Trump looks close in some of the high population city centers. But the numbers I'm seeing reported aren't adding up. I'm seeing about 560k total votes in Fairfax in 2016 with Hillary having a 200k lead. This year with 50% reporting I'm only seeing 100k or so and it's about even. So I think they're basing projections based on 2016 numbers, but it seems like Trump has been doing better in some urban areas than he did in 2016. And the red counties seem solidly red. This isn't my job and I don't work at Fox / CNN / wherever as an analyst, so I'd expect they've run the numbers more accurately than I have, but it seems like it's just projections based on expected turnout for the cities, but maybe things there will be closer than expected unless I'm missing something.
It's only predictive. Obviously they called it wrong.
They called it based on 1% reporting.
They based this on polls that were wrong. Trump is very close in VA.
Due to an error on the part of a new member of our staff.....
Trump looks close in some of the high population city centers. But the numbers I'm seeing reported aren't adding up. I'm seeing about 560k total votes in Fairfax in 2016 with Hillary having a 200k lead. This year with 50% reporting I'm only seeing 100k or so and it's about even. So I think they're basing projections based on 2016 numbers, but it seems like Trump has been doing better in some urban areas than he did in 2016. And the red counties seem solidly red. This isn't my job and I don't work at Fox / CNN / wherever as an analyst, so I'd expect they've run the numbers more accurately than I have, but it seems like it's just projections based on expected turnout for the cities, but maybe things there will be closer than expected unless I'm missing something.
Breakdown of 2016 numbers https://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president/virginia/ Current 2020 numbers https://www.foxnews.com/elections/2020/general-results/state/virginia