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droden 9 points ago +9 / -0

any links for how AZ can still be flipped?
spez: gorka says on twitter 650k outstanding but are those in entirely trump leaning districts? 60:40 would get 390,000 vs 260 so that would eek out a victory ...

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Mrsattorney 2 points ago +2 / -0

I heard a good analysis by Richard Baris of Big Data Polling. He said Trump was overperforming in Maricopa County. If that trend continues, he says Trump could win by +10k votes. https://warroom.org/listen-live/ He provides that analysis in the the last 20-30 minutes of the 2nd hr of the show.

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droden 2 points ago +2 / -0

thank you!

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deleted 2 points ago +2 / -0
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droden 2 points ago +2 / -0

tl;dr:
“The analysis on outstanding ballots mostly being from Maricopa and favoring Biden misses a huge factor: at least 250k of the remaining ballots have a Republican advantage of 20%. Unlike in other states, late earlies will favor Trump,” the data firm continued.

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deleted 2 points ago +2 / -0
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bellcurvestrikesback 2 points ago +3 / -1

600k ballots outstanding need to go 58% T to carry state

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droden 2 points ago +2 / -0

yeah supposedly the late votes favor trump by 20% so that would match up