For sure. I spread out my bids across ALL of the contested states. If Trump wins any 2 contested states, and the election, I'm up by at least $3500 right now. If he wins ALL of them, I might be up 6k to 7k. That's pretty crazy considering that at this exact time, I'm only in $450.
From a financial standpoint, if there's any depressing news for a day or two, it would actually help me buy more shares cheap, and potentially double my winnings with minimal investment.
I'm focused on the long-term and not any short-term stuff. I know the democrats will throw a curve-ball or two. For example, we might get another major dump of illegal-votes, which makes it look like we're losing or lose a state-level case, which shifts the betting markets. However, my bets are based on what I think would happen at a supreme court level, with an understand there is risk many of the decisions may not go our way. Local courts, I'm guessing might be 70% against, while SCOTUS from a pessimistic perspective is 50% favorable. I'm using pessimistic numbers here simply to try to overcome my own bias.
I actually picked up a bunch of shares in AZ cheaply due to some bad news that came out about 24 hours ago, that since has been shown to be relatively meaningless. By ninja-ing smart buys, my portfolio value at this exact second is apparently over $1000 despite having only spent about $450.
For sure. I spread out my bids across ALL of the contested states. If Trump wins any 2 contested states, and the election, I'm up by at least $3500 right now. If he wins ALL of them, I might be up 6k to 7k. That's pretty crazy considering that at this exact time, I'm only in $450.
From a financial standpoint, if there's any depressing news for a day or two, it would actually help me buy more shares cheap, and potentially double my winnings with minimal investment.
I'm focused on the long-term and not any short-term stuff. I know the democrats will throw a curve-ball or two. For example, we might get another major dump of illegal-votes, which makes it look like we're losing or lose a state-level case, which shifts the betting markets. However, my bets are based on what I think would happen at a supreme court level, with an understand there is risk many of the decisions may not go our way. Local courts, I'm guessing might be 70% against, while SCOTUS from a pessimistic perspective is 50% favorable. I'm using pessimistic numbers here simply to try to overcome my own bias.
I actually picked up a bunch of shares in AZ cheaply due to some bad news that came out about 24 hours ago, that since has been shown to be relatively meaningless. By ninja-ing smart buys, my portfolio value at this exact second is apparently over $1000 despite having only spent about $450.