I would think that too, but if I have my facts in order, all those ballots travel the mail system, which effectively randomizes the distribution. They should be ending their journey at a counting center before end of Election Day. The distribution of votes should still be approximately in line with projections; it's the wild deviations that are really suspicious.
I don't think I can speak to that with anything different from what's in the source tweets.
The really wacky points on the left of the graphs are in person votes, those are fine.
Then the mail comes in, shuffled, and it should be generally consistent. The argument is that farther counties arrive to centralized locations later than nearer counties simply due to travel time, and that nearer counties are more Dem, so as time passes within a state, D/R ratio decreases.
The travel time here is from local receipt location to centralized counting location, I believe.
I would think that too, but if I have my facts in order, all those ballots travel the mail system, which effectively randomizes the distribution. They should be ending their journey at a counting center before end of Election Day. The distribution of votes should still be approximately in line with projections; it's the wild deviations that are really suspicious.
I don't think I can speak to that with anything different from what's in the source tweets.
The really wacky points on the left of the graphs are in person votes, those are fine.
Then the mail comes in, shuffled, and it should be generally consistent. The argument is that farther counties arrive to centralized locations later than nearer counties simply due to travel time, and that nearer counties are more Dem, so as time passes within a state, D/R ratio decreases.
The travel time here is from local receipt location to centralized counting location, I believe.
Curious to hear if I'm missing something