I think you have a good understanding of Benford's from your original post; the only issue was the sample size (this coming from someone who is also not an expert on Benford's). If you find something interesting with the other analysis, share to the pedes, and, if you remember, link it here. I'd like to see what you find.
Haven't made any conclusions, but there's crazy voter growth from 2016 to 2020 in Maricopa County. Trump earned tons of votes compared 2016, but Biden's gains are even more in raw numbers. You can see precincts on a map here:
In the (new to 2020) Cheatham Precinct, Biden received 3404 votes to Trump's 1051. There's clearly some redistricting going on that's shuffling things around, but Trump won Maricopa County by about ~45,000 votes in 2016. 747,361 to 702,907.
This year, there were 55,000 more votes for the county and the margin is in reverse with Trump's count under Biden's by almost the exact same ~45,000 number. 995,665 to 1,040,774.
There are a lot of Precinct Flips too (60 from Rep to Dem), like "Bluebird" gaining over 1000 new Democrat votes in 2020 and flipping, 2610 to 2094. Lantana County and Longhorn flipped too, with huge Democrat gains.
I have no idea whether it's legit, but there are some astonishing turn-arounds from 2016.
I think you have a good understanding of Benford's from your original post; the only issue was the sample size (this coming from someone who is also not an expert on Benford's). If you find something interesting with the other analysis, share to the pedes, and, if you remember, link it here. I'd like to see what you find.
Haven't made any conclusions, but there's crazy voter growth from 2016 to 2020 in Maricopa County. Trump earned tons of votes compared 2016, but Biden's gains are even more in raw numbers. You can see precincts on a map here:
https://recorder.maricopa.gov/reviewer/default.htm?DistrictType=N&DistrictCode=1
In the (new to 2020) Cheatham Precinct, Biden received 3404 votes to Trump's 1051. There's clearly some redistricting going on that's shuffling things around, but Trump won Maricopa County by about ~45,000 votes in 2016. 747,361 to 702,907.
This year, there were 55,000 more votes for the county and the margin is in reverse with Trump's count under Biden's by almost the exact same ~45,000 number. 995,665 to 1,040,774.
There are a lot of Precinct Flips too (60 from Rep to Dem), like "Bluebird" gaining over 1000 new Democrat votes in 2020 and flipping, 2610 to 2094. Lantana County and Longhorn flipped too, with huge Democrat gains.
I have no idea whether it's legit, but there are some astonishing turn-arounds from 2016.