The 40% thing is interesting for sure. But I think they are missing the bigger red flag which is the consistency of the up/down pattern between the blue and orange. Totally impossible. I believe the mail in ballot percentage is actually much higher and they are trimming it down to be roughly 40% below which forces the patterns to always match
So in each district the odds of the blue following the trend of the orange would be 50/50 that the trend line would follow. To get every point in the series it would be .5 to the 67th. Is this right? That shit did not happen
The 40% thing is interesting for sure. But I think they are missing the bigger red flag which is the consistency of the up/down pattern between the blue and orange. Totally impossible. I believe the mail in ballot percentage is actually much higher and they are trimming it down to be roughly 40% below which forces the patterns to always match
So in each district the odds of the blue following the trend of the orange would be 50/50 that the trend line would follow. To get every point in the series it would be .5 to the 67th. Is this right? That shit did not happen