Exactly. This simple principle is the whole reason why traditionally it was possible to 'call' races rather early. Things just don't (or rarely) go 60/40 or 70/30 at the start and then reverse course to 90/10. Things go at a pretty even pace within a geographic area or precinct or category.
Only reason they would differ in a time series that I can think of is if democrats vote all day while republicans vote after they get off work.
In mail-in ballots however it should be absolutely mixed, ESPECIALLY since USPS handled the ballots so a vote from one street or part of a county or state gets mixed with votes from other counties, so blubbers of statistically deviant ballots should not occur.
Insofar as only the swing states that shut down counting at midnight have these statistical deviations, it's not a matter of proving individual "dead voters" and "fake signatures" and "invalid ballots", it's mathematically proven that systemic fraud occurred and a new election must be held.
Like DNA evidence that form evidence for murder convictions is a percentage match; it's a percentage match so unlikely to have occurred any other way, proving a guilt even absent specific details.
Exactly. This simple principle is the whole reason why traditionally it was possible to 'call' races rather early. Things just don't (or rarely) go 60/40 or 70/30 at the start and then reverse course to 90/10. Things go at a pretty even pace within a geographic area or precinct or category.
Only reason they would differ in a time series that I can think of is if democrats vote all day while republicans vote after they get off work.
In mail-in ballots however it should be absolutely mixed, ESPECIALLY since USPS handled the ballots so a vote from one street or part of a county or state gets mixed with votes from other counties, so blubbers of statistically deviant ballots should not occur.
Insofar as only the swing states that shut down counting at midnight have these statistical deviations, it's not a matter of proving individual "dead voters" and "fake signatures" and "invalid ballots", it's mathematically proven that systemic fraud occurred and a new election must be held.
Like DNA evidence that form evidence for murder convictions is a percentage match; it's a percentage match so unlikely to have occurred any other way, proving a guilt even absent specific details.