~391,000 votes remain at large. Trump is down 46,257 votes.

For Trump to win this, I calculate he needs no less than 218,700 votes. That's 55.93%

Trump has been winning MARICOPA county by 57% swings. Maricopa is not near the Republican stronghold that Pinal County is (Maricopa = 48% Trump, Pinal = 56% Trump)

This is ULTRA in play still.