I have a statistics question about Dr. Shiva's presentation (in comments)
(media.patriots.win)
posted ago by UndercoverCentipede
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I just watched the whole thing, and I'm confused about the Y axis. I think it would be better to just put Trump's total percentage of votes on the y axis.
The way it is now, doesn't it just show that in highly repblican precincts, people who chose to individual voting over straight party voting were less likely to pick Trump? That kind of makes sense to me - in highly republican areas, anyone who is NOT voting for Trump may be more likely to vote individually. I think it makes intuitive sense.
He only compared it to wayne county which had no precincts of straight republican ballots over 35%.
The more republican an area gets the less likely they are to vote trump? He has like a 98% favorable rating intra-party.
Plus, dislike for trump doesnt increase in a linear pattern as a district becomes more republican throughout multiple districts starting at a 20% threshold.
Plus Plus, this was not shown to be the case with democrats, it followed the expected course, that is, a straight line hovering +/- 10%
Then the same would be true for Biden.
I highly democrat areas anyne who is NOT voting Biden would vote individually.
Graph would be symmetric around 50%. With 2 horisontal lines: 5-20 and 70-90
Don't you just have to rotate the graph 180 degrees to show the same thing for biden? This graph does show that in Democrat leaning precincts, Trump is getting more of the individual votes. So it literally shows the exact same thing, for both candidates.
I hope I'm just misunderstanding something.