I don't think that's the right take. Assuming that the President Only voters voted at an even 50%, irrespective of straight-line outcome, a downward sloping graph is precisely what you'd expect.
Sure but I don't think all precincts would vote 50%. It would be weird if precincts that voted 20 Rep/80 Dem or 80 Rep/20 Dem to all be 50% T. you'd expect them to be similar
I don't think that's the right take. Assuming that the President Only voters voted at an even 50%, irrespective of straight-line outcome, a downward sloping graph is precisely what you'd expect.
Sure but I don't think all precincts would vote 50%. It would be weird if precincts that voted 20 Rep/80 Dem or 80 Rep/20 Dem to all be 50% T. you'd expect them to be similar