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dubiousContact 1 point ago +1 / -0

That's not quite right.

He is finding the difference between two percentages.

Y the percentage of Straight Republican Vote (SRV) X being the percentage of Trump Individual Vote (TIV) - Y

He argues that in a normal case, the percentage of TIV would be close to percentage of SRV (+/- 7%). So when a precinct has a SRV of 65%, the TIV would be between 60-70%.

There's no reason to assume that the percentage of TIV would be a constant (say 50%), which would be what is required for this to be a linear negative slope.

Even in the case where the SRV approaches 99%, the TIV should also be corespondent - because ultimately it's tracking the same population.