lutz calls this for Biden at 7:30 EST. I remember him doing that in 2016 for Hillary.
Don't panic when Frank Lutz calls this for Biden at 7:30 EST. I remember him doing that in 2016 for Hillary.
Trump is winning the hispanic vote
So how are you pedes feeling for real right now? I know it's early.
When I watched GEOTUS speak, he seemed tired and a little dejected, but then again, he's basically been barnstorming the key states, campaigning non-stop for several weeks straight, so I can understand that.
Then Rush didn't seem as "perky" or optimistic today as I would have liked, and I assume if there's anyone with his pulse on the state of the electorate, it's him.
FL appears to be looking good, but I'm getting a little antsy out here about some other must wins. Anyone feel me??
GET YOUR LOW ENERGY OFF THIS BOARD
Honestly, I'm feeling very good! Voted trump about two hours ago, now eating, and listening to hannitys radio show.
HIGH ENERGY EVERYWHERE FOLKS~!!
Thank you! I need posts like this right now! That's why I love this community!
Joe Biden introduced his granddaughter as Beau Biden his son who people elected to Delware AG.
I can't believe it.
https://youtu.be/D8sQaELlMdQ?t=71
SAUCE PLS PLS PLS
Here you go https://twitter.com/Breaking911/status/1323725227487100928
ahhh i can't seem to find it, ive gone through the videos in my history on youtube. Someone might have linked it on tdwin.
He's got his right arm around her, looking at a group of people holding a mic. Someone else must have seen it.
EDIT: https://youtu.be/D8sQaELlMdQ?t=71
Did this just happen lol?
https://youtu.be/D8sQaELlMdQ?t=71
https://twitter.com/RubinReport/status/1323736248293359619
Can't get the video to play.
Good lord...
This morning
Not sure if this is allowed but I forgot to say I did early voting on October 13th in Texas and voted for the first time for Trump! I sadly wish I had voted for him in 2016 but I was super late for registering to vote and couldn't. Never thought I'd be excited for voting. I sadly live in an area in Texas where we've, unfortunately, voted blue for decades.
Despite that, I went out and made an effort anyways to get my vote out there! Family also voted for Trump too so let's go for FOUR MORE YEARS. :D
Texas Pede here. I live in a small town called Huffman. Everyone here is jacked up on America and has high dragon energy for Trump. Hard to believe we're actually part of Harris County, the biggest bluest pile of shit in all of Texas.
Yeah. I live in Edinburg, which is a pretty small town itself, and there's enough Trump supporters that I'm genuinely shocked Democratic supporters haven't vandalized their cars. That's the only credit I'll give Hidalgo County but other than that the Rio Grande Valley has always voted blue/been blue pilled probably longer than I've been alive.
's why I hold out on the rest of Texas going red which has always been the case so far since it turned red.
Remember PEDES, its not over 'till its over! If you havent, go VOTE!!
I love in a deep blue state, and I went to vote about 2 hours ago, and didnt even wait to vote!!!!
VOTE VOTE VOTE
DO NOT GET COMPLACENT!!
I may be in a small town, but Iowa is going red.
Does it smell extra Quaker Oat-y today?
yep that 300 car train was awesome the other day. was outside the mall while they were getting ready and was hearing all sorts of honks of support from passing cars.
When your campaign motto is, "NO MORE BULLSHIT," is it even possible to lose?
Florida lead still growing but perhaps slowing down a bit.
KEEP THE ENEMY GUESSING! As we breakthrough Dem strongholds like Broward and Miami Dade you can see the results in Florida emerge!
Keep voting, through all the States of this Glorious US of A No retreat or taking a "cup of tea", advance through on all fronts, you have nothing to fear than fear itself!
Has you, Patriot, vote for the GEOTUS, and clear the voting booth front line, millions of other Patriots will follow though, as we sweep the treasonous DEM scum in the greatest Battle for Freedom of all time!
TRUMPSLIDE2020
I should’ve volunteered for a campaign today. I hate sitting here at work not working to get more people out to vote republican
WE NEED A NEW THREAD
I can’t shake this horrible feeling in my stomach. Idk y.
Edit: thanks for the downvotes, but it seems like that gut feeling I had was accurate, like it was in 2016. They are trying to fuck us. Suck my dick downvoting faggots.
I'm nervous too. I'm nervous how bad shit is going to pop off in the big dem cities, like where I currently live, when Trump wins. Hope I'm wrong though.
For me is just anxiousness and waiting for the results. I truly believe Trump will win, my only concern is fraud. I'll be happy if and when Trump is announced the winner. Until then, VOTE!
Chill man, concern trolling here ain't the way to do it.
Fucking Wolf Blitzer crying about boarded up windows in DC - that's on YOU, fuckface.
I should watch the crying on CNN right now
Thats all liberals have been crying about "I cant believe that this is what its come to" not realizing the fucking leftists are the ones doing it
They must be CNN viewers.
Florida looks VERY good for Trump. So does North Carolina (via Joeisdone website).
Jeebus, North Carolina looks more solid for Trump than Florida.
Republicans +157K in Florida right now.. up from 140K .. woot!
170k now, higher than 2016 margin
Need Pennsylvania now, then we good cuh.
All of this preliminary data coming in is really making me even more confident in a yuge landslide for Trump.
It's extremely difficult to ignore the combination of great policy, a terrible opponent, an unprecedented level of crowds and support, and a consistent addition of supporters from all demographics over the past couple of years.
Yes I know they will cheat here and there, but cheating only goes so far. I think we are overwhelming them, and will continue to do so. I feel silly telling people to vote, because I know everyone is, but I want the popular vote and I think we can get it this time.
I'm in the minority here (I think) that thinks cheating won't be a factor. It's easy to cheat small local elections. I can't imagine the level of sophistication and coordination it would take to brazzenly steal the presidential election.
I've been saying this since they nominated Sleepy Joe, the left has had no real intention of winning this election. It's very hard to beat an incumbent President. Statistically, they'll have a better shot in 2024 and they are saving their real candidates for then. They don't need Yang getting the shit kicked out of him by Trump. Trump fights dirty. They want to save him for 2024. It's like a football team that has clinched the first round bye in the playoffs in week 16. So week 17, they bench their starters and let their backups go out and get beat up.
They'll only need to cast doubt on the outcome of this election. That's the springboard for their strategy for the next 4 years. They'll point to the chaos of this election as proof Trump is illegitimate and start up some more bullshit impeachment.
We're on the same page here. Good comment.
Their cheating is their abuse of the legacy media. If it weren’t for communists running almost every news organization Biden would be getting blown out by record proportions
YASS PEDE
I agree
Lifelong centrist here, registered Dem, ex 2016 Bernie, and just had the honor to vote for the greatest president of my 43 years for a SECOND time in four years. Straight Red with a smile on my face. Winning!
Over on reddit the politics sub went from "Biden is gonna crush him, so many more democrats voted mail in than republicans and that trend will continue today in person" ....to..."Well maybe more registered republicans are voting today but there are gonna be so many republicans who vote for Biden that we'll still win!"
DELUSIONAL
I know some Republicans that might have voted for Joe Biden had it not been for the Harris VP pick. I don't know what happened to my staunchly Republican father in law, but I talked to him and he's not a fan of Trump. He works for a business that does a lot of work with China so I'd imagine that's why. Anyway, we were talking last weekend and he said he was going to vote for Trump because there's zero chance Joe lasts 4 years and a Harris presidency would be a disaster. Had Biden (or the DNC, rather) picked a more palateable VP, they'd have a much better shot at poaching some unhappy Republicans.
Which means their preliminary metrics were junk and now they are praying for a miracle.
His primary popularity and 95% approval wouldn’t be if that were the case
There is just zero chance there is any significant number of republicans that vote against trump
Probably less than a hundred across the entire US - and certainly less than a thousand in any state that matters.
The media amplifies these “former republicans” but it’s leftwing noise made as red meat for democrats and brainwashing
Trump might lose but it won’t be from never Trumpers
If you need proof just go to the reddit conservative sub that hated trump right up until he won in 16 and see the change in attitudes
I keep seeing this “republicans for Biden” narrative. 95% republican approval of Trump. It’s desperate marketing
KEEP VOTING PEDES
As someone who already voted I feel like this time is the information lull of the day. Woke up full of adrenaline, got numbers out of Florida, got hype. But now nothing really new coming in til polls close. Not sure what to do with all this anticipation
It’s the calm before the storm of information in less than 3 hours. It’s anxiety inducing
Nap time so you can stay up late tonight and still be ready for work tomorrow morning!
Text everyone you know who will vote Trump. Generate excitement and get them to go if they haven't.
Oh that’s easy. Go through your Pepe Meme Book and rank your favorites. It’ll pass the time until the polls close.
I've already organized my Pepes in order of age, comedy, rarity, and leftist salt inducting including reverse organizing them. I can't organize them any more!
same boat
I’ve never experienced such joy to vote for someone before. Is this what patriotism feels like?
Nope. We can love our politicians but we need to remember that they work for us. We don’t need to be a cult of man children like the liberals - pathetic shadow dwellers who look to elect mommies and daddies.
Patriotism is putting on our pants like big boys and taking the responsibility upon ourselves to make this a better place for our families, our fellow citizens and ourselves
When people ask why I vote Conservative the answer is simple. I just want the government to step aside and let me succeed. I can look after my family. I can provide healthcare, food, and clothing. Don't take my money from me and give me back half assed plans that do more harm than good. Just let me keep as much of my money as possible and I'll see to it that my family is taken care of.
Got my vote in. LOVE YOU ALL ANOTHER FOUR YEARS BABY!!!
When the wife and I went to vote, everyone in there had on Trump hats/shirts. It was a thing of beauty. I live in Kentucky which is of course going to be a red state, but it was reassuring to see it
Trump is the best President in my lifetime - another four years would be country changing. LETS GO people
Why aren't you playing AC/DC right now?
What's your over/under on duration of national lockdown if Biden gets elected? Mine is 18 months
Sure....but no other country has 800,000,000 firearms in civilian circulation either
This would be uncharted territory for a police state
30 days off and on for eternity
It would be no less than a full year.
I just voted for Trump!
Funny how so many of the comments say this is bad for Trump, that many Repubs and Indies voting Biden. 98% approval rating from Republicans and they expect this huge wave of Repubs voting for Biden? What planet do they live on?
The Biden voters on there are DESPERATE to say that they will win when people get off work, LMAO!
No, Florida has a population of 21 million.
African American and Hispanic Dem voters will be off the charts for Trump.
Any commentary on what NPA/Other is projected to lean towards?
@DataRepublican breaks down an estimate based on NPA vote totals and county D:R ratios. See the "Split Estimate" box: https://joeisdone.github.io/florida/
The percentage lean towards D has been dropping from 3% under the 1.56% pf 2016 to now under 1%.
Miami-Dade doesn't report live results, but some are saying that Venezuelan and Cuban support for Trump is around 66% with even registered Dem Venezuelzan support at 56%.
My employer just sent an email closing the offices tomorrow due to potential civil unrest... they’re panicking, folks.
I’ll be working from home that day anyways lol!!
what state?
MD
REEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE
THE DEED IS DONE. 12 MORE YEARS. KEK WILLS IT. OHIO IS TRUMP AF
PRAISE THE LORD KEK
So Salty reddit politics shut down the live thread... oof
HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA that place sucks so hard
Really!
Why?
Blowout imminent
Reddit dies in darkness.
Hannity had pollsters on his show and they said the republican turnout is yuge. YUGE.
LOOK WHO WE GOT PEDES!!!
MAGA 2020 WWG1WGA WOO HOO
Voted in Montgomery County, PA.
Kathy Barnett Country woo hoo Go Red Wave
In Wisconsin at a polling station. Out of 500 voters about 10% were new voter registrations. Just small sample but out of that it seemed like the donald could have the edge judging voters on looks.
Other than that the process is going smoothly. Early morning rush followed by some lunchtime and people are surprised they didn't have to wait long in line all day. Likely due to all early voters and mail in ballots.
Voter ID is required and that makes life way easier than states that don't require it for sure. Not fool proof but it is what it is
Pro tip. If you see any hotties in line assume 1000% they are voting Trump.
Well yeah, any girls voting for joe are either 300 pounds, blue hair, or dressed like a dude
She sounds hideous
Or are actual dudes with mental issues
Makes shits great again
Hows it going?
Nice ..hope it’s coming out smooth.
User name checks out
But not too smooth.