This is pretty great evidence honestly. I would like to see all 50 states, and the rate of change in the standard deviation over time. I know the code is there, but the CSV data dump seems to be down already.
This guy did a thread on why the NYT "Edison" scraped dataset is no good. If you are interested, please read it. We may be barking up the wrong tree here.
It did it in VA too, which suggests that there could be some artifact it picks up, or indeed that VA was the subject of fraud, though it hasn't been challenged yet.
Check out the Virginia voting by time. It is 100% fake
Trump was leading for a loooong, long time
When he was leading, I checked all the biggest counties that had the most uncounted votes. Almost alll of them voted for Trump in 2016, and that is why I declared Trump to win Virginia.
But by some miracle, Biden ended up winning Virginia. There is 100% some fraud going on in there. Did they use machines, or count by hand?
If no one has counted by hand, how can anyone really know that the Virginia numbers haven't just been made up?
If the data is faulty, why does it produce consistent graphs in every state except fraud states???
It doesn't, I don't think he bothered to check. Here's a quick Tennessee I did, and it looks like Wyoming would produce a similar shape, and that's just from the start of the database.
on why the NYT "Edison" scraped dataset is no good
His main objection: "How the fuck do you have 77 votes 22 minutes before before you can have 11 votes?"
Easy. This is the first couple entries for PA. Election workers screwed something up in their election tabulation / edison upload and reset the system, or the first batch recorded they undid because of some procedure problem. We already know that PA is incompetent at counting/rigging votes.
idk anything about this dataset, but that objection is bunk.
I'd love it if someone could take a look and give me a second opinion, but I think this whole thing is flawed. I tried to plot the data myself, but the problem is - he's getting his numbers for each batch of votes based on the percentage of the overall vote. Which is fine at first, but once the overall vote gets larger, the percentage barely changes, since it's rounded to only 1 decimal place.
So all the mail-in ballot batches that he assumed were the same because they were "mixed together like cards" is really just because of the way the data is formatted.
But like I've said elsewhere in this thread I'm running on empty so I could be off the mark on my analysis too.
This guy did a thread on why the NYT "Edison" scraped dataset is no good. If you are interested, please read it. We may be barking up the wrong tree here.
Yes! Glad I'm not going crazy. The tl;dr from his tweets:
This dataset doesn't even have the number of votes actually cast. It's
total votes cast
percentage dem
percentage rep
lots of room for error here. Once we get into the millions, we are going to miss >thousands of votes and attribute them incorrectly due to rounding. So we have >to be super careful about what conclusions we can reach using this data.
You can find my twitter if you want, @CosmoDiGirolamo. I helped share this original time series analysis. If it's incorrect, I want to help share the correction. I don't want pedes wasting time in a flawed dataset.
You can find my twitter if you want, @CosmoDiGirolamo. I helped share this original time series analysis. If it's incorrect, I want to help share the correction. I don't want pedes wasting time in a flawed dataset.
I'm really curious if someone could analyze California. Orange County had a very low turnout for Trump even though it's usually very Republican. If the Dems had to cheat even in California it would be absolutely insane.
Yea this seems pretty damn legit. The deviation in Biden ballots starts in WI right at 4am.
If we now have the data that proves how absurdly bizarre things got in Michigan and Wisconsin around that time. No question the Dems were fixing and transporting ballots in the wee hours of the morning when no one was paying attention.
I watched Bannons numbers guy lose his mind and immediately call fraud. That guy knows his shit too. It was insane and coordinated. Before the fix was in, he had a county by county analysis of every swing state ensuring a massive victory for POTUS, and saw no path for Biden. An hour later he was dumbfounded. He immediately knew.
I have a crush on him. Lol He is so smart... but man, i see how tired looking he was as the days go by...but even then, his intelligence is so sexy. Lol
Rich Barris (the People's Pundit Daily on yt & peoples_pundit on the twatters for anyone unfamiliar with him) is one of the best analysts I've found. I didn't know he was on The WarRoom; I'm going to have to track that episode down. If anyone can point me in the direction of the sites the WarRoom is on now that it's been nuked I'd be very grateful.
First heard of Rich Barris on QuiteFrankly.tv (check it out). He and his wife do great work. Love peoples pundit and that footage was a pure reaction. Worth finding if its around. Also, that show in on Plutotv for free if you're lacking it.
The War Room got pulled off all the platforms and they have been ddos attacked nonstop. I'm assumming they are smart enough to record the livestream, and if I was a Trump attorney, I'd want to have a copy. It was really glaring at the time what was happening. As others have said, the guy wasn't biased, he was just a stats fella.
The War Room is still up on americasvoice.news. You know Bannon would figure out a way. He should be on at 10am tomorrow morning. The header may say there are technical difficulties, but it works.
I was watching too and he was trying to keep an objective view. Question: Were these the same 100k votes they explained away by saying they were actually reducing votes for Biden to correct some kind of error? Or was that a different instance?
That was different. We were in a commanding lead in all the heavy states and he was picking through county by county and keep saying "the votes arent there, Biden cant catch him. He doesnt have a path" Before they singed off after 5 am, Bannon asked him to speculate even with the fix in if Trump wins. He said yes. Thats when I went to bed, and when I woke up 2 hours later the MSM was already planting the seeds of bullshit.
It was Bannon's war room live stream. OP, was that Election night? Can't remember. YT may have pulled that down but should be able to find audio on the official site...
A number that’s going down in history books forever - if we still have factual history books moving forward.
If you truly believe in the fraud, we gotta eat the fake coronation of Biden and stay strong. I live in a major liberal stronghold and I’m letting my buddies hold on to their fake confidence for now instead of advocating riots and looting. It all comes back to the Constitution and thank god our founding fathers were as brilliant as they were. They foresaw all of this from a mile away.
That’s why America is the envy of the entire world. We’re the last free non globalist country on the planet and everyone from globalist countries want to move here. It’s comical how it’s happening statewide here now. Californians want to move to Texas, New Yorkers wanna go to Florida. What’s the reason for these NYers and Cali defectors?; they’re jealous of freedom oriented, conservative states.
These sheep have no idea how easily they’re being moved as pawns.
When you have enough statistical anomalies, that alone is proof. What you still need is a plausible theory to explain that proof. Corrupted software may provide that
Dems were expecting a win. They got Fox and the others to call it early. Once they realized they were losing the state, they put the "fix" in without anyone paying attention.
If the federal government was spread around the country rather than concentrated in DC, VA would go back to being a red state. In the age of remote work, there’s no reason for so many fed workers to be in DC. It raises property and rent prices and taxpayers have to shoulder the burden of financing the higher cost of living (which is self-inflicted by placing so many enormous federal agencies in one small area).
Amazon is 20-40k and many can't vote because they are here on visa's. The number of people either directly working for the government, subcontractors, or lobbyists in VA is hundreds of thousands.
Just more proof that the government is too damn big
Actually, if it makes anyone feel better, it seems as if everyone noticed. The Demtards panicked as they started seeing the election slip away and started ballot dumping in several contests almost simultaneously, becoming facepalmingly sloppy in the process. The question I have is how did they get these ballots? Wisconsin alone involved the actual creation of over 169,000 physical ballots in an incredibly short period of time. And this occurred almost instantaneously in Michigan, Pennsylvania (with an infinitely larger cache of ballots), and Georgia as well. I smell a conspiracy, friendos. This is mucho bigger than we first thought.
Barnes Law covered this on his twitter. You only have grounds to challenge if the margin falls within the window that the challenge will change the results.
Thats why we arent suing every state for a recount. I am certain CA has cheated too....
They're not challenging VA bc we have to marshall our forces, but VA is in play too. Rudy said there were 10 states this morning. He didn't say which ones but these 8 are safe bets
PA
AZ
GA
MI
WI
MN
NV
NC
Not sure about the last 2, but I would bet VA one of them.
The closest races besides those listed were Maine and New Hampshire. It would be awesome to find out Trump flipped something in New England.
But it could be Alaska. Yeah Trump's going to win Alaska big but the fact that it's taking so long for anyone to call is highly suspicious I'd also be curious to see what happens if they take a solid red like Texas and just investigate. I mean we know for sure the media loves to hype the "Texas is purple" myth and you know what, the spread was only like 7%.
When they called Virginia early that was a red flag for me. Trump was up huge when they called it and I think it's just getting overlooked because PA, MI etc. are so much more obvious.
This guy did a thread on why the NYT "Edison" scraped dataset is no good. If you are interested, please read it. We may be barking up the wrong tree here.
They knew they were going to lose and knew they would get caught at cheating. The whole goal was delegitimize the Trumps win. They are also buying time and hoping for a civil war. Deep state has nothing to lose at this point.
Since the ballots are randomly mixed together during transport, spanning areas occupied by multiple voting demographics, we can expect the ratio of mail-in #Biden ballots to mail-in #Trump ballots will remain relatively constant over time...
Does that actually make sense? It doesn't to me, I'd think each county would have a different ratio, but I've been trying to analyze fraud so much in the past few days that my brain is a little fried.
And also - why do the mail-in ballot batch ratios stabilize and end up being identical to the final overall state tally, every time? It's almost as if he's plotting just the standard D/R overall ratio instead, except for all the noise at the start.
His analysis seems pretty open and above board, but it just doesn't make sense to my exhausted mind. Has anyone been able to reproduce it with the data linked in this thread? Anyone have the link to the 4chan thread where he answers questions?
And also - why do the mail-in ballot batch ratios stabilize and end up being identical to the final overall state tally, every time? It's almost as if he's plotting just the standard D/R overall ratio instead, except for all the noise at the start.
Something seems off to me as well. The vote ratio should pull harder in a certain direction to actually change the election percentages and shouldn't end up with the same as the end election % result. What these numbers don't show is the volume of the batch however, which would be something else that is valuable to look at.
There seems to have been massive cheating up in NorCal that I do not thing was even known before yesterday or today. I found that many polling stations up by Redding and surrounding area, were given Sharpies only due to relatives living up there and I heard about it. Sharpies are not acceptable, they bleed thru ballot to other side, and maybe don't show up somehow when scanned, but whatever the main reason, they are not acceptable to vote with, and the polling stations in several areas were actually passing them out. The Regis. of Voters and county clerk apparently told voters who questioned it, that it was OK. Complicit or lied to themselves, IDK.
I have been told by Election Integrity Project which is working w/ POTUS Campaign, Judicial Watch, and has their own legal team, that the ballots were only to be filled out by ball point pen. Sharpie ballots in AZ were disqualified. I told her about the ones in CA as she did not know CA was involved in "Sharpiegate". I think they will be investigating.
If ANYONE used or was given a Sharpie, they must contact one of these reporting locations and report it (Trump Campaign, StoptheSteal.us, DefendYour Ballot.com, Election Integrity - CA, POTUS' attorneys 1-800-). I think POTUS might have come very close, again, to winning CA if the truth was known. he had massive support here, but don't forget, the disqualified votes disqualify all candidates down the ticket, not just POTUS, so this isn't about CA being a Blue state, & not in contention, it is VERY important that CA, & every state be checked out to see who really won -- senate and house seats, etc., etc., too!!!
There was a 4chan thread were someone plotted the mail in votes over time and in 4 states Joe sure as hell was punching above his weight in the mail ins. But comically only after 12pm in most of them. Visually the graphs Michigan and PA should be enough to reserve entire prison blocks.
Yea this pretty much proves the same and it’s almost exclusively happening in the states that are suspect. As time went on the ratio of mail-in Biden to Trump votes kept increasing in Biden’s favor but in reality the ratio should stay consistent over time bc mail-in ballots are all mixed in together, i.e. randomized, so there’s no reason why Biden would consistently get a higher ratio as time went on UNLESS they were fixing the ballots in his favor.
One state that was graphed you could see the hour where they stopped counting with a gap then it was like they hit the Biden 1.05 x multiplier and that line held for hours.
There is so much evidence mounting now.....What happened was so goddamn fishy I had a feeling it was only a matter of time until people started figuring this stuff out. Thank god for our based Staticians.
Yea there's a zero percent chance that Black People in Atlanta are more excited about Joe Biden than Obama.
I remember hearing on one of the networks, forget which one I was watching at the time, but they were talking about how the turnout in Atlanta on election day was very underwhelming. Wish I could find that.
The point is that that wouldn't even matter. If that was the case the RATIO between the amount of Trump vs. Biden votes would remain the same.
Say (if you are willing to engage in retardation as an exercise, numbers are for illustration purposes only and not to be taken literally) that you believed the ballots went 80% Biden, 20% Trump. If this was the case you would expect to see this 80/20 split all down the line.
Now imagine if at the beginning of the count you saw a 50/50 split, and then at a certain time, say, 4 in the morning when counting votes, all of a sudden that ratio instantly jumps to a 80/20 split. It's fraud.
This is true. In statistics, once you have a large enough sample size (1 million votes), you should be able to generalize for the population with some degree of certainty, and obtain what the average for each data set will be.
Mail in votes may favor one candidate, but not to the extent that it would skew the data so strongly that you could no longer generalize for the population.
They’re not all bunched together though. Mail in ballots are reported by county and basically they claim Milwaukee county mail in ballots were in favor of Biden almost 5:1. Not entirely unbelievable
There are whitnesses that can verify when ballots arrived. Also, there were no Trump observers while fraud happened. Those votes will be thrown out. There must be a complete account of custody of ballots
Yeah, they'll SAY that. They'll be fucking wrong, but that won't stop them from saying it. Wisconsin Dems & Reps requested absentee ballots in almost equal numbers. Michigan Republicans outnumbered Dems in absentee requests by 4-5 points.
You are very true and is a good counter argument(and true tho)but seeing how 300~counties reported over 100% participation rate(there is the abnormally historical highs on turnout but just to be the devils judge and to show how blatantly and poor performed fraud is this i wont include)and the ration of mail in is like(i read an article of pre-voting mail ins on the app teletrader stock markets)50~REGISTERED(remember that deads and under 18y counts tho)democrat 20~REGISTERED republican and 20~ non affiliate it shows that it was a fucking joke of results
It's not that they favor Biden. It's the ratio of Biden to Trump changes over time in anomalous ways. Ways that correspond to the various shady counting pauses and changing vote counts.
Yeah. Voter turnout 5+ standard deviations above historical just doesn't happen. No matter how bad Orange Man is. People tend not to understand the math of both very large and very small numbers. This is how so many fall into COVID hype hell.
Ah that is interesting. Here in Virginia it's mostly blue and they all voted early. TDS was strong with them. So if other areas are similar it might explain to some degree why it turned when they started counting the mail ins. It's a shame the laptop stuff wasn't out sooner, when all that stuff started dropping most of the locals I know had already voted well before then.
Why fix all the races when you just need to fix a few in your old corrupt strongholds of 40+yrs or more. This was calculated to try and stay under the radar except too many dems voted trump so they haved to show 90%+ turnout just to overcome it.
There have been multiple posts here breaking the data down from those who either purchased access to the databases of PA and GA and posted it with graphs compared to 2016, or you can go to the state elections websites and check it yourself. Not to mention the dozens of graphs that keep getting posted here. Do you even browse and read or just read the title?
I read it but I haven’t saved all of it yet. Also, the ones that posted the database access - they just posted that they had it, there was no analysis or graphs done at the time. I don’t want to be reinventing the wheel or purchasing the same stuff if others already have it, either.
Dems will say the cities are reporting later than others because duh they have more votes to count so it takes longer (I asked why they don’t hire more people to compensate and got uhhhh then they moved onto the next talking point)
Republicans say the cities report last so they know how much they have to cheat to win.
Dem excuse makes no sense. They report in batches, so they should start reporting at the same time as everyone else. It would just take longer for them to finish.
This is a valid point. Elsewhere I commented but if earlier mail-ins were all more rural and big city mail-ins were later then it could explain since big cities are more heavily dem. A better analysis might be to look at specific cities and plot those out on the graph over time. Ex: instead of plotting it for a while state just plot it for cities. That would show if specific cities increased the ratio over time.
Only thing I disagree with that the hacker known as 4chan said was that Virginia was an exception. There is good reason to believe that Virginia was suspicious, even though I don't think Trump was necessarily going to win it.
FOX held on to Texas for like six hours when it was clear Trump had it. That combined with them instantly calling Virginia already had me on high alert. Calling Arizona was the turning point when I was certain it was going to the courts though.
Virginia is probably the most corrupt... If it gets called out it'll be a later blindside attack. Like when they waited to bring up Pittsburgh, which I noticed myself on election night looks like an even bigger fraud than Philly. Biden was outperforming much more in Pittsburgh and it seemed to go under the radar... Didn't make much sense to me.
God please do NM too! It's been infected for far too long and now the Wuhan-Gruesome dynasty has infected senate as well. My county froze and went last and was more than likely the deciding factor. At least we eked out Yvette Herrell!
The Democrats are never going to allow changing the voting laws so that fraud would become harder to do
They oppose Voter ID laws & a national registry of citizens (which every other rich country has) in order to do just that: cheat at the elections.
Also, mail-vote is a JOKE. That would never be allowed in any civilized European country, because it allows people to force someone else to vote some candidate.
Yes, republicans have been calling for better laws for ages. The republican supporters and the republican politicians. And that is why the red states already have better election laws on average than the blue states.
But unfortunately the Democrats have been able to block every significant federal law + every single law on state level in blue states.
If some European countries now decided to destroy their citizen registry & do what the US does, not knowing who actually live there and who don't, it would be a humangous scandal, and it would not be allowed.
And if someone started to say we should vote by mail, they would throw it out in courts, because the vote would not be guaranteed to be secret after that.
No one will know about Virginia until the voting system is free of all types of fraud. This election cycle I think Trump had a chance to crush everywhere.
Virginian here. I’m HIGHLY suspicious. In my cucked district, the GOP house candidate CRUSHED the favorite progressive candidate, like 70/30. I was shocked. Like, totally shocked. There is zero way he won that race and Trump lost the state. Period. Change my mind.
I would love for my state to go red, but it's a very very long shot simply because Northern VA (NoVA) is so fucking full of people, and almost all of them are immigrants, federal employees and/or otherwise wannabe beltway sycophants. It's a disgrace, cause NoVA is in no way shape or form representative of our great Virginia in geography or general class of people.
Nobody questioned it because shitlib Democrats literally voted for a guy who admitted he couldn't remember if he was the guy in blackface, or the guy in the KKK hood.
I think I might have redpilled one of my Dem friends a bit by asking him to explain this Twitter thread to me because I am struggling with the maths and don't get it. >.>
(I do understand it, I just wanted him to read it with an open mind)
They've been pretending that antifa doesn't exist and that BLM is a peaceful organization while their cities burn. They've been begging the government to take away their freedom to leave their own fucking house because of COVID. They chose to simply ignore the fact that our own FBI was spying on a political candidate using the patriot act.
Their minds are shot. They go on twitter, facebook, and reddit and let the dopamine hits of approval lead them to their opinions. There's very little in the way of independent thought going on in their brains.
I did the same thing... they told me that the voting batches would come in by county. So the counties that were more dem would come in and push the ratio up. Not sure what to belive.
Extreme Right-Wing Nationalist use hard Data and proven Statistics, without evidence, to prove that additional Biden votes were fabricated while ballot counting was on-going.
Math was/is the only subject that I have to actively work to understand-it doesn’t come easily to me. Am a left handed/creative type. But give me all the graphs, the charts, the statistics right now. I LOVE MATH.
Honestly, I've never really been great at math and I never really enjoyed it until I started engineering and realized it allowed me to create all kinds of things. I guess everyone is different, but being able to apply it practically was really helpful in motivating me to learn.
I purposely chose a career (when I was 11!) that required only basic math but hats off to anyone who can do it well. Math and reading music were the two banes of my life growing up so as an adult I generally avoid them if possible haha.
So glad this made the sticky! A few other pedes and myself also posted it, and we were hoping a mod would see.
This is extremely strong evidence of D to R signatures suddenly changing in a co-ordinated man-made way after a causal event.
It can lead to significant further discoveries. It can show patterns that can then be analyzed across states, e.g. WHY did Biden's increase drastically only after 12pm on a specific day? Was there communication between these locations where this sudden increase happened? Who communicated? Is there video footage of these people? Then just like that it starts unraveling, string by string by string.
I would advocate strongly AGAINST using the surveillance state for anything domestic, but how many phone calls would there be from Philly to Fulton to DC to Phoenix at 1AM? How many cellphones connected to a tower near the polling stations made or received calls or texts that would form a "ring" network between the cities in question? And if visualized with forensic software, it would probably form a node around a person controlling the network from DNC headquarter or a media desk.
Obamas head of the NSA argued with a straight face that "it's just meta data! See! No invasion of privacy!". With simple search parameters the cellphone metadata can draw a nice spider web across the voter fraud operation and point at the leader.
The metadata can easily construct insight into who coordinated and orchestrated these attacks. Unless they were smart enough to plan it all in-person in advance and acted independently and organically (ie everyone's got TDS and edit ballots on their own initiative at scheduled times.).
Search 1: A search of any active cellphone at the suspect voting locations, ie 2 mi radius of the cell towers on election night. Will generate tens of thousands.
Search parameter 2: calls/text BETWEEN these locations on election night.
Sort by "connections"; top of the list will be the numbers that match the criteria and also communicated with each other, forming a network.
In Japanese Buddhism, "mind of a monkey" (心猿) is an analogy for a soul who can't concentrate on enlightenment, distracted and panicked by all unimportant things, unable or unwilling to control its worldly desires.
Leftists don't have science, they only have a computer model. They are the real witches who use that as a crystal ball to predict future. It's their false idol, and they are a bunch of cultists who worship that idol.
In the 90s and early 2000s evolution was big political issue. Even tho evolution has minimal to no consequences for public policy (or even any relevance in vast majority of scientific careers) leftists made it into one. The southern Baptists in GOP took the bait and defended creationism.
And the liberal democrats framed the gop as “anti-science” from that.
It was extremely annoying having leftists arrogantly and self righteously lecture me about my “anti science religious beliefs.” I’m a biologist and non religious. They couldn’t process that I am a conservative and scientist so they concluded that as a republican i must be a scientist who doesn’t believe in science.
Liberals were just as retarded in 2008 as today. Not evolving. Might cause extinction of home sapiens actually
They somehow made religion and scienece contradicting to one another, which is totally false. Science leads people to God, not away from Him. And speaking of evolution, the leftists are not so smart as they think they are. As a matter of fact, there is VARIATION, that is, numerous different breeds of one species. Chihuahua, golden retriever and german sheperd definitely share one common ancestor, no question about that. Maybe they even share one common ancestor with wolves. But if you suggest that they share a common ancestor with birds, fish and even germs which all derive from the roof of the "evolution tree", that is nuts. For the record, God created KINDS of animals and let Adam name them.
Let's be real here. They are not the party of science. Science requires a control and an experiment and as there is no control environment the most that they can claim is that they have climate theorists, not scientists.
This needs to be the extinction event of the demon party. They need to be exposed once and for all for the traitors they are. With our help and the help of other patriots around him, President Trump shall save America.
This entire election in all 50 states had fraud. We had a republican run for board of supervisors who won in a landslide with in person voting then they pushed this mail in ballot scam for a run off and he mysteriously lost by 1 percent. There is corruption in every state and the entire election should be redone with no unsolicited mail in ballots and voter iD required.
This is a pretty undeniable red pill for anyone that understands math. The unfortunate part is most people don't, which is how things like COVID hysteria happen.
Man, I hope (and assume) that people with the power to do anything are collecting ALL of these instances of fraud and fishiness or even here-say. There has been SOOO much on thedonald this past week...good job pedes!!
Not that it shouldn't occur before being used entirely, but this information at least be used and cross-examined, the methods tested and questioned in a court scenario. Same for the Benford's law examples. I think that the judges could actually order talbulated data to be sent and calculated by multiple statisticians - but my belief is that the initial skepticism on tests that have been performed is at least a gateway to more scrutiny and investigation that needs to be done.
Hurrrrr it because trump said to vote in person! Sure the other early votes were a consistent 60/40 at the most, but it's totally natural for it to suddenly jump up to 100/0!
This + benford law + witness testimony of being excluded, makes a pretty compelling case.
Incredible the media is still calling it "baseless". We can assume, seriously, that they've already crunched these numbers. They probably knew the next morning. Trump and Gulliani seem very confident.
The vote share used to calc votes for each canidate has only 3 decimal places.
To prevent vote shave when percentages change it would need to be 7 decinal points to insure proper precision.
From what I see this is shaving votes off of Trump a few thousand at a time.
I can't seem to get more than 3 digits back, anyone else have more luck with the python script?
Exactly. This simple principle is the whole reason why traditionally it was possible to 'call' races rather early. Things just don't (or rarely) go 60/40 or 70/30 at the start and then reverse course to 90/10. Things go at a pretty even pace within a geographic area or precinct or category.
Only reason they would differ in a time series that I can think of is if democrats vote all day while republicans vote after they get off work.
In mail-in ballots however it should be absolutely mixed, ESPECIALLY since USPS handled the ballots so a vote from one street or part of a county or state gets mixed with votes from other counties, so blubbers of statistically deviant ballots should not occur.
Insofar as only the swing states that shut down counting at midnight have these statistical deviations, it's not a matter of proving individual "dead voters" and "fake signatures" and "invalid ballots", it's mathematically proven that systemic fraud occurred and a new election must be held.
Like DNA evidence that form evidence for murder convictions is a percentage match; it's a percentage match so unlikely to have occurred any other way, proving a guilt even absent specific details.
Wont the left just say that they released mail in ballots in increments and those favored Biden 9 to 1? I still think there is fraud but you need to think of how they would try to defend this.
The issue is that the ratio by which they favored Biden over Trump rose, exactly at times corresponding to shady late night vote drops, pauses in counting, etc. The ratio should be fairly steady over time.
Statistically and logistically impossible. These results would not occur without intentionally engineering these results. The test already accounts for geographical difference. Nearer locations have shorter trips and arrive sooner, thus D votes occur with higher frequency earlier, and R votes with higher frequency later.
Yes, also ratios seem very artificial at times. Still analyzing via several methods. Data spikes are odd and batch update ratios to consitant overtime to be natural.
I really want to find similar dataset by county and even district. That would be the holy grail to proove fraud.
You would expect the same trend in other states then. High population areas would have more ballots and take longer to count, but the travel time is way more than the count time, so we don't see that in michigan. 10 people can count to 1000 in only 10 minutes. The fact that detroit took 8 hours to deliver from detroit to detroit means they were doing far more than just counting and putting ballots in boxes to be mailed.
I would think that too, but if I have my facts in order, all those ballots travel the mail system, which effectively randomizes the distribution. They should be ending their journey at a counting center before end of Election Day. The distribution of votes should still be approximately in line with projections; it's the wild deviations that are really suspicious.
I don't think I can speak to that with anything different from what's in the source tweets.
The really wacky points on the left of the graphs are in person votes, those are fine.
Then the mail comes in, shuffled, and it should be generally consistent. The argument is that farther counties arrive to centralized locations later than nearer counties simply due to travel time, and that nearer counties are more Dem, so as time passes within a state, D/R ratio decreases.
The travel time here is from local receipt location to centralized counting location, I believe.
Yes, we do need to anticipate their counter arguments. This is plotting the ratio of incoming mail in ballots over time though. How would the mail in ballots being released in increments change that? Like would they argue that the mail in ballots would have a higher ratio of D to R because the R were running out since there were fewer of them? And would that be consistent and plausible with Biden mail in votes being 5:1? I’m trying to exactly understand the argument here.
The mail mixes the R and D ballots together, so they won't show in any specific order. A randomized list of samples in a given proportion shouldn't change proportion simply due to being an uneven ratio once the trend has stabilized. It does not show this pattern in the states that aren't under dispute.
The ballots are theoretically shuffled while in the mail system, so output from a single "counting station" (not sure if this is done by ward, precinct, county, etc) should be stable.
Plus they should be scanned and processed over time. How did Milwaukee county process 137k at once?even if they didn't get around to running them T 3am, it's going to updateslowly
Someone please find this data at the county level. While we should scrutinize everything, changes at the state level aren't as suspect if blue counties start reporting votes later in the day. Now if we see a specific blue county showing a ratio of 1:1 that quickly changes to 1:5, we know something is fucked up.
This is a valid point since it does seem that cities are reporting later and they’d naturally have a higher D ratio. Would be nice for someone to parse this data for specific cities that have been suspect since we all know fraud is going on there.
City level doesn't exist in the source data that the script refers to, which is a JSON API on the New York Times website. I'd love to see it myself, but it doesn't really change the fact that across the country, nearly every other state (including those with large cities, such as New York) had a trend of spiking Dem initially, then smoothly trending towards Rep over time.
If that was the case, you would expect to see ratio changes corresponding with those counties reporting. Instead we see unnatural over-time changes to a ratio that stabilizes in other states, coupled with instant changes corresponding to specific, known sketchy events.
The Benford's law, I understood that and was a very early spreader of that info (I believe I tipped off Scott Adams but can't be sure as he never replied - but he did tweet about it around 20 mins after my email to him).
He saying that if mail in vote was overall 60/40 Biden-Trump then as time goes on the returns would ALWAYS come in right around 60/40. That is because the overall mix gets sorted around through various mail facilities.
They followed this rule in all the states until they realized they were massively behind in swing states. Then the 60/40 started going straight to 80/20 or 100/0.
This is specifically dealing with the ballots counted after the polls close, i.e. the mail-ins, absentee, etc. The noisier pattern all the graphs show earlier in the day is the in-person voting.
So for me this data is basically showing that democrat strongholds were holding their mail in ballots separate from the rest of the state until the very end of the election.
That could be why these states looked so overwhelmingly Trump in the beginning, the Democrats were holding back their ballots and waiting to see if they needed to make an "adjustment."
This is pretty great evidence honestly. I would like to see all 50 states, and the rate of change in the standard deviation over time. I know the code is there, but the CSV data dump seems to be down already.
Here you go: https://raw.githubusercontent.com/alex/nyt-2020-election-scraper/master/results.json
edit: here's an archived pdf of the csv haha https://f.maga.host/9ZrSJyZ.pdf
This guy did a thread on why the NYT "Edison" scraped dataset is no good. If you are interested, please read it. We may be barking up the wrong tree here.
https://twitter.com/hyonschu/status/1325627295181103104
If you are interested in checking out what is a bigger / better scraped dataset, check this one out from Decision Desk HQ.
https://gofile.io/d/eUNz6r
It did it in VA too, which suggests that there could be some artifact it picks up, or indeed that VA was the subject of fraud, though it hasn't been challenged yet.
VA was called wayyy early with AZ if you recall.
VA Peds here. I am 100% sure there was fuckery here.
Check out the Virginia voting by time. It is 100% fake
Trump was leading for a loooong, long time
When he was leading, I checked all the biggest counties that had the most uncounted votes. Almost alll of them voted for Trump in 2016, and that is why I declared Trump to win Virginia.
But by some miracle, Biden ended up winning Virginia. There is 100% some fraud going on in there. Did they use machines, or count by hand?
If no one has counted by hand, how can anyone really know that the Virginia numbers haven't just been made up?
It doesn't, I don't think he bothered to check. Here's a quick Tennessee I did, and it looks like Wyoming would produce a similar shape, and that's just from the start of the database.
Here's PA vs FL and OH. https://media.thedonald.win/post/I0ZsixzY.jpeg
Btw, if you mean “guy who posted the link,” then...
Seriously. Post history indicates only copy pasta objection to the data source.
Nothing suspicious there. <MassiveEyeRoll>
“Hello, fellow millipedes! Trust my true and honest advising!”
His main objection: "How the fuck do you have 77 votes 22 minutes before before you can have 11 votes?"
Easy. This is the first couple entries for PA. Election workers screwed something up in their election tabulation / edison upload and reset the system, or the first batch recorded they undid because of some procedure problem. We already know that PA is incompetent at counting/rigging votes.
idk anything about this dataset, but that objection is bunk.
Well there goes my free time this week
I'd love it if someone could take a look and give me a second opinion, but I think this whole thing is flawed. I tried to plot the data myself, but the problem is - he's getting his numbers for each batch of votes based on the percentage of the overall vote. Which is fine at first, but once the overall vote gets larger, the percentage barely changes, since it's rounded to only 1 decimal place.
So all the mail-in ballot batches that he assumed were the same because they were "mixed together like cards" is really just because of the way the data is formatted.
But like I've said elsewhere in this thread I'm running on empty so I could be off the mark on my analysis too.
This guy did a thread on why the NYT "Edison" scraped dataset is no good. If you are interested, please read it. We may be barking up the wrong tree here.
https://twitter.com/hyonschu/status/1325627295181103104
If you are interested in checking out what is a bigger / better scraped dataset, check this one out from Decision Desk HQ.
https://gofile.io/d/eUNz6r
Yes! Glad I'm not going crazy. The tl;dr from his tweets:
If you are interested in checking out what is a bigger / better scraped dataset, check this one out from Decision Desk HQ.
https://gofile.io/d/eUNz6r
“Hello, fellow millipedes! Trust my true and honest advising!”
You can find my twitter if you want, @CosmoDiGirolamo. I helped share this original time series analysis. If it's incorrect, I want to help share the correction. I don't want pedes wasting time in a flawed dataset.
Why are u spamming this bot
You can find my twitter if you want, @CosmoDiGirolamo. I helped share this original time series analysis. If it's incorrect, I want to help share the correction. I don't want pedes wasting time in a flawed dataset.
I'm really curious if someone could analyze California. Orange County had a very low turnout for Trump even though it's usually very Republican. If the Dems had to cheat even in California it would be absolutely insane.
Last minute anomalous Bluewave Fuckery in OC in 2018, if memory serves.
https://archive.vn/xkfQB
Twitter thread archived
Yea this seems pretty damn legit. The deviation in Biden ballots starts in WI right at 4am.
If we now have the data that proves how absurdly bizarre things got in Michigan and Wisconsin around that time. No question the Dems were fixing and transporting ballots in the wee hours of the morning when no one was paying attention.
I was up at 4 AM and it was obvious.
I watched Bannons numbers guy lose his mind and immediately call fraud. That guy knows his shit too. It was insane and coordinated. Before the fix was in, he had a county by county analysis of every swing state ensuring a massive victory for POTUS, and saw no path for Biden. An hour later he was dumbfounded. He immediately knew.
I watched him too... his reaction was so genuine to what he was witnessing.
Rich Barris- Awesome dude. The networks were doing opposition research on him, he was so accurate.
Thank you for the sauce. And yes, War Room getting Jonesed off every platform tells me they were dead right.
I have a crush on him. Lol He is so smart... but man, i see how tired looking he was as the days go by...but even then, his intelligence is so sexy. Lol
I was hoping it'd be Barris!
Rich Barris (the People's Pundit Daily on yt & peoples_pundit on the twatters for anyone unfamiliar with him) is one of the best analysts I've found. I didn't know he was on The WarRoom; I'm going to have to track that episode down. If anyone can point me in the direction of the sites the WarRoom is on now that it's been nuked I'd be very grateful.
Election night coverage video still up.
Thank you!! I'd heard it'd all be deleted so didn't even look on yt, haha.
First heard of Rich Barris on QuiteFrankly.tv (check it out). He and his wife do great work. Love peoples pundit and that footage was a pure reaction. Worth finding if its around. Also, that show in on Plutotv for free if you're lacking it.
I missed this - can I get some links or timestamps? Can't find shit on CensorTube. Would love to see this analysis
The War Room got pulled off all the platforms and they have been ddos attacked nonstop. I'm assumming they are smart enough to record the livestream, and if I was a Trump attorney, I'd want to have a copy. It was really glaring at the time what was happening. As others have said, the guy wasn't biased, he was just a stats fella.
The War Room is still up on americasvoice.news. You know Bannon would figure out a way. He should be on at 10am tomorrow morning. The header may say there are technical difficulties, but it works.
which is on plutotv for free....thats the channel I was thinking of.
Ya that's why all the fake news is erasing all videos of election night.
I was watching too and he was trying to keep an objective view. Question: Were these the same 100k votes they explained away by saying they were actually reducing votes for Biden to correct some kind of error? Or was that a different instance?
That was different. We were in a commanding lead in all the heavy states and he was picking through county by county and keep saying "the votes arent there, Biden cant catch him. He doesnt have a path" Before they singed off after 5 am, Bannon asked him to speculate even with the fix in if Trump wins. He said yes. Thats when I went to bed, and when I woke up 2 hours later the MSM was already planting the seeds of bullshit.
Awesome. Thanks for clarifying.
Steve Bannons War Room livestream. You Tube and Facebook etc... nuked him.
It was Bannon's war room live stream. OP, was that Election night? Can't remember. YT may have pulled that down but should be able to find audio on the official site...
https://warroom.org/listen-live/
138,000
A number that’s going down in history books forever - if we still have factual history books moving forward.
If you truly believe in the fraud, we gotta eat the fake coronation of Biden and stay strong. I live in a major liberal stronghold and I’m letting my buddies hold on to their fake confidence for now instead of advocating riots and looting. It all comes back to the Constitution and thank god our founding fathers were as brilliant as they were. They foresaw all of this from a mile away.
That’s why America is the envy of the entire world. We’re the last free non globalist country on the planet and everyone from globalist countries want to move here. It’s comical how it’s happening statewide here now. Californians want to move to Texas, New Yorkers wanna go to Florida. What’s the reason for these NYers and Cali defectors?; they’re jealous of freedom oriented, conservative states.
These sheep have no idea how easily they’re being moved as pawns.
I hear you brother, Im in the same boat. How did we let so many people turn commies, social media is now dead to Americans.
Clearly it was obvious but we need actual evidence. We're better than them and we will do it the right way
C’mon man, Chris Wray and the FBM could have done this by....🤔....2027
Chris Wray can lick my cheese
He might enjoy that too much.
When you have enough statistical anomalies, that alone is proof. What you still need is a plausible theory to explain that proof. Corrupted software may provide that
I was up till 4 am and saw it too
Same. I was livid.
Similar here in VA but for some reason nobody seems to notice/care.
Dems were expecting a win. They got Fox and the others to call it early. Once they realized they were losing the state, they put the "fix" in without anyone paying attention.
i'm so angry about VA- from Spanberger to Kaine. Disgusting. Starting to hate this state.
If the federal government was spread around the country rather than concentrated in DC, VA would go back to being a red state. In the age of remote work, there’s no reason for so many fed workers to be in DC. It raises property and rent prices and taxpayers have to shoulder the burden of financing the higher cost of living (which is self-inflicted by placing so many enormous federal agencies in one small area).
Well, then there's also Amazon...
Amazon is 20-40k and many can't vote because they are here on visa's. The number of people either directly working for the government, subcontractors, or lobbyists in VA is hundreds of thousands.
Just more proof that the government is too damn big
Agree. Why, for instance, should the Department of Agriculture be located in a place that doesn't a big agriculture industry?
Why shouldn't the Federal Railroad Administration be located in a place with a lot of railroad traffic like Texas?
It’s not the states fault. All the swamp entities are in NOVA so I’m sure they have a vested interest in rigging VA elections
even worse is that nasty Spanberger zoom meeting audio. she's so fake. "when i was in the CIA". we get it, you're an enemy of the people. shutup.
Lmao what an idiot. Everyone hates the CIA what did she think people were going to be like “oh wow how impressive”
oh yea...California enters the chat...
DC is a cancer. It has destroyed Virginia and Maryland.
Actually, if it makes anyone feel better, it seems as if everyone noticed. The Demtards panicked as they started seeing the election slip away and started ballot dumping in several contests almost simultaneously, becoming facepalmingly sloppy in the process. The question I have is how did they get these ballots? Wisconsin alone involved the actual creation of over 169,000 physical ballots in an incredibly short period of time. And this occurred almost instantaneously in Michigan, Pennsylvania (with an infinitely larger cache of ballots), and Georgia as well. I smell a conspiracy, friendos. This is mucho bigger than we first thought.
Definitely. 97k votes for Biden and no downballot? Plus VA had two measures on the ballot!
Why isn’t anyone in VA challenging this?
To whom? The Dems control the courts, the legislature and the executive!
Can’t you challenge and when you lose appeal to a higher court?
Barnes Law covered this on his twitter. You only have grounds to challenge if the margin falls within the window that the challenge will change the results.
Thats why we arent suing every state for a recount. I am certain CA has cheated too....
They're not challenging VA bc we have to marshall our forces, but VA is in play too. Rudy said there were 10 states this morning. He didn't say which ones but these 8 are safe bets
Not sure about the last 2, but I would bet VA one of them.
Nice.
The closest races besides those listed were Maine and New Hampshire. It would be awesome to find out Trump flipped something in New England.
But it could be Alaska. Yeah Trump's going to win Alaska big but the fact that it's taking so long for anyone to call is highly suspicious I'd also be curious to see what happens if they take a solid red like Texas and just investigate. I mean we know for sure the media loves to hype the "Texas is purple" myth and you know what, the spread was only like 7%.
That looks like bullshit to me, let's find out!
You are probably right about NH. I haven't looked at Maine and Nebraska's 1 votes.
Alaska is not in play for the Dems. Logistics always delay the count, but they usually call it with CA and HI because of the certainty.
I noticed. I think Virginia was the first one and then I was telling myself shit was gonna hit the fan.
Same.
When they called Virginia early that was a red flag for me. Trump was up huge when they called it and I think it's just getting overlooked because PA, MI etc. are so much more obvious.
i was watching va and it was solid trump for hours... then went blue. Total fraud.
Exactly! With true sample randomness, data like these can't exist https://media.thedonald.win/post/CtVHUMwK.jpeg
Just as a side note that’s the favorite hour for burglaries.
Same data for those states is in the posted Twitter thread above. He covers them all.
Correct link for CSV:
http://s000.tinyupload.com/?file_id=14566999163598825215
Somebody get this backedup at https://maga.host/
I've uploaded a copy of it here, just in case.
https://gofile.io/d/WOuvZ4
This guy did a thread on why the NYT "Edison" scraped dataset is no good. If you are interested, please read it. We may be barking up the wrong tree here.
https://twitter.com/hyonschu/status/1325627295181103104
“Hello, fellow millipedes! Trust my true and honest advising!”
maga host only allows pdfs and images unfortunately.
That's retarded. They need to fix that.
As a stats guy- for real.
u/techied created it. let him know lol
It's a big can of worms to open up hosting for a ton of file formats, I don't want to be hosting malware or illegal content.
Yeah, fair enough.
It doesn't support the csv file type.
Probably could just change the file type, upload, then download and change back when ready to use.
I'm struggling to figure anything out from this, it seems the resolution is a bit low. Is this for 2020?
I think this is the same data.
https://is2.4chan.org/pol/1604880177664.gif
Cleaned it up: https://media.thedonald.win/post/I0ZsixzY.jpeg
Damn. Turns out it is hard to make fake elections look real.
I'd love to see this level of analysis on some past elections. Sadly, the data probably just doesn't exist before this year.
It does.
explained by anon - https://i.maga.host/qeLL8tH.gif
Do you know if this data is legitimate? Did you just copy the link that the original data scientist said it is from Edison?
They knew they were going to lose and knew they would get caught at cheating. The whole goal was delegitimize the Trumps win. They are also buying time and hoping for a civil war. Deep state has nothing to lose at this point.
Its the Japanese kamikaze strategy.
Freak the allies out so that they began factoring in huge casualties.
That would never fly in a democratic republic, so the Japanese were angling for a negotiated peace. Except A bombs forced unconditional.
Commies were going to lose either way, but court decisions are like negotiated peace.
Does Trump have nukes to permanently destroy the left?
He’s sitting on so much shit to declassify that would end democrats forever.
I mean he has actual nukes. He can make me Sec Def tomorrow and I'd turn the key with him if we were hitting the deserving places.
They are dead already, they just don't know it yet.
"Trump's America", they'll say.
I shall laugh
Once again. The key was forcing a court decision. Not an obvious blowout landslide.
They can rally their troops under option 1, but 2 was extinction level.
Can you guys begin to appreciate how smart the chosen were for taking this angle?
Lose the election anyway, but preserve a 45% force factor. Remember avg iq is 103. Guys like mini Mike are 130+
Is it infallible? The basis of the analysis:
Does that actually make sense? It doesn't to me, I'd think each county would have a different ratio, but I've been trying to analyze fraud so much in the past few days that my brain is a little fried.
And also - why do the mail-in ballot batch ratios stabilize and end up being identical to the final overall state tally, every time? It's almost as if he's plotting just the standard D/R overall ratio instead, except for all the noise at the start.
His analysis seems pretty open and above board, but it just doesn't make sense to my exhausted mind. Has anyone been able to reproduce it with the data linked in this thread? Anyone have the link to the 4chan thread where he answers questions?
Something seems off to me as well. The vote ratio should pull harder in a certain direction to actually change the election percentages and shouldn't end up with the same as the end election % result. What these numbers don't show is the volume of the batch however, which would be something else that is valuable to look at.
That’s what I’m saying! All 50 states should be scrutinized.
^ Archived:
https://web.archive.org/web/20201109032830/https://i.4cdn.org/pol/1604866231896.gif
Careful with the wayback machine, I've heard they've been purging stuff. To be safe do a secondary back up on archive.is
based autists at it again
Here's a chart I made showing all 50. As the author said, most states trend like the Florida example.
There seems to have been massive cheating up in NorCal that I do not thing was even known before yesterday or today. I found that many polling stations up by Redding and surrounding area, were given Sharpies only due to relatives living up there and I heard about it. Sharpies are not acceptable, they bleed thru ballot to other side, and maybe don't show up somehow when scanned, but whatever the main reason, they are not acceptable to vote with, and the polling stations in several areas were actually passing them out. The Regis. of Voters and county clerk apparently told voters who questioned it, that it was OK. Complicit or lied to themselves, IDK.
I have been told by Election Integrity Project which is working w/ POTUS Campaign, Judicial Watch, and has their own legal team, that the ballots were only to be filled out by ball point pen. Sharpie ballots in AZ were disqualified. I told her about the ones in CA as she did not know CA was involved in "Sharpiegate". I think they will be investigating.
If ANYONE used or was given a Sharpie, they must contact one of these reporting locations and report it (Trump Campaign, StoptheSteal.us, DefendYour Ballot.com, Election Integrity - CA, POTUS' attorneys 1-800-). I think POTUS might have come very close, again, to winning CA if the truth was known. he had massive support here, but don't forget, the disqualified votes disqualify all candidates down the ticket, not just POTUS, so this isn't about CA being a Blue state, & not in contention, it is VERY important that CA, & every state be checked out to see who really won -- senate and house seats, etc., etc., too!!!
There was a 4chan thread were someone plotted the mail in votes over time and in 4 states Joe sure as hell was punching above his weight in the mail ins. But comically only after 12pm in most of them. Visually the graphs Michigan and PA should be enough to reserve entire prison blocks.
Yea this pretty much proves the same and it’s almost exclusively happening in the states that are suspect. As time went on the ratio of mail-in Biden to Trump votes kept increasing in Biden’s favor but in reality the ratio should stay consistent over time bc mail-in ballots are all mixed in together, i.e. randomized, so there’s no reason why Biden would consistently get a higher ratio as time went on UNLESS they were fixing the ballots in his favor.
One state that was graphed you could see the hour where they stopped counting with a gap then it was like they hit the Biden 1.05 x multiplier and that line held for hours.
There is so much evidence mounting now.....What happened was so goddamn fishy I had a feeling it was only a matter of time until people started figuring this stuff out. Thank god for our based Staticians.
If you bring up this fact to a Harris/Biden supporter they'll just tell you that Trump was so hated that all votes that came in were for Biden only.
Yea there's a zero percent chance that Black People in Atlanta are more excited about Joe Biden than Obama.
I remember hearing on one of the networks, forget which one I was watching at the time, but they were talking about how the turnout in Atlanta on election day was very underwhelming. Wish I could find that.
Even Kanye and Jo should have got votes at those numbers
The point is that that wouldn't even matter. If that was the case the RATIO between the amount of Trump vs. Biden votes would remain the same.
Say (if you are willing to engage in retardation as an exercise, numbers are for illustration purposes only and not to be taken literally) that you believed the ballots went 80% Biden, 20% Trump. If this was the case you would expect to see this 80/20 split all down the line.
Now imagine if at the beginning of the count you saw a 50/50 split, and then at a certain time, say, 4 in the morning when counting votes, all of a sudden that ratio instantly jumps to a 80/20 split. It's fraud.
Thank you for making me laugh, I needed that.
This is true. In statistics, once you have a large enough sample size (1 million votes), you should be able to generalize for the population with some degree of certainty, and obtain what the average for each data set will be.
Mail in votes may favor one candidate, but not to the extent that it would skew the data so strongly that you could no longer generalize for the population.
“Check mate, bigot!!”
They’re not all bunched together though. Mail in ballots are reported by county and basically they claim Milwaukee county mail in ballots were in favor of Biden almost 5:1. Not entirely unbelievable
Completely unbelieveable
I don’t buy it but they have plausible deniability. “Biden voters are way more likely to vote by mail”
They cheated and thats why they are so desperate to hurry this up.
There are whitnesses that can verify when ballots arrived. Also, there were no Trump observers while fraud happened. Those votes will be thrown out. There must be a complete account of custody of ballots
Not when more Republican requested mail in ballots than Democrats did in Wisconsin.
If this is true it's a smoking gun.
In Minnesota or Michigan too, I forget which one.
Yeah, they'll SAY that. They'll be fucking wrong, but that won't stop them from saying it. Wisconsin Dems & Reps requested absentee ballots in almost equal numbers. Michigan Republicans outnumbered Dems in absentee requests by 4-5 points.
You are very true and is a good counter argument(and true tho)but seeing how 300~counties reported over 100% participation rate(there is the abnormally historical highs on turnout but just to be the devils judge and to show how blatantly and poor performed fraud is this i wont include)and the ration of mail in is like(i read an article of pre-voting mail ins on the app teletrader stock markets)50~REGISTERED(remember that deads and under 18y counts tho)democrat 20~REGISTERED republican and 20~ non affiliate it shows that it was a fucking joke of results
It's not that they favor Biden. It's the ratio of Biden to Trump changes over time in anomalous ways. Ways that correspond to the various shady counting pauses and changing vote counts.
Yeah. Voter turnout 5+ standard deviations above historical just doesn't happen. No matter how bad Orange Man is. People tend not to understand the math of both very large and very small numbers. This is how so many fall into COVID hype hell.
It’s impossible to argue statistics with an electorate that can barely understand arithmetic.
Would ballots with Biden-only marked skew the Benford results?
Am confident there was fraud, but wondering what excuses the D's will proffer.
Ah that is interesting. Here in Virginia it's mostly blue and they all voted early. TDS was strong with them. So if other areas are similar it might explain to some degree why it turned when they started counting the mail ins. It's a shame the laptop stuff wasn't out sooner, when all that stuff started dropping most of the locals I know had already voted well before then.
But why would Milwaukee be added so late?
Why isn’t this trend observed for big cities with mail in voting in other states?
Why fix all the races when you just need to fix a few in your old corrupt strongholds of 40+yrs or more. This was calculated to try and stay under the radar except too many dems voted trump so they haved to show 90%+ turnout just to overcome it.
Do you have the links or data that show 90% turnout ?
Wisconsin was I believe 89.3% turnout. Historically they are I believe 66.7%. You can easily look it up on the states website.
Ok, thank you
Original showing up to 200% turnout https://archive.vn/BqBZY
Updated once eyebrows were raised https://mkecitywire.com/stories/564495243-analysis-seven-milwaukee-wards-report-more-2020-presidential-votes-than-registered-voters-biden-nets-146k-votes-in-city
There have been multiple posts here breaking the data down from those who either purchased access to the databases of PA and GA and posted it with graphs compared to 2016, or you can go to the state elections websites and check it yourself. Not to mention the dozens of graphs that keep getting posted here. Do you even browse and read or just read the title?
I read it but I haven’t saved all of it yet. Also, the ones that posted the database access - they just posted that they had it, there was no analysis or graphs done at the time. I don’t want to be reinventing the wheel or purchasing the same stuff if others already have it, either.
The second question is key. Fine... It's by counties, then why the hell isn't this visible in MN or NY or Florida?
Because this was a last-resort plan they had to resort to because Trump got more votes than their primary fraud methods could offset.
Exactly. There isn't a statistical reason.
Oh, definitely a reason, but not a natural one.
Dems will say the cities are reporting later than others because duh they have more votes to count so it takes longer (I asked why they don’t hire more people to compensate and got uhhhh then they moved onto the next talking point)
Republicans say the cities report last so they know how much they have to cheat to win.
You can make up your own mind on it.
Dem excuse makes no sense. They report in batches, so they should start reporting at the same time as everyone else. It would just take longer for them to finish.
This is a valid point. Elsewhere I commented but if earlier mail-ins were all more rural and big city mail-ins were later then it could explain since big cities are more heavily dem. A better analysis might be to look at specific cities and plot those out on the graph over time. Ex: instead of plotting it for a while state just plot it for cities. That would show if specific cities increased the ratio over time.
Only thing I disagree with that the hacker known as 4chan said was that Virginia was an exception. There is good reason to believe that Virginia was suspicious, even though I don't think Trump was necessarily going to win it.
Dude, they called Virginia LITERALLY the moment polls closed on the east coast, when not one vote had yet been counted.
The excuse for that was "based on historical voting turnout and history"... uhuh... right. Then why not call Alaska? :P
Exactly.
FOX held on to Texas for like six hours when it was clear Trump had it. That combined with them instantly calling Virginia already had me on high alert. Calling Arizona was the turning point when I was certain it was going to the courts though.
Virginia is probably the most corrupt... If it gets called out it'll be a later blindside attack. Like when they waited to bring up Pittsburgh, which I noticed myself on election night looks like an even bigger fraud than Philly. Biden was outperforming much more in Pittsburgh and it seemed to go under the radar... Didn't make much sense to me.
can confirm. was watching it all like a hawk. heck, even sent congratulatory messages to Gade & Freitas. In the morning it was all wonky.
If MI, WI, PA etc get proven, they should go after VA too.
And MN. I heard they were looking at cases in up to 10 states.
While they are at it, I bet we would see almost all of the house reps go Red in California too! At least 8 seats were stolen in 2018.
God please do NM too! It's been infected for far too long and now the Wuhan-Gruesome dynasty has infected senate as well. My county froze and went last and was more than likely the deciding factor. At least we eked out Yvette Herrell!
you mean paid for by mini mike. he said so on the debates, remember?
The Democrats are never going to allow changing the voting laws so that fraud would become harder to do
They oppose Voter ID laws & a national registry of citizens (which every other rich country has) in order to do just that: cheat at the elections.
Also, mail-vote is a JOKE. That would never be allowed in any civilized European country, because it allows people to force someone else to vote some candidate.
Yes, republicans have been calling for better laws for ages. The republican supporters and the republican politicians. And that is why the red states already have better election laws on average than the blue states.
But unfortunately the Democrats have been able to block every significant federal law + every single law on state level in blue states.
If some European countries now decided to destroy their citizen registry & do what the US does, not knowing who actually live there and who don't, it would be a humangous scandal, and it would not be allowed.
And if someone started to say we should vote by mail, they would throw it out in courts, because the vote would not be guaranteed to be secret after that.
No one will know about Virginia until the voting system is free of all types of fraud. This election cycle I think Trump had a chance to crush everywhere.
Republicans gaining seats in the house and probably holding the senate says it all.
I think the real vote would look something like this. Which happens to exactly match the Norpoth Primary Model.
https://www.270towin.com/maps/jOoXX
Virginian here. I’m HIGHLY suspicious. In my cucked district, the GOP house candidate CRUSHED the favorite progressive candidate, like 70/30. I was shocked. Like, totally shocked. There is zero way he won that race and Trump lost the state. Period. Change my mind.
It’s the same down here in NC. Here’s how our voting results look. Notice anything weird?
President - Republican Governor- Democrat Lieutenant governor- Republican Senate - Republican
That’s the point. How did every other office go red and only the governor go blue?
I would love for my state to go red, but it's a very very long shot simply because Northern VA (NoVA) is so fucking full of people, and almost all of them are immigrants, federal employees and/or otherwise wannabe beltway sycophants. It's a disgrace, cause NoVA is in no way shape or form representative of our great Virginia in geography or general class of people.
Nobody questioned it because shitlib Democrats literally voted for a guy who admitted he couldn't remember if he was the guy in blackface, or the guy in the KKK hood.
I'll still livid as fuck from the over-reaching gun grab that piece of garbage tried to pull last year. I can only hope citizens know better in 2021.
That exact thread is what's screenshotted and being spread by this post and others.
The first tweet says this is from that 4chan post. Well, it says anonymous data scientist, but that's what the 4chan guy said he was.
The anonymous data scientist known as 4chan.
He wears a lot of hats.
Indeed he does
The Best Hats he strings up on flagpoles.
who is 4chan?
This twitter thread is the same as that anon
Anyone who is independent and objective who thinks this election is fraud-free is living on fantasy island.
we gotta wake people up
Information War
Is Four Seasons Landscaping next door to Fantasy Island?
Why yes! Yes it is!
They don't care because they have brainwashed themselves into actually believing Trump is Hitler so "fuck it we will cheat to get him out of office"
I FUCKING LOVE SCIENCE
WAIT NOT THAT KIND
This is obviously the racist kind of science
werent they saying math is racist?
2+2=5
pinko lefty logic in action
Election realism
I think I might have redpilled one of my Dem friends a bit by asking him to explain this Twitter thread to me because I am struggling with the maths and don't get it. >.> (I do understand it, I just wanted him to read it with an open mind)
They've been pretending that antifa doesn't exist and that BLM is a peaceful organization while their cities burn. They've been begging the government to take away their freedom to leave their own fucking house because of COVID. They chose to simply ignore the fact that our own FBI was spying on a political candidate using the patriot act.
Their minds are shot. They go on twitter, facebook, and reddit and let the dopamine hits of approval lead them to their opinions. There's very little in the way of independent thought going on in their brains.
I did the same thing... they told me that the voting batches would come in by county. So the counties that were more dem would come in and push the ratio up. Not sure what to belive.
Fucking legend.
In all seriousness, this dude has put in some real work.
That ending!
Its working on the normies.
They think there is no evidence.
The MSM and social media lock downs are extremely effective.
Planning on going out in public to protest, people NEED to see they are not alone, the MSM will make them feel alone and powerless.
I think they will and I hope we have a back up plan (or 10)
Funny how another pro of china flu is stopping almost all "water cooler talk" at the office where people could get red pilled.
Church
The most cucked places that need the most red pilling still have that banned, too, don't they?
"Beware of he who would deny you access to information, for in his heart he dreams himself your master."
Extreme Right-Wing Nationalist use hard Data and proven Statistics, without evidence, to prove that additional Biden votes were fabricated while ballot counting was on-going.
My NPR brainwashed co worker: "This is fine"
Pretty much his exact words when I talked about Milwaukee.
This is the only time in the history of my entire 32 years of life that I can say I’M LOVING MATH RIGHT NOW.
Math is like magic. It literally lets you do all kinds of crazy stuff in the real world.
Math was/is the only subject that I have to actively work to understand-it doesn’t come easily to me. Am a left handed/creative type. But give me all the graphs, the charts, the statistics right now. I LOVE MATH.
Honestly, I've never really been great at math and I never really enjoyed it until I started engineering and realized it allowed me to create all kinds of things. I guess everyone is different, but being able to apply it practically was really helpful in motivating me to learn.
I purposely chose a career (when I was 11!) that required only basic math but hats off to anyone who can do it well. Math and reading music were the two banes of my life growing up so as an adult I generally avoid them if possible haha.
So glad this made the sticky! A few other pedes and myself also posted it, and we were hoping a mod would see.
This is extremely strong evidence of D to R signatures suddenly changing in a co-ordinated man-made way after a causal event.
It can lead to significant further discoveries. It can show patterns that can then be analyzed across states, e.g. WHY did Biden's increase drastically only after 12pm on a specific day? Was there communication between these locations where this sudden increase happened? Who communicated? Is there video footage of these people? Then just like that it starts unraveling, string by string by string.
I would advocate strongly AGAINST using the surveillance state for anything domestic, but how many phone calls would there be from Philly to Fulton to DC to Phoenix at 1AM? How many cellphones connected to a tower near the polling stations made or received calls or texts that would form a "ring" network between the cities in question? And if visualized with forensic software, it would probably form a node around a person controlling the network from DNC headquarter or a media desk.
Obamas head of the NSA argued with a straight face that "it's just meta data! See! No invasion of privacy!". With simple search parameters the cellphone metadata can draw a nice spider web across the voter fraud operation and point at the leader.
The metadata can easily construct insight into who coordinated and orchestrated these attacks. Unless they were smart enough to plan it all in-person in advance and acted independently and organically (ie everyone's got TDS and edit ballots on their own initiative at scheduled times.).
Search 1: A search of any active cellphone at the suspect voting locations, ie 2 mi radius of the cell towers on election night. Will generate tens of thousands. Search parameter 2: calls/text BETWEEN these locations on election night. Sort by "connections"; top of the list will be the numbers that match the criteria and also communicated with each other, forming a network.
The relentless application of reason and logic...
Galdammit boy, let's hunt down some treason!
me too!
I really hope this tweet goes viral. I saw this posted originally on 4chan, but it would never go viral from there.
This is being censored by Twitter! We need to get this information to:
Replying to @APhilosophae @IngrahamAngle
@dbongino
@marklevinshow
@RichardGrenell
@PamBondi
@JackPosobiec
@RaheemKassam
@FogCityMidge
@seanhannity
@RudyGiuliani
@realDonaldTrump
@LindseyGrahamSC
@SenTedCruz
@TuckerCarlson
@pnjaban
@JennaEllisEsq
@Cernovich
@robbystarbuck
@jsolomonReports
@DonaldJTrumpJr
Hes on our side just a really extreme pessimist. Not helpful during times like this.
https://thedonald.win/p/11PpYckmQw/cernovich-cucked/
In Japanese Buddhism, "mind of a monkey" (心猿) is an analogy for a soul who can't concentrate on enlightenment, distracted and panicked by all unimportant things, unable or unwilling to control its worldly desires.
In other words, I'm going to "just say no", Mike!
Lol. Sounds applicable.
Tweet them the link to this thread.
We've always been the party of science. "Don't burn the witches," "don't judge the man for his skin", "stop fucking cheating all the goddamn time"
"There are only two genders"
"Fetuses are small unborn humans"
That's hate science you need to use happy feelings science reee
Impossible, I've seen plenty of wives who own their husband's penis
Leftists don't have science, they only have a computer model. They are the real witches who use that as a crystal ball to predict future. It's their false idol, and they are a bunch of cultists who worship that idol.
In the 90s and early 2000s evolution was big political issue. Even tho evolution has minimal to no consequences for public policy (or even any relevance in vast majority of scientific careers) leftists made it into one. The southern Baptists in GOP took the bait and defended creationism.
And the liberal democrats framed the gop as “anti-science” from that.
It was extremely annoying having leftists arrogantly and self righteously lecture me about my “anti science religious beliefs.” I’m a biologist and non religious. They couldn’t process that I am a conservative and scientist so they concluded that as a republican i must be a scientist who doesn’t believe in science.
Liberals were just as retarded in 2008 as today. Not evolving. Might cause extinction of home sapiens actually
They somehow made religion and scienece contradicting to one another, which is totally false. Science leads people to God, not away from Him. And speaking of evolution, the leftists are not so smart as they think they are. As a matter of fact, there is VARIATION, that is, numerous different breeds of one species. Chihuahua, golden retriever and german sheperd definitely share one common ancestor, no question about that. Maybe they even share one common ancestor with wolves. But if you suggest that they share a common ancestor with birds, fish and even germs which all derive from the roof of the "evolution tree", that is nuts. For the record, God created KINDS of animals and let Adam name them.
Let's be real here. They are not the party of science. Science requires a control and an experiment and as there is no control environment the most that they can claim is that they have climate theorists, not scientists.
5 standard deviations above 5d chess.
We have the best autists running audits, don't we folks?
And it's time to finish this and red pill a nation.
This needs to be the extinction event of the demon party. They need to be exposed once and for all for the traitors they are. With our help and the help of other patriots around him, President Trump shall save America.
tHe pArTy oF sCiEnCe
The best irony: the party of science being destroyed by science 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣
This entire election in all 50 states had fraud. We had a republican run for board of supervisors who won in a landslide with in person voting then they pushed this mail in ballot scam for a run off and he mysteriously lost by 1 percent. There is corruption in every state and the entire election should be redone with no unsolicited mail in ballots and voter iD required.
This is a pretty undeniable red pill for anyone that understands math. The unfortunate part is most people don't, which is how things like COVID hysteria happen.
Dyscalculic maths retard here, and I understand it. If I can, anyone can.
Man, I hope (and assume) that people with the power to do anything are collecting ALL of these instances of fraud and fishiness or even here-say. There has been SOOO much on thedonald this past week...good job pedes!!
Very good read
WOW. This is information that needs to head to DJT and attorneys ASAP. Get Rudy in here!
It needs to be done in a peer reviewed format. One phd augments and validates the methods of another phd and publishes in a reputable publication.
Not that it shouldn't occur before being used entirely, but this information at least be used and cross-examined, the methods tested and questioned in a court scenario. Same for the Benford's law examples. I think that the judges could actually order talbulated data to be sent and calculated by multiple statisticians - but my belief is that the initial skepticism on tests that have been performed is at least a gateway to more scrutiny and investigation that needs to be done.
Forget about that shit, here comes Mongo!
This is application of existing science.
Hurrrrr it because trump said to vote in person! Sure the other early votes were a consistent 60/40 at the most, but it's totally natural for it to suddenly jump up to 100/0!
This + benford law + witness testimony of being excluded, makes a pretty compelling case.
Incredible the media is still calling it "baseless". We can assume, seriously, that they've already crunched these numbers. They probably knew the next morning. Trump and Gulliani seem very confident.
They want to start a war. It's obvious at this point.
CSV is here
Python 3 script is here
I am having issues with the csv.
The vote share used to calc votes for each canidate has only 3 decimal places.
To prevent vote shave when percentages change it would need to be 7 decinal points to insure proper precision.
From what I see this is shaving votes off of Trump a few thousand at a time. I can't seem to get more than 3 digits back, anyone else have more luck with the python script?
Did someone order a thread unwrapper? Delivery!
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1325595331862667264.html
Dope
"We choose science over math!"
This IS the smoking gun. PLEASE SPREAD.
Exactly. This simple principle is the whole reason why traditionally it was possible to 'call' races rather early. Things just don't (or rarely) go 60/40 or 70/30 at the start and then reverse course to 90/10. Things go at a pretty even pace within a geographic area or precinct or category.
Only reason they would differ in a time series that I can think of is if democrats vote all day while republicans vote after they get off work.
In mail-in ballots however it should be absolutely mixed, ESPECIALLY since USPS handled the ballots so a vote from one street or part of a county or state gets mixed with votes from other counties, so blubbers of statistically deviant ballots should not occur.
Insofar as only the swing states that shut down counting at midnight have these statistical deviations, it's not a matter of proving individual "dead voters" and "fake signatures" and "invalid ballots", it's mathematically proven that systemic fraud occurred and a new election must be held.
Like DNA evidence that form evidence for murder convictions is a percentage match; it's a percentage match so unlikely to have occurred any other way, proving a guilt even absent specific details.
Wont the left just say that they released mail in ballots in increments and those favored Biden 9 to 1? I still think there is fraud but you need to think of how they would try to defend this.
The issue is that the ratio by which they favored Biden over Trump rose, exactly at times corresponding to shady late night vote drops, pauses in counting, etc. The ratio should be fairly steady over time.
Statistically and logistically impossible. These results would not occur without intentionally engineering these results. The test already accounts for geographical difference. Nearer locations have shorter trips and arrive sooner, thus D votes occur with higher frequency earlier, and R votes with higher frequency later.
Yes, also ratios seem very artificial at times. Still analyzing via several methods. Data spikes are odd and batch update ratios to consitant overtime to be natural.
I really want to find similar dataset by county and even district. That would be the holy grail to proove fraud.
How can we get this?
The news orgs get it somehow. Might be something to talk to local Elections Commission, or local GOP chapter heads.
wouldn't counties with a high D count have more mail-in ballots, therefore taking longer to count and coming in later?
You would expect the same trend in other states then. High population areas would have more ballots and take longer to count, but the travel time is way more than the count time, so we don't see that in michigan. 10 people can count to 1000 in only 10 minutes. The fact that detroit took 8 hours to deliver from detroit to detroit means they were doing far more than just counting and putting ballots in boxes to be mailed.
I would think that too, but if I have my facts in order, all those ballots travel the mail system, which effectively randomizes the distribution. They should be ending their journey at a counting center before end of Election Day. The distribution of votes should still be approximately in line with projections; it's the wild deviations that are really suspicious.
I don't think I can speak to that with anything different from what's in the source tweets.
The really wacky points on the left of the graphs are in person votes, those are fine.
Then the mail comes in, shuffled, and it should be generally consistent. The argument is that farther counties arrive to centralized locations later than nearer counties simply due to travel time, and that nearer counties are more Dem, so as time passes within a state, D/R ratio decreases.
The travel time here is from local receipt location to centralized counting location, I believe.
Curious to hear if I'm missing something
Yes, we do need to anticipate their counter arguments. This is plotting the ratio of incoming mail in ballots over time though. How would the mail in ballots being released in increments change that? Like would they argue that the mail in ballots would have a higher ratio of D to R because the R were running out since there were fewer of them? And would that be consistent and plausible with Biden mail in votes being 5:1? I’m trying to exactly understand the argument here.
The mail mixes the R and D ballots together, so they won't show in any specific order. A randomized list of samples in a given proportion shouldn't change proportion simply due to being an uneven ratio once the trend has stabilized. It does not show this pattern in the states that aren't under dispute.
The ballots are theoretically shuffled while in the mail system, so output from a single "counting station" (not sure if this is done by ward, precinct, county, etc) should be stable.
Plus they should be scanned and processed over time. How did Milwaukee county process 137k at once?even if they didn't get around to running them T 3am, it's going to updateslowly
Someone please find this data at the county level. While we should scrutinize everything, changes at the state level aren't as suspect if blue counties start reporting votes later in the day. Now if we see a specific blue county showing a ratio of 1:1 that quickly changes to 1:5, we know something is fucked up.
This is a valid point since it does seem that cities are reporting later and they’d naturally have a higher D ratio. Would be nice for someone to parse this data for specific cities that have been suspect since we all know fraud is going on there.
City level doesn't exist in the source data that the script refers to, which is a JSON API on the New York Times website. I'd love to see it myself, but it doesn't really change the fact that across the country, nearly every other state (including those with large cities, such as New York) had a trend of spiking Dem initially, then smoothly trending towards Rep over time.
If that was the case, you would expect to see ratio changes corresponding with those counties reporting. Instead we see unnatural over-time changes to a ratio that stabilizes in other states, coupled with instant changes corresponding to specific, known sketchy events.
Must admit, I can't grasp this.
The Benford's law, I understood that and was a very early spreader of that info (I believe I tipped off Scott Adams but can't be sure as he never replied - but he did tweet about it around 20 mins after my email to him).
But this - Greek to me.
Its quiet simple actually.
He saying that if mail in vote was overall 60/40 Biden-Trump then as time goes on the returns would ALWAYS come in right around 60/40. That is because the overall mix gets sorted around through various mail facilities.
They followed this rule in all the states until they realized they were massively behind in swing states. Then the 60/40 started going straight to 80/20 or 100/0.
Since you put it that way - yeah, I can grasp that. Sounds like real-time human intervention in the voting process.
This is specifically dealing with the ballots counted after the polls close, i.e. the mail-ins, absentee, etc. The noisier pattern all the graphs show earlier in the day is the in-person voting.
If grey matter matters, black lives don't matter
Correct link for CSV:
http://s000.tinyupload.com/?file_id=14566999163598825215
https://files.catbox.moe/xayycy.gif
This anon graphs it all out.
Did anyone save this damn CSV file? It’s already purged or improperly uploaded. It’s extremely important.
http://s000.tinyupload.com/?file_id=14566999163598825215
You don't know what people's votes you can steal until the polls are closed....
https://archive.is/XYPlp
https://archive.vn/XOz4G
WHY ARE THESE PEOPLE REMAINING ANONYMOUS, this is for our COUNTRY
This is excellent! Thanks for finding and sharing! Bet Crowder would love to see this if he hasn't yet
So for me this data is basically showing that democrat strongholds were holding their mail in ballots separate from the rest of the state until the very end of the election.
That could be why these states looked so overwhelmingly Trump in the beginning, the Democrats were holding back their ballots and waiting to see if they needed to make an "adjustment."
Norpoth model predicts 362. Could be right... https://www.270towin.com/maps/jOoXX
bigly!
Get this to DONALD TRUMP!!!
Great breakdown
How do I archive this?
I've been using archive.is