Wont the left just say that they released mail in ballots in increments and those favored Biden 9 to 1? I still think there is fraud but you need to think of how they would try to defend this.
The issue is that the ratio by which they favored Biden over Trump rose, exactly at times corresponding to shady late night vote drops, pauses in counting, etc. The ratio should be fairly steady over time.
Statistically and logistically impossible. These results would not occur without intentionally engineering these results. The test already accounts for geographical difference. Nearer locations have shorter trips and arrive sooner, thus D votes occur with higher frequency earlier, and R votes with higher frequency later.
Yes, also ratios seem very artificial at times. Still analyzing via several methods. Data spikes are odd and batch update ratios to consitant overtime to be natural.
I really want to find similar dataset by county and even district. That would be the holy grail to proove fraud.
You would expect the same trend in other states then. High population areas would have more ballots and take longer to count, but the travel time is way more than the count time, so we don't see that in michigan. 10 people can count to 1000 in only 10 minutes. The fact that detroit took 8 hours to deliver from detroit to detroit means they were doing far more than just counting and putting ballots in boxes to be mailed.
I would think that too, but if I have my facts in order, all those ballots travel the mail system, which effectively randomizes the distribution. They should be ending their journey at a counting center before end of Election Day. The distribution of votes should still be approximately in line with projections; it's the wild deviations that are really suspicious.
Yes, we do need to anticipate their counter arguments. This is plotting the ratio of incoming mail in ballots over time though. How would the mail in ballots being released in increments change that? Like would they argue that the mail in ballots would have a higher ratio of D to R because the R were running out since there were fewer of them? And would that be consistent and plausible with Biden mail in votes being 5:1? I’m trying to exactly understand the argument here.
The mail mixes the R and D ballots together, so they won't show in any specific order. A randomized list of samples in a given proportion shouldn't change proportion simply due to being an uneven ratio once the trend has stabilized. It does not show this pattern in the states that aren't under dispute.
The ballots are theoretically shuffled while in the mail system, so output from a single "counting station" (not sure if this is done by ward, precinct, county, etc) should be stable.
Plus they should be scanned and processed over time. How did Milwaukee county process 137k at once?even if they didn't get around to running them T 3am, it's going to updateslowly
Wont the left just say that they released mail in ballots in increments and those favored Biden 9 to 1? I still think there is fraud but you need to think of how they would try to defend this.
The issue is that the ratio by which they favored Biden over Trump rose, exactly at times corresponding to shady late night vote drops, pauses in counting, etc. The ratio should be fairly steady over time.
Statistically and logistically impossible. These results would not occur without intentionally engineering these results. The test already accounts for geographical difference. Nearer locations have shorter trips and arrive sooner, thus D votes occur with higher frequency earlier, and R votes with higher frequency later.
Yes, also ratios seem very artificial at times. Still analyzing via several methods. Data spikes are odd and batch update ratios to consitant overtime to be natural.
I really want to find similar dataset by county and even district. That would be the holy grail to proove fraud.
How can we get this?
The news orgs get it somehow. Might be something to talk to local Elections Commission, or local GOP chapter heads.
wouldn't counties with a high D count have more mail-in ballots, therefore taking longer to count and coming in later?
You would expect the same trend in other states then. High population areas would have more ballots and take longer to count, but the travel time is way more than the count time, so we don't see that in michigan. 10 people can count to 1000 in only 10 minutes. The fact that detroit took 8 hours to deliver from detroit to detroit means they were doing far more than just counting and putting ballots in boxes to be mailed.
I would think that too, but if I have my facts in order, all those ballots travel the mail system, which effectively randomizes the distribution. They should be ending their journey at a counting center before end of Election Day. The distribution of votes should still be approximately in line with projections; it's the wild deviations that are really suspicious.
Yes, we do need to anticipate their counter arguments. This is plotting the ratio of incoming mail in ballots over time though. How would the mail in ballots being released in increments change that? Like would they argue that the mail in ballots would have a higher ratio of D to R because the R were running out since there were fewer of them? And would that be consistent and plausible with Biden mail in votes being 5:1? I’m trying to exactly understand the argument here.
The mail mixes the R and D ballots together, so they won't show in any specific order. A randomized list of samples in a given proportion shouldn't change proportion simply due to being an uneven ratio once the trend has stabilized. It does not show this pattern in the states that aren't under dispute.
The ballots are theoretically shuffled while in the mail system, so output from a single "counting station" (not sure if this is done by ward, precinct, county, etc) should be stable.
Plus they should be scanned and processed over time. How did Milwaukee county process 137k at once?even if they didn't get around to running them T 3am, it's going to updateslowly