4829
Comments (128)
sorted by:
You're viewing a single comment thread. View all comments, or full comment thread.
3
NeuroticIntrovert 3 points ago +3 / -0

I don't think Benford's law works on numbers that small.

Which version of the switched votes list are you using? There have been critiques and updates.

2
twoscoops4america [S] 2 points ago +2 / -0

This is the pede that ran Benfords.

Data was from here.

Lots of irregularities with these counties. The 2016 to 2020 comparison does not add up.

1
BadBoyCornPop 1 point ago +1 / -0

Another problem is that a simple application of Benford's law does not work well where the county sizes are not randomly distributed. For example, if many counties have 1000 seats it then it's unlikely that Trump or Biden would have a vote number starting with a 1. Digits 3-6 would be more likely.