He's right. I'm sure the reason for the confidence is that his internal polling was significantly better than the polls the public has been getting gaslit by for months. When election night rolled around and his advisors started pouring over the early actual results and indicators, they were even better than than their most optimistic projections. Looking at county data, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Georgia, Virginia and Pennsylvania weren't particularly close. North Carolina was tight. Arizona and Nevada are too concentrated and without enough counties to get a great read on them.
Late into the night when they hadn't pulled far ahead and weren't popping the champagne, they knew the fix was on. It wasn't just a little push here or there, it was in all these places. I don't know what the mechanism was, but it is in numerous states and it is a considerable shoveling of votes. That will be the giveaway, because it should have been a pretty large victory, so the signs will have to be there statistically.
I'm not even sure this is even the first time this has happened. The results of 2012 and 2016 are looking quite strange in hindsight. Unfortunately for the fixers, this time it required more of a push. My guess is that they gave up on 2016 because they were ill-prepared and either couldn't change things from a little push to a much larger one in time (or at least without doing it so sloppily that it could be seen through immediately).
He's right. I'm sure the reason for the confidence is that his internal polling was significantly better than the polls the public has been getting gaslit by for months. When election night rolled around and his advisors started pouring over the early actual results and indicators, they were even better than than their most optimistic projections. Looking at county data, Michigan, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Georgia, Virginia and Pennsylvania weren't particularly close. North Carolina was tight. Arizona and Nevada are too concentrated and without enough counties to get a great read on them.
Late into the night when they hadn't pulled far ahead and weren't popping the champagne, they knew the fix was on. It wasn't just a little push here or there, it was in all these places. I don't know what the mechanism was, but it is in numerous states and it is a considerable shoveling of votes. That will be the giveaway, because it should have been a pretty large victory, so the signs will have to be there statistically.
I'm not even sure this is even the first time this has happened. The results of 2012 and 2016 are looking quite strange in hindsight. Unfortunately for the fixers, this time it required more of a push. My guess is that they gave up on 2016 because they were ill-prepared and either couldn't change things from a little push to a much larger one in time (or at least without doing it so sloppily that it could be seen through immediately).