Yes, we do need to anticipate their counter arguments. This is plotting the ratio of incoming mail in ballots over time though. How would the mail in ballots being released in increments change that? Like would they argue that the mail in ballots would have a higher ratio of D to R because the R were running out since there were fewer of them? And would that be consistent and plausible with Biden mail in votes being 5:1? I’m trying to exactly understand the argument here.
The mail mixes the R and D ballots together, so they won't show in any specific order. A randomized list of samples in a given proportion shouldn't change proportion simply due to being an uneven ratio once the trend has stabilized. It does not show this pattern in the states that aren't under dispute.
Yes, we do need to anticipate their counter arguments. This is plotting the ratio of incoming mail in ballots over time though. How would the mail in ballots being released in increments change that? Like would they argue that the mail in ballots would have a higher ratio of D to R because the R were running out since there were fewer of them? And would that be consistent and plausible with Biden mail in votes being 5:1? I’m trying to exactly understand the argument here.
The mail mixes the R and D ballots together, so they won't show in any specific order. A randomized list of samples in a given proportion shouldn't change proportion simply due to being an uneven ratio once the trend has stabilized. It does not show this pattern in the states that aren't under dispute.