I'd love it if someone could take a look and give me a second opinion, but I think this whole thing is flawed. I tried to plot the data myself, but the problem is - he's getting his numbers for each batch of votes based on the percentage of the overall vote. Which is fine at first, but once the overall vote gets larger, the percentage barely changes, since it's rounded to only 1 decimal place.
So all the mail-in ballot batches that he assumed were the same because they were "mixed together like cards" is really just because of the way the data is formatted.
But like I've said elsewhere in this thread I'm running on empty so I could be off the mark on my analysis too.
I'd love it if someone could take a look and give me a second opinion, but I think this whole thing is flawed. I tried to plot the data myself, but the problem is - he's getting his numbers for each batch of votes based on the percentage of the overall vote. Which is fine at first, but once the overall vote gets larger, the percentage barely changes, since it's rounded to only 1 decimal place.
So all the mail-in ballot batches that he assumed were the same because they were "mixed together like cards" is really just because of the way the data is formatted.
But like I've said elsewhere in this thread I'm running on empty so I could be off the mark on my analysis too.